Posted:
#76
Hitting like a dream so far... will update tomorrow.
System Extraordinaire.
0
Trust the Chase - Year Long Thread
Amazing work Arakias! Been following since the start. Appreciate the post and hard work. Keep it rooling
Posted:
#78
Only 1 game on the menu today for our system.
Lakers/Grizzlies OVER.
Total currently set at 218.
Grizzlies are a game 2 play, so 4 units total to wager.
All the other teams tonight are NO ACTION for the system.
This is a situation where I will play the system as opposed to my gut. Gut says under... system says over. Rolling with the system because its been hitting hard.
System Extraordinaire.
0
Posted:
#79
@Prof66HBK
Thank you for the kind words! Just keep in mind, it could turn ice cold any second. Last year, it won 10 game 6 bets and lost only 3....
In previous years, it lost more than it won. Tough to say if we will have a great year or a bleh year. So far, its off to a red hot start though.
No chase has gone past game 5, and currently the longest chase is the Knicks. They'll be on game 4 on their next game. 4 teams on game 3 right now.
System Extraordinaire.
0
Posted:
#82
Little update.
Some accounting. Last time I totaled our units we were +40.2. Since then, the following teams have won for the following amounts:
Hornets +33.64 units
Cavs +11.55 units
Bucks +1.73 units
Pacers +1.73 units
Kings +0.91 units
This brings our new total to +89.76 units, or in my case +$1,292.54
We now have enough of a cushion, that we could absorb a game 5 loss and still be positive. We have action on 8 games today, and even if we lost all of them, we'd still be positive for the season (not to mention we'd still keep chasing them, and a VAST majority of the time complete a chase for a positive gain anyway).
Interestingly, I'm currently running this system against the NHL, and it seems like it would be wildly successful so far, but alas, I've only checked it against 2019 and 2018. I'd like to have minimum 10 years of data from NBA, NHL and MLB. I'll continue updating this post with the results of my research. This morning I had time to do 2018 NHL and the system would've finished the season +1559.93 units, or in my case, +$22,462.97. In 2019 NHL, +1142.08 units, or in my case +$16,445.96.
System Extraordinaire.
1
Posted:
#85
@Prof66HBK
Just did 2017 NHL and it would've been $45,971 loser.... f***ing crazy how much it varies from year to year. Was hoping hockey would be more steady, but nope.. Gunna keep going back though. If it's positive over 10 years, i'll do it anyway and hope for a few positive years before a bad one. Same with NBA and MLB.
System Extraordinaire.
0
Posted:
#86
2016 NHL horrible too... RIP, there goes that idea. lol.
My only thought left is to go back through ALL the spreadsheets, find all game 6 losses, and look for patterns before they happened so that you could try to avoid the majority of them. If you avoid game 6 losses, you are monster winner. The best years are in favor of game 6 winners, and the bad years are the opposite (common sense). But if we could either find a way to avoid the bad years, or the game 6 losses, we'd be in business.
System Extraordinaire.
0
Posted:
#87
Quote Originally Posted by arakias:
2016 NHL horrible too... RIP, there goes that idea. lol. My only thought left is to go back through ALL the spreadsheets, find all game 6 losses, and look for patterns before they happened so that you could try to avoid the majority of them. If you avoid game 6 losses, you are monster winner. The best years are in favor of game 6 winners, and the bad years are the opposite (common sense). But if we could either find a way to avoid the bad years, or the game 6 losses, we'd be in business.
2016 NHL horrible too... RIP, there goes that idea. lol. My only thought left is to go back through ALL the spreadsheets, find all game 6 losses, and look for patterns before they happened so that you could try to avoid the majority of them. If you avoid game 6 losses, you are monster winner. The best years are in favor of game 6 winners, and the bad years are the opposite (common sense). But if we could either find a way to avoid the bad years, or the game 6 losses, we'd be in business.
Or...just wait for Game 6 scenarios and double down on those, since losses seem to be far less frequent, according to your numbers?
'Preciate your efforts. Handicapping is way more fun when you gamify/systematize it. Helps avoid the undisciplined bets that kill a roll.
0
Posted:
#89
Selection #1 Today:
Rockets/Pacers OVER
Rockets are a game 2 play. Total units to wager is 3.
Total currently sits at 225.5
Selection #2 Today:
Cleveland/Orlando OVER
Orlando is a game 3 play. Total units to wager is 9.
Total currently sits at 214.5
Selection #3 Today:
Wizards/76ers OVER
Philadelphia is a game 1 play. Total units to wager is 1.
Total currently sits at 235
System Extraordinaire.
0
Posted:
#91
Todays Selection #4:
Hawks/Hornets OVER
Atlanta is game 3 play. Total units to wager is 9.
Total currently sits at 232.5
Todays Selection #5: Celtics/Heat OVER
Miami is a game 3 play. Total units to wager is 9.
Total currently sits at 218
Todays Selection #6: Jazz/Knicks UNDER
New York is a game 4 play. Total units to wager is 27.
Total currently sits at 214.5
System Extraordinaire.
0
Posted:
#96
Rockets move to game 3.
Magic move to game 4.
Hawks move to game 4.
Heat move to game 4.
Bulls move to game 2.
Knicks complete the chase at game 4 for +11.55 units.
Thunder complete the chase at game 3 for +4.18 units.
Philadelphia completes the chase at game 1 for +0.91 units.
Bankroll for the season is now +106.4 or +$1532.16 in my case.
Entering either scary, or make some BIG money, territory with so many teams moving to game 4.
More info to come later today...
System Extraordinaire.
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