I like the Spurs and Rockets to both cover on the road tonight.
If you have any thoughts on those I'd love to hear them.
If not, you've done plenty as it is.
Some thoughts:
I will never lay 11 pts for a road favorite regardless of the result and regardless of the teams. That is a negative EV long term (probably significantly so). I would ween myself off such pics. I really don't even give them a second look when they pop up. So many other games to choose from.
Spurs/Cats I have no real read on although the Cats at home are a tough out putting that line where it is (which has a premium built into the spurs side).
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Quote Originally Posted by WookieRookie:
Pretty sweet bro,
I look forward to your next write up.
I like the Spurs and Rockets to both cover on the road tonight.
If you have any thoughts on those I'd love to hear them.
If not, you've done plenty as it is.
Some thoughts:
I will never lay 11 pts for a road favorite regardless of the result and regardless of the teams. That is a negative EV long term (probably significantly so). I would ween myself off such pics. I really don't even give them a second look when they pop up. So many other games to choose from.
Spurs/Cats I have no real read on although the Cats at home are a tough out putting that line where it is (which has a premium built into the spurs side).
Who you like tonight scal? Was thinking of playing por +1 large. Any thoughts? Looking forward to your pick my man! Congrats on the knicks
The line certainly is begging for Portland money obviously.
I'll say this: I cannot back the TWolves without Pekovic. Turiaf, a guy who is near out of the league and gives so little offensively (and 'little' is generous), replaces him. Terrible for Minny.
Wolves went to the bottom 3rd in the league offensively without Pek since he went down 1/28.
Also, the blazers beat the wolves in the last matchup when both the blazers and wolves had a b2b just like this game (even though the blazers are coming off an OT).
If Pek was playing, I'd take the wolves but since they've struggled offensively without him my money would not be on the wolves tonight and wouldn't be in the near future until I saw a significant number of points.
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Quote Originally Posted by thirdworld:
Who you like tonight scal? Was thinking of playing por +1 large. Any thoughts? Looking forward to your pick my man! Congrats on the knicks
The line certainly is begging for Portland money obviously.
I'll say this: I cannot back the TWolves without Pekovic. Turiaf, a guy who is near out of the league and gives so little offensively (and 'little' is generous), replaces him. Terrible for Minny.
Wolves went to the bottom 3rd in the league offensively without Pek since he went down 1/28.
Also, the blazers beat the wolves in the last matchup when both the blazers and wolves had a b2b just like this game (even though the blazers are coming off an OT).
If Pek was playing, I'd take the wolves but since they've struggled offensively without him my money would not be on the wolves tonight and wouldn't be in the near future until I saw a significant number of points.
No. I can assure of that...
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