Do you like to live dangerously? Because I got a WHOPPER OF A WRITE-UP on the NUGGETS@KNICKS tonight

Melo is motivated alright. But now he's mad at the Nuggets for letting him end up in New York (the team he wanted to be traded to).

One more note... Knicks have been playing some solid defense on this hon this home stand these last couple of weeks.

Detroit is a mess and brooklyn is finally starting to play to their talent level. KG and pierce look like they are having fun out there again..... easy win last night and defensively they are much better now.  

I don't think detroit will hang with them....Livingston is a bad match up for their guards. So is a healthy Blanche and kirilenko. 

Kings definitely can win and cover if cousins can't be stopped and so far he hasn't been stopped. I'm just not crazy about short road favorites like this for a team with a mere 17 wins (against a team with an equal 17 wins too at home) so it's a no play for me.

Remember how the perception of this team has changed in the past two games. They were -2 dogs at home against the bulls two games ago, went to a pickum against the team leading the atlantic in the raps and now are laying two to a team that definitely hasn't rolled over, has the same record has won two in a row and now you have to pay up with 2 points tonight. Another annoying line so it's a no play for me but because the kings have so many scoring options and a now healthy cousins, I can't blame ya for the pick. My beans are in the Knicks basket.

It's gotta be -10/-10.5 IMO. If the Knicks are impressive tonight it will dip below that number.

And Felton too! As bad as he's been...

And remember, the Nets success after the new year, 12-4 I believe, has only intensified the focus on the Knicks struggles.

Even the nuggets playing well do the same. Gallo out. McGee out. Nuggets still over .500. Knicks are ELEVEN GAMES under .500 and largely healthy now.

So this game has special significance beyond individual player revenge spots given the nuggets are the team Melo was traded from and they are flourishing without Melo. Matter of fact, the only guy that has been there from the trade for the nuggets success (non-injured) is Timofey Mosgov!

Addition by subtraction to say the least. Melo and Felton and the knicks brass are quite aware of this when Denver comes to NYC (Knicks 3-1 post trade at home).

Not backing the truck up but I like this pick the more and more I think about it throughout the day.

Fellow NYer huh? How bad was the mass transit nightmare for the Super Bowl. What a disgrace!

I understand your stance on the nets but this is a b2b with much older legs here.

Every short line I post starts in the + and moves to the -. We can swallow -1 of course.

It shouldn't get to 2 which is a relief. 

Of note, the kings were pounded by the public in my last pick. As were the Knicks when they beat the nets by 30, as were the Knicks when they beat the bucks in double OT (all line moves against us) so I have been on several public favorites and they have hit (comfortably in many spots too). 

Well my bet was in this morning at +1.5but I wouldn't recommend a game if I thought -1.5 was a number I had to get outside of to win (meaning in dealing with that thin a margin of victory) I wouldn't make this post.

If this game opened at -1.5 I would have been pist but the write up and post would have been the same. I love short favorites at home which this opened as but now clearly -1.5 is the number so I'd have to swallow the points.

I usually just put LARGE in the OP as a signal.

It's a tricky game because we are calling an ATS victory and SU win off three straight losses ATS and SU, that is, there are no real betting indicators to say the streak ends tonight. You have to argue from a team philosophy/mindset/desperation perspective to sell the side you are promoting.

I will say the Knicks outplayed the blazers on paper (higher FG %, fewer turnovers, = in rebounds) and they came within a blown Anthony layup to get inside the number.

In a way, the Blazer game was a right side wrong result and if you took the Knicks at +3 so that does improve their ATS perception going into this game...