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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Skubal (LAD) at Wrigley (CHC)

    cubd80
    OtisR
    CaridadDelCobre
    MrBator
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    cubd80
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 5:14 PM ET #1

    Is the wind blowing out today? Last night, the Cubs hit 4 home runs, the Dodgers 2.

    Skubal is the attraction tonight, but isn't known for pitching long outings.

    Total is currently at 9 with the Dodgers large favorites vs Assad, who typically does battle for the Cubs.

    Thoughts on the total and the game!

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    Is the wind blowing out today? Last night, the Cubs hit 4 home runs, the Dodgers 2.

    Skubal is the attraction tonight, but isn't known for pitching long outings.

    Total is currently at 9 with the Dodgers large favorites vs Assad, who typically does battle for the Cubs.

    Thoughts on the total and the game!

     
    OtisR
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 7:33 PM ET #2

    I got Cubs and under.

     

    Big public money swooped in on LAD thinking they can't lose twice. 

     

    I expect it to be a pitchers duel..

    Are they going to get that many HRs tonight too?

    BUZZ..not likely

     

     

     

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    I got Cubs and under.

     

    Big public money swooped in on LAD thinking they can't lose twice. 

     

    I expect it to be a pitchers duel..

    Are they going to get that many HRs tonight too?

    BUZZ..not likely

     

     

     

     
    CaridadDelCobre
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 7:38 PM ET #3

    Wind shouldn't be a factor...light wind blowing out to left.

    Skubal's length shouldn't matter either, bullpen advantage goes to the Dodgers...

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    Wind shouldn't be a factor...light wind blowing out to left.

    Skubal's length shouldn't matter either, bullpen advantage goes to the Dodgers...

     
    CaridadDelCobre
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 7:38 PM ET #4

    And this wouldnt be their second loss in a row...it would be their 5th!

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    And this wouldnt be their second loss in a row...it would be their 5th!

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 7:43 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by OtisR:

    Big public money swooped in on LAD thinking they can't lose twice.

     

    Public money is not on the Dodgers today, not with the awful way they’re playing and certainly not at this very high price. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by OtisR:

    Big public money swooped in on LAD thinking they can't lose twice.

     

    Public money is not on the Dodgers today, not with the awful way they’re playing and certainly not at this very high price. 

     
    OtisR
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 7:50 PM ET #6

    @CaridadDelCobre

     I meant against the Cubs.

     

    I don't like to get in the way of hot or cold streaks thinking the gotta win as a strategy.

     

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    @CaridadDelCobre

     I meant against the Cubs.

     

    I don't like to get in the way of hot or cold streaks thinking the gotta win as a strategy.

     

     
    CaridadDelCobre
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 7:54 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by OtisR: Big public money swooped in on LAD thinking they can't lose twice.   Public money is not on the Dodgers today, not with the awful way they’re playing and certainly not at this very high price.
    Public money is indeed on the Dodgers tonight....

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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by OtisR: Big public money swooped in on LAD thinking they can't lose twice.   Public money is not on the Dodgers today, not with the awful way they’re playing and certainly not at this very high price.
    Public money is indeed on the Dodgers tonight....

     
    OtisR
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 7:58 PM ET #8

    @MrBator

     I have Covers consensus on the Cubs at 53%. What is a 53% implied..without looking it up..I know it's Huge gap vs the -204 LAD ml.

     

    Public money has inflated the win probability too high for the Dodgers.

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    @MrBator

     I have Covers consensus on the Cubs at 53%. What is a 53% implied..without looking it up..I know it's Huge gap vs the -204 LAD ml.

     

    Public money has inflated the win probability too high for the Dodgers.

     
    OtisR
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:00 PM ET #9

    @CaridadDelCobre

     Them and the Yankees are public money magnets..Cubs are 3rd in total pull IIRC

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    @CaridadDelCobre

     Them and the Yankees are public money magnets..Cubs are 3rd in total pull IIRC

     
    OtisR
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:05 PM ET #10

    @OtisR

     Also SBD has 90% of total money on LAD.

    They gotta win mentality is rampant apparently.

     

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    @OtisR

     Also SBD has 90% of total money on LAD.

    They gotta win mentality is rampant apparently.

     

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:05 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by OtisR:

    @MrBator

    I have Covers consensus on the Cubs at 53%.

     

    Right, which is another thing that tells us that the public is not on the trash, overpriced Dodgers tonight.

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    Quote Originally Posted by OtisR:

    @MrBator

    I have Covers consensus on the Cubs at 53%.

     

    Right, which is another thing that tells us that the public is not on the trash, overpriced Dodgers tonight.

     
    CaridadDelCobre
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:19 PM ET #12

    @MrBator

     What are you talking about? You are using the Covers "consensus" which is essentially a 50/50 split as evidence that the public is on the Cubs? You knw there are sites that actually lrack where public money is...legitimately. And its not on teh Cubs...

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    @MrBator

     What are you talking about? You are using the Covers "consensus" which is essentially a 50/50 split as evidence that the public is on the Cubs? You knw there are sites that actually lrack where public money is...legitimately. And its not on teh Cubs...

     
    CaridadDelCobre
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:21 PM ET #13

    The Covers community is a different story. Generally consider this site more informed and generally sharp leaning - at least the regulars...

     

    To me it seemed pretty split in the forum, although a large number of Covers Forum brethren are on the Cubs, so maybe that's what youre referring to...

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    The Covers community is a different story. Generally consider this site more informed and generally sharp leaning - at least the regulars...

     

    To me it seemed pretty split in the forum, although a large number of Covers Forum brethren are on the Cubs, so maybe that's what youre referring to...

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:52 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by CaridadDelCobre:

    @MrBator  What are you talking about? You are using the Covers "consensus" which is essentially a 50/50 split as evidence that the public is on the Cubs?

     

    I didn’t say that the public is on the Cubs.

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    Quote Originally Posted by CaridadDelCobre:

    @MrBator  What are you talking about? You are using the Covers "consensus" which is essentially a 50/50 split as evidence that the public is on the Cubs?

     

    I didn’t say that the public is on the Cubs.

     
    CaridadDelCobre
    CaridadDelCobre
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:57 PM ET #15

    Post #5.

    You literally said "Public money is not on the Dodgers today, not with the awful way they’re playing and certainly not at this very high price."

    There are only two sides in a game lol...if the public is NOT on the Dodgers as you wrote, by default you are saying it is on the Dodgers...lol

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    Post #5.

    You literally said "Public money is not on the Dodgers today, not with the awful way they’re playing and certainly not at this very high price."

    There are only two sides in a game lol...if the public is NOT on the Dodgers as you wrote, by default you are saying it is on the Dodgers...lol

     
    CaridadDelCobre
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 8:57 PM ET #16

    on the Cubs i mean...

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    on the Cubs i mean...

     
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2026 - 10:13 PM ET #17

    CaridadDelCobre, is there a chance that a sporting event could be held in which each team drew a very similar amount of supporters? 

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    CaridadDelCobre, is there a chance that a sporting event could be held in which each team drew a very similar amount of supporters? 

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