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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Runn Differential League Snapshot... 4-27-19...

    «First Previous 91011 ... 192021 Next Last»
    WISEGUY36
    Wizz_KIDD35
    tinfoils
    ibacku
    Trumpinator2020
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 36947
    Posts: 523
    «First Previous 91011 ... 192021 Next Last»
     
    WISEGUY36
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 10:44 AM ET #201

    Get em , Bud . Good luck  
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    Get em , Bud . Good luck  
     
    Wizz_KIDD35
    Wizz_KIDD35
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    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 11:32 AM ET #202

    BOL 
    STAY HUNGRY MY FRIENDS!!!!!
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    BOL 
     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 3:09 PM ET #203

    Good luck smack!
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    Good luck smack!
     
    ibacku
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    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 3:55 PM ET #204

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    Maybe we should fade the borderline plays 
    Nothing wrong with that idea for sure...would decrease the number of your plays as well...Day 23 of the RDS system plays are below...Chicago Cubs (+58) vs Philadelphia (+31)Colorado (-9) at Pittsburgh (-39)NYY (+51) at Baltimore (-98)Boston (+32) at Toronto (-35)Texas (+11) vs Seattle (-35)Houston (+95) vs CW Sox (-40)St. Louis (+20) vs K.C. (-36)Atlanta (+9) at S.F. (-45)Minnesota (+76) at LA Angels (-2)Arizona (+27) at S.D. (-23)Borderlines...MinnesotaColoradoBostonSo the plays for the day are...Chicago CubsNYYTexasHoustonSt. LouisArizonaAtlantaIf these go 7-0 today...man..I'm going to take the wife out to Pappas Brothers for a nice steak dinner...Good luck gentlemen!

    stl v kc rained out today... dh tommorow

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    Maybe we should fade the borderline plays 
    Nothing wrong with that idea for sure...would decrease the number of your plays as well...Day 23 of the RDS system plays are below...Chicago Cubs (+58) vs Philadelphia (+31)Colorado (-9) at Pittsburgh (-39)NYY (+51) at Baltimore (-98)Boston (+32) at Toronto (-35)Texas (+11) vs Seattle (-35)Houston (+95) vs CW Sox (-40)St. Louis (+20) vs K.C. (-36)Atlanta (+9) at S.F. (-45)Minnesota (+76) at LA Angels (-2)Arizona (+27) at S.D. (-23)Borderlines...MinnesotaColoradoBostonSo the plays for the day are...Chicago CubsNYYTexasHoustonSt. LouisArizonaAtlantaIf these go 7-0 today...man..I'm going to take the wife out to Pappas Brothers for a nice steak dinner...Good luck gentlemen!

    stl v kc rained out today... dh tommorow

     
    Trumpinator2020
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    Posted: May. 21, 2019 - 6:00 PM ET #205

     crushing it. 
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     crushing it. 
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 22, 2019 - 12:53 AM ET #206

    If Atlanta holds on to win and Minnesota continues to crush...the system will have gone 7-2 today ...Overall the record after day 23 will be 117-75...

    But, more importantly...if you had removed the borderline plays (2-1) as recommended and played the selected "plays for the day"...your record would be 5-1...and your record over the last 7 days would now be a CRUSHING 31-9!!!! ...

    I played several of the selected games in a parlay and hit it for a nice score...when you have that many winning games to pick from it's hard to not hit a parlay......

    C'mon guys...31-9....jeez louise...I daresay if this keeps up, I might quit my day job......

    JOKING......




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    If Atlanta holds on to win and Minnesota continues to crush...the system will have gone 7-2 today ...Overall the record after day 23 will be 117-75...

    But, more importantly...if you had removed the borderline plays (2-1) as recommended and played the selected "plays for the day"...your record would be 5-1...and your record over the last 7 days would now be a CRUSHING 31-9!!!! ...

    I played several of the selected games in a parlay and hit it for a nice score...when you have that many winning games to pick from it's hard to not hit a parlay......

    C'mon guys...31-9....jeez louise...I daresay if this keeps up, I might quit my day job......

    JOKING......




     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 22, 2019 - 8:00 AM ET #207

    Atlanta gives up 3 runs in the 9th to lose......which drops all the numbers from yesterday a bit...ugh...will correct the numbers later today when I can...

    Busy work day today so probably won't be able to get the borderlines out...

    But, here are the main system plays for day 24...

    St. Louis (+20) vs K.C. (-36)
    Texas (+13) vs Seattle (-36)
    Arizona (+26) at S.D. (-22)
    Colorado (-4) at Pittsburgh (-44)
    NYY (+58) at Baltimore (-105)
    Boston (+25) at Toronto (-28)
    Chicago Cubs (+59) vs Philadelphia (+30)
    Houston (+99) vs CW Sox (-44)
    Minnesota (+81) vs LA Angels (-7)
    Atlanta (+9) at S.F. (-45)

    Good luck gentlemen!


    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Atlanta gives up 3 runs in the 9th to lose......which drops all the numbers from yesterday a bit...ugh...will correct the numbers later today when I can...

    Busy work day today so probably won't be able to get the borderlines out...

    But, here are the main system plays for day 24...

    St. Louis (+20) vs K.C. (-36)
    Texas (+13) vs Seattle (-36)
    Arizona (+26) at S.D. (-22)
    Colorado (-4) at Pittsburgh (-44)
    NYY (+58) at Baltimore (-105)
    Boston (+25) at Toronto (-28)
    Chicago Cubs (+59) vs Philadelphia (+30)
    Houston (+99) vs CW Sox (-44)
    Minnesota (+81) vs LA Angels (-7)
    Atlanta (+9) at S.F. (-45)

    Good luck gentlemen!


     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 12:02 AM ET #208

    Corrected numbers from yesterday ...

    The system went 7-3 and overall was 116-76...

    Borderlines went 2-1 so if you played the "plays of the day" you went 5-2...7 day record of 30-10...a boring 75%......

    TODAY is day 24 of the RDS...the system will have gone 7-3..IF and ONLY IF...Atlanta can hold a 9-2 lead in the 7th inning...they blew a lead last night...it could happen again...

    Overall the system will be 123-79...and since I did not take out the borderlines there will be no update on the 30-10 record of the last 8 days now..

    I just didn't get a chance to even look at the borderlines but I probably would have had Arizona on the list for sure as they just can't score lately...




    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Corrected numbers from yesterday ...

    The system went 7-3 and overall was 116-76...

    Borderlines went 2-1 so if you played the "plays of the day" you went 5-2...7 day record of 30-10...a boring 75%......

    TODAY is day 24 of the RDS...the system will have gone 7-3..IF and ONLY IF...Atlanta can hold a 9-2 lead in the 7th inning...they blew a lead last night...it could happen again...

    Overall the system will be 123-79...and since I did not take out the borderlines there will be no update on the 30-10 record of the last 8 days now..

    I just didn't get a chance to even look at the borderlines but I probably would have had Arizona on the list for sure as they just can't score lately...




     
    nucksfan12
    nucksfan12
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    Posts: 132
    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 1:33 AM ET #209

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Corrected numbers from yesterday ...The system went 7-3 and overall was 116-76...Borderlines went 2-1 so if you played the "plays of the day" you went 5-2...7 day record of 30-10...a boring 75%......TODAY is day 24 of the RDS...the system will have gone 7-3..IF and ONLY IF...Atlanta can hold a 9-2 lead in the 7th inning...they blew a lead last night...it could happen again...Overall the system will be 123-79...and since I did not take out the borderlines there will be no update on the 30-10 record of the last 8 days now..I just didn't get a chance to even look at the borderlines but I probably would have had Arizona on the list for sure as they just can't score lately...

     

    Keep it up!   Great work!  Really appreciate this work you do.

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Corrected numbers from yesterday ...The system went 7-3 and overall was 116-76...Borderlines went 2-1 so if you played the "plays of the day" you went 5-2...7 day record of 30-10...a boring 75%......TODAY is day 24 of the RDS...the system will have gone 7-3..IF and ONLY IF...Atlanta can hold a 9-2 lead in the 7th inning...they blew a lead last night...it could happen again...Overall the system will be 123-79...and since I did not take out the borderlines there will be no update on the 30-10 record of the last 8 days now..I just didn't get a chance to even look at the borderlines but I probably would have had Arizona on the list for sure as they just can't score lately...

     

    Keep it up!   Great work!  Really appreciate this work you do.

     
    smacksmiter
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 11:40 AM ET #210

    Quote Originally Posted by nucksfan12:

     

    Keep it up!   Great work!  Really appreciate this work you do.


    Thanks brutha!...Some days it's hard to get motivated to keep crunching the numbers and capping...appreciate your kind words...


    Day 25 of the RDS plays have arrived...

    NYM (-15) vs Washington (-38)
    Colorado (+2) at Pittsburgh (-50)
    NYY (+60) at Baltimore (-107)
    Boston (+26) at Toronto (-29)
    Chicago Cubs (+63) vs Philadelphia (+26)
    Atlanta (+57) at S.F. (-51)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Cleveland (+4)
    Houston (+94) vs CW Sox (-39)

    Borderline plays...

    NYM
    Colorado

    Thus, the plays of the day are...

    NYY
    Boston
    Cubs
    Atlanta
    Houston
    T.B.

    Not tracking this at all but a further refinement I am trying today is to remove the SDS borderline plays from the final "plays of the day"...

    That leaves...

    NYY
    Atlanta
    T.B.

    Just going to keep an eye on this as we go forward...

    Good luck today gentlemen!...


    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by nucksfan12:

     

    Keep it up!   Great work!  Really appreciate this work you do.


    Thanks brutha!...Some days it's hard to get motivated to keep crunching the numbers and capping...appreciate your kind words...


    Day 25 of the RDS plays have arrived...

    NYM (-15) vs Washington (-38)
    Colorado (+2) at Pittsburgh (-50)
    NYY (+60) at Baltimore (-107)
    Boston (+26) at Toronto (-29)
    Chicago Cubs (+63) vs Philadelphia (+26)
    Atlanta (+57) at S.F. (-51)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Cleveland (+4)
    Houston (+94) vs CW Sox (-39)

    Borderline plays...

    NYM
    Colorado

    Thus, the plays of the day are...

    NYY
    Boston
    Cubs
    Atlanta
    Houston
    T.B.

    Not tracking this at all but a further refinement I am trying today is to remove the SDS borderline plays from the final "plays of the day"...

    That leaves...

    NYY
    Atlanta
    T.B.

    Just going to keep an eye on this as we go forward...

    Good luck today gentlemen!...


     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 11:42 AM ET #211

    Sorry..an error on the last list where the SDS borderlines are removed from the PODs...the correct list is...

    NYY
    T.B.
    Houston

    My bad...
    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Sorry..an error on the last list where the SDS borderlines are removed from the PODs...the correct list is...

    NYY
    T.B.
    Houston

    My bad...
     
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 11:44 AM ET #212

    Good luck Today , smack 
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    Good luck Today , smack 
     
    ibacku
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 12:28 PM ET #213

    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by nucksfan12:

      Keep it up!   Great work!  Really appreciate this work you do.
    Thanks brutha!...Some days it's hard to get motivated to keep crunching the numbers and capping...appreciate your kind words...Day 25 of the RDS plays have arrived...NYM (-15) vs Washington (-38)Colorado (+2) at Pittsburgh (-50)NYY (+60) at Baltimore (-107)Boston (+26) at Toronto (-29)Chicago Cubs (+63) vs Philadelphia (+26)Atlanta (+57) at S.F. (-51)T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Cleveland (+4)Houston (+94) vs CW Sox (-39)Borderline plays...NYMColoradoThus, the plays of the day are...NYYBostonCubsAtlanta HoustonT.B.Not tracking this at all but a further refinement I am trying today is to remove the SDS borderline plays from the final "plays of the day"...That leaves...NYYAtlanta T.B.Just going to keep an eye on this as we go forward...Good luck today gentlemen!...
     

    GL clover

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    Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

    Quote Originally Posted by nucksfan12:

      Keep it up!   Great work!  Really appreciate this work you do.
    Thanks brutha!...Some days it's hard to get motivated to keep crunching the numbers and capping...appreciate your kind words...Day 25 of the RDS plays have arrived...NYM (-15) vs Washington (-38)Colorado (+2) at Pittsburgh (-50)NYY (+60) at Baltimore (-107)Boston (+26) at Toronto (-29)Chicago Cubs (+63) vs Philadelphia (+26)Atlanta (+57) at S.F. (-51)T.B. Devil Rays (+57) at Cleveland (+4)Houston (+94) vs CW Sox (-39)Borderline plays...NYMColoradoThus, the plays of the day are...NYYBostonCubsAtlanta HoustonT.B.Not tracking this at all but a further refinement I am trying today is to remove the SDS borderline plays from the final "plays of the day"...That leaves...NYYAtlanta T.B.Just going to keep an eye on this as we go forward...Good luck today gentlemen!...
     

    GL clover

     
    BlacknGoldBurgh
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 12:30 PM ET #214

    BOL Smack and appreciate your work and tweaks to make this the best tool possible...an_cheers

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    BOL Smack and appreciate your work and tweaks to make this the best tool possible...an_cheers

     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 1:55 PM ET #215

    Good luck smack 'em!
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    Good luck smack 'em!
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 3:24 PM ET #216

    Thank you gentlemen!...

    Not exactly sure HOW I missed this game...but I have now added it into the card...jeez...

    Minnesota (+81) at LA Angels (-7)

    Minnesota is also a "play of the day" so the complete list is now...

    NYY
    Boston
    Cubs
    Atlanta
    Houston
    T.B. Devil Rays
    Minnesota

    Sorry about that!...





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    Thank you gentlemen!...

    Not exactly sure HOW I missed this game...but I have now added it into the card...jeez...

    Minnesota (+81) at LA Angels (-7)

    Minnesota is also a "play of the day" so the complete list is now...

    NYY
    Boston
    Cubs
    Atlanta
    Houston
    T.B. Devil Rays
    Minnesota

    Sorry about that!...





     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 10:33 PM ET #217

    Day 25 of the RDS is almost complete...I don't see Houston coming back from the losing side of a 4-0 in the 8th inning...it could happen but I'm not feeling it...

    Disappointing thing is I debated and went back and forth about putting Houston on the borderlines list for tonight...I'm looking at where I wrote it down in the borderlines list...and then crossed it out when I made my final decision...my feeling was they could get to Giolito...I was wrong...

    The main system went 6-3, very respectable, but if you took out the borderlines you went 5-2...that's the way it usually goes with the weeded out selections beating the performance of the main system...

    Overall now the main system sits at 130-82 and the plays of the day now with a 9 day record of 35-12...a measly 74.5% rate......

    Amazing how pedestrian Houston has become with just a couple of  key players out...shows how some team performances are on a razor edge...sad I couldn't make myself downgrade them...went against my gut...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Day 25 of the RDS is almost complete...I don't see Houston coming back from the losing side of a 4-0 in the 8th inning...it could happen but I'm not feeling it...

    Disappointing thing is I debated and went back and forth about putting Houston on the borderlines list for tonight...I'm looking at where I wrote it down in the borderlines list...and then crossed it out when I made my final decision...my feeling was they could get to Giolito...I was wrong...

    The main system went 6-3, very respectable, but if you took out the borderlines you went 5-2...that's the way it usually goes with the weeded out selections beating the performance of the main system...

    Overall now the main system sits at 130-82 and the plays of the day now with a 9 day record of 35-12...a measly 74.5% rate......

    Amazing how pedestrian Houston has become with just a couple of  key players out...shows how some team performances are on a razor edge...sad I couldn't make myself downgrade them...went against my gut...

     
    Trumpinator2020
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    Posted: May. 23, 2019 - 11:33 PM ET #218

    Smitty 
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    Smitty 
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 1:15 AM ET #219

    Friday, Day 26 of the RDS and the main plays are...

    Chicago Cubs (+61) vs Cincinnati (+25)
    Washington (-40) vs Miami (-92)
    LA Dodgers (+62) at Pittsburgh (-42)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+62) at Cleveland (-1)
    NYM (-13) vs Detroit (-96)
    Minnesota (+90) vs CW Sox (-35)
    Houston (+90) vs Boston (+32)
    NYY (+61) at K.C. (-37)
    Colorado (-6) vs Baltimore (-108)
    Oakland (+22) vs Seattle (-38)
    Texas (+14) at LA Angels (-16)
    Arizona (+23) at S.F. (-52)

    12 plays...................................

    Going to take some work to weed out the losers...back in the morning...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Friday, Day 26 of the RDS and the main plays are...

    Chicago Cubs (+61) vs Cincinnati (+25)
    Washington (-40) vs Miami (-92)
    LA Dodgers (+62) at Pittsburgh (-42)
    T.B. Devil Rays (+62) at Cleveland (-1)
    NYM (-13) vs Detroit (-96)
    Minnesota (+90) vs CW Sox (-35)
    Houston (+90) vs Boston (+32)
    NYY (+61) at K.C. (-37)
    Colorado (-6) vs Baltimore (-108)
    Oakland (+22) vs Seattle (-38)
    Texas (+14) at LA Angels (-16)
    Arizona (+23) at S.F. (-52)

    12 plays...................................

    Going to take some work to weed out the losers...back in the morning...

     
    OGiant23
    OGiant23
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    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 7:51 AM ET #220

    Washington in free fall Miami is streaking, plus Mets just wore out that met pen like a red headed step child 
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    Washington in free fall Miami is streaking, plus Mets just wore out that met pen like a red headed step child 
     
    WISEGUY36
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    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 10:18 AM ET #221

    Nice work and Good Luck today , smack  . Thanks for the effort
    that you put in on this .

      
    Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
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    Nice work and Good Luck today , smack  . Thanks for the effort
    that you put in on this .

      
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 10:27 AM ET #222

    130-82 is a good run, 61.32%. Are you beating an average line of -159 during this time? Just wondering.

    Best of Luck going forward
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    130-82 is a good run, 61.32%. Are you beating an average line of -159 during this time? Just wondering.

    Best of Luck going forward
     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 10:51 AM ET #223

    Good morning gentlemen!...

    The borderlines for today...

    Washington
    T.B. Devil Rays
    Houston
    Colorado
    Texas
    Arizona

    Which means the selected "Plays of the Day" are...

    Cubs
    LA Dodgers
    NYM
    Minnesota
    NYY
    Oakland

    Should be about time for a 6-0 CRUSHER methinks......

    Best of luck today!

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Good morning gentlemen!...

    The borderlines for today...

    Washington
    T.B. Devil Rays
    Houston
    Colorado
    Texas
    Arizona

    Which means the selected "Plays of the Day" are...

    Cubs
    LA Dodgers
    NYM
    Minnesota
    NYY
    Oakland

    Should be about time for a 6-0 CRUSHER methinks......

    Best of luck today!

     
    smacksmiter
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    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 11:06 AM ET #224

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    130-82 is a good run, 61.32%. Are you beating an average line of -159 during this time? Just wondering.

    Best of Luck going forward

    That's a great question, Sac...and something I want to start tracking...no time like today to take a look at that since I have a bit of time this morning...

    However, just to clarify, the 130-72 that produced the 61.32% is the main system that has since been further refined into the "PODs" which are now 35-12 (74.5%) over the last 10 days...

    The Dodgers line is not out as the Pirates have not posted a starting pitcher yet...the average ML on the other 5 games today is -185...

    Obviously, since this system and the PODs select for favorites most often, the average line is going to be skewed upwards...I have said before that I am seeing more value in using this system as both a confirmation tool and a parlay fill in tool...The PODs in particular have had at least 3 days out of 10 with a perfect selection card with no losses...

    If this can end up doing that over the long term...or even 20%-30% of the cards having 1 or no losses...it will have HUGE value in parlays and confirmations of other cappers selections...

    PM for the skinny on the down low
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    130-82 is a good run, 61.32%. Are you beating an average line of -159 during this time? Just wondering.

    Best of Luck going forward

    That's a great question, Sac...and something I want to start tracking...no time like today to take a look at that since I have a bit of time this morning...

    However, just to clarify, the 130-72 that produced the 61.32% is the main system that has since been further refined into the "PODs" which are now 35-12 (74.5%) over the last 10 days...

    The Dodgers line is not out as the Pirates have not posted a starting pitcher yet...the average ML on the other 5 games today is -185...

    Obviously, since this system and the PODs select for favorites most often, the average line is going to be skewed upwards...I have said before that I am seeing more value in using this system as both a confirmation tool and a parlay fill in tool...The PODs in particular have had at least 3 days out of 10 with a perfect selection card with no losses...

    If this can end up doing that over the long term...or even 20%-30% of the cards having 1 or no losses...it will have HUGE value in parlays and confirmations of other cappers selections...

     
     
    tinfoils
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    Posted: May. 24, 2019 - 2:27 PM ET #225

    Good luck smack!
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    Good luck smack!
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