MLB Monday Funday

Haven’t posted since last Thursday, busy weekend just graduated from college so I was spending time with friends and family. That said, I’m ready to rinse the books today and make my money back from all the booze bought this weekend, will be posting soonish. 
Updated Record: 21-9

what's the play kiddo? 

@Way2Good

 Here ya go 

Over 8.5 Total Runs — Phillies @ Cardinals (-130) 

Both these offenses are swinging it right now, so I like the over at 8.5. The Cards put up 7 on Colorado yesterday and Philly’s bats have been live too, so im confident this one gets there.

Cardinals ML — Phillies @ Cardinals (+105)

 The model actually has them at 53.1%  even as the underdog. Dobbins has two straight quality starts, giving up just 2 runs over 12.1 innings,  and he’s matched up against a Painter who’s 1-8. Getting plus money on the better pitcher tonight is a spot I’ll take.

Angels ML vs Rangers (+105)

 This is my swing leg and I know it, the Angels are 45-73,  so I’m not pretending it’s clean. But Detmers has 150 K’s with a 4.12 ERA  and I’m getting +105 at home in a near coinflip, so the risk is priced in and I only need the outright.

Rays ML @ Athletics (-155)

Tampa’s 71-46 with the best record in the AL, riding a six-game streak after sweeping Colorado and Seattle, against an A’s team that’s a league-worst 47-71.  Only thing keeping me honest is Peralta’s 5.37 ERA and 1.52 WHIP  in a bandbox park. 

Thanks for the picks! Keep em coming