1. WSH VS PHI · 5:40 · PHI ML (-282) Washington is running Carson Palmquist, a reliever with a 10.80 ERA whose last four outings went 2.0, 1.1, 1.1 and 1.2 innings. Luzardo holds lefties to a .403 OPS across 126 at bats and has gone 19, 21 and 15 outs in his last three. Philly's price already jumped from -221 to -282, so the edge is mostly eaten. The live angle is the total at 9.0, because Washington's pen has to cover seven innings. Risk: that pen is the freshest on the board at 95 with all nine arms up.
2. NYM VS CLE · 5:40 · CLE ML (-129) José Ramírez is out with a hand issue, pulled from a lineup already at a .535 OPS over ten games, the worst mark of any team playing tonight. Cleveland scores 1.44 early and allows 0.94, which is the case. But the Mets allow 0.44 runs after the sixth, best on the board, and 77% of tickets sit on Cleveland while the price drifted from -137 to -129. Money is going the other way. Neither starter finishes six. Under 7.5 is the cleaner side of this game.
3. DET VS SEA · 8:40 · DET ML (+111) Troy Melton carries a 1.75 ERA and holds righties to a .446 OPS. Detroit is the hottest offense on the board at .789 over ten with a +3.5 run differential, best on the slate, and they cover as a dog in five straight. T-Mobile is an 0.82 park, the most extreme pitcher's yard tonight. The total dropped 8.5 to 7.5 with 95% of the under money behind it. Detroit is 5-0 to the over in their last five, so the two reads fight. The clean version: Detroit side, Detroit first five over.
Full Breakdown: degenhoops.com/community/thread.php?id=10
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--- ?? THE THREE BEST SPOTS ---
1. WSH VS PHI · 5:40 · PHI ML (-282) Washington is running Carson Palmquist, a reliever with a 10.80 ERA whose last four outings went 2.0, 1.1, 1.1 and 1.2 innings. Luzardo holds lefties to a .403 OPS across 126 at bats and has gone 19, 21 and 15 outs in his last three. Philly's price already jumped from -221 to -282, so the edge is mostly eaten. The live angle is the total at 9.0, because Washington's pen has to cover seven innings. Risk: that pen is the freshest on the board at 95 with all nine arms up.
2. NYM VS CLE · 5:40 · CLE ML (-129) José Ramírez is out with a hand issue, pulled from a lineup already at a .535 OPS over ten games, the worst mark of any team playing tonight. Cleveland scores 1.44 early and allows 0.94, which is the case. But the Mets allow 0.44 runs after the sixth, best on the board, and 77% of tickets sit on Cleveland while the price drifted from -137 to -129. Money is going the other way. Neither starter finishes six. Under 7.5 is the cleaner side of this game.
3. DET VS SEA · 8:40 · DET ML (+111) Troy Melton carries a 1.75 ERA and holds righties to a .446 OPS. Detroit is the hottest offense on the board at .789 over ten with a +3.5 run differential, best on the slate, and they cover as a dog in five straight. T-Mobile is an 0.82 park, the most extreme pitcher's yard tonight. The total dropped 8.5 to 7.5 with 95% of the under money behind it. Detroit is 5-0 to the over in their last five, so the two reads fight. The clean version: Detroit side, Detroit first five over.
Full Breakdown: degenhoops.com/community/thread.php?id=10
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