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Mavin's MLB Contest

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Posts: 1933
 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #876
18/2

Musicmatt1  34-14-2  +1535$

 

DET Tigers  ML  -161

 

SEA Mariners  TT Under 3  -140

 

ATL Braves  ML  -125


Simondog 33-16-2 +1527$


DET Tigers ML -161


ATL Braves ML -125


MIL Brewers ML +102


natalieportman9 24-22 +320$


ARI Diamondbacks ML +100

ATL Braves ML -120

CHI White Sox ML -102

Hekili1  2-1  +105$

BOS Red Sox -1.5 +120

CIN Reds -1.5 +120

ATL Braves ML -117

KCsFinest829 20-23 -298$

STL Cardinals ML -112

Over 8.5 ARI Diamonbacks - NY Yankees -115

BAL Orioles ML +123

AshyLarryMP 23-23-4 -$358

BAL Orioles TT Under 3.5 -125

CLE Indians TT Under 3.5 -115

Under 7.5 BAL Orioles - TB Rays -115

greengiants 21-25 -475$

Under 8.5 NY Yankees - ARI Diamondbacks +108

NY Mets ML +110

TOR BlueJays ML -110

 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #877
18/2

Musicmatt1  34-14-2  +1535$

 

DET Tigers  ML  -161

 

SEA Mariners  TT Under 3  -140

 

ATL Braves  ML  -125


Simondog 33-16-2 +1527$


DET Tigers ML -161


ATL Braves ML -125


MIL Brewers ML +102


MikeTizzy  20-14-1  +721$

 

CHI White Sox ML +104


natalieportman9 24-22 +320$


ARI Diamondbacks ML +100

ATL Braves ML -120

CHI White Sox ML -102

Hekili1  2-1  +105$

BOS Red Sox -1.5 +120

CIN Reds -1.5 +120

ATL Braves ML -117

KCsFinest829 20-23 -298$

STL Cardinals ML -112

Over 8.5 ARI Diamonbacks - NY Yankees -115

BAL Orioles ML +123

AshyLarryMP 23-23-4 -$358

BAL Orioles TT Under 3.5 -125

CLE Indians TT Under 3.5 -115

Under 7.5 BAL Orioles - TB Rays -115

greengiants 21-25 -475$

Under 8.5 NY Yankees - ARI Diamondbacks +108

NY Mets ML +110

TOR BlueJays ML -110
 
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Posted: #878
I would note that in the next game and if not the game after that - Verlander will be given the necessary support from his teammates
 
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Posted: #879
I'd also mark as Cain in the next outing as a highly probable winner 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #880
Don't forget Strasburg tomorrow... The Nats have been out scored 9 to 6 in his 3 starts. He is 1-2, with 2 straight losses. Harvey is a great young pitcher but his 3 starts were against Padres, Phillies, and Twins.

Nats had one day off and should have recovered from the flu.
 
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Posts: 526
Posted: #881
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

I'd also mark as Cain in the next outing as a highly probable winner 

I already have this game marked, he has excellent stats after being rocked as you saw last game, plus this will be a home start I think where he is also great!
 
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Posts: 526
Posted: #882
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

Don't forget Strasburg tomorrow... The Nats have been out scored 9 to 6 in his 3 starts. He is 1-2, with 2 straight losses. Harvey is a great young pitcher but his 3 starts were against Padres, Phillies, and Twins.

Nats had one day off and should have recovered from the flu.

have to agree with you here Matt!
 
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Posts: 442
Posted: #883
Quote Originally Posted by ashylarrymp:

anyone notice a trend in mavins postings of the records?? days 7-8-9 and 14-15-16 all are red.. those SHOULD be cooresponding days on the calendar.. 14-15-16 are (sunday, monday, tuesday) of this week.. and 7-8-9 are (sunday, monday, and tuesday of last week).. 

maybe there's something to that, maybe too little of a timetable, not sure. i have noticed tuesdays have been screwing me though so far.



I'd have to look at the data to find trends but I have a few guesses...

Sunday is a day of rest. It's a transition day where teams prepare for the week ahead, not the problem at hand. So the question is, do teams rest if they have Monday off or do they rest when play Monday or do they rest at all? We need to identify the the strong Sunday teams.

Monday and Tuesdays are starts to work week. There's a song Manic Monday by the Bangles, so I'm guessing the good Monday teams are those with strong leadership and focus, not the ones who wish it was Sunday.

As for Tuesday. I'd play games of teams that started their series on Mondays because for the others, it is just like a Monday.

Obviously, the keys is finding the exception. These theories could slightly hinder the predicted outcome but it's a good discussion to determine teams that have the best chance for a positive outcome.

 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #884
18/2

Musicmatt1  34-14-2  +1535$

 

DET Tigers  ML  -161

 

SEA Mariners  TT Under 3  -140

 

ATL Braves  ML  -125


Simondog 33-16-2 +1527$


DET Tigers ML -161


ATL Braves ML -125


MIL Brewers ML +102


MikeTizzy  20-14-1  +721$

 

CHI White Sox ML +104


natalieportman9 24-22 +320$


ARI Diamondbacks ML +100

ATL Braves ML -120

CHI White Sox ML -102

Hekili1  2-1  +105$

BOS Red Sox -1.5 +120

CIN Reds -1.5 +120

ATL Braves ML -117

KCsFinest829 20-23 -298$

STL Cardinals ML -112

Over 8.5 ARI Diamonbacks - NY Yankees -115

BAL Orioles ML +123

AshyLarryMP 23-23-4 -$358

BAL Orioles TT Under 3.5 -125

CLE Indians TT Under 3.5 -115

Under 7.5 BAL Orioles - TB Rays -115

greengiants 21-25 -475$

Under 8.5 NY Yankees - ARI Diamondbacks +108

NY Mets ML +110

TOR Blue Jays ML -110
 
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Posts: 202
Posted: #885
Great job Mavin... keeping this going.. its obvious that stratsburg is due along with Cain, I look for both of their next games to go under. Thats my 2 cents.
 
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Posted: #886
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:

Don't forget Strasburg tomorrow... The Nats have been out scored 9 to 6 in his 3 starts. He is 1-2, with 2 straight losses. Harvey is a great young pitcher but his 3 starts were against Padres, Phillies, and Twins.

Nats had one day off and should have recovered from the flu.

great info matt! on all angles! i 100% agree, any reason not to like the nationals tomorrow?? Stras played them twice last year pitched 13ip 1er 20k's!! at pretty solid value too.

and thanks for the response on the records trend, i will keep note of it and see how it looks as time goes on as in which teams excel on what days etc.. very sound reasoning on your part.
 
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Posted: #887
Ridibets  0-0-0  0$
 
WASH Nationals  ML  -125

dont see stras losing 3 in a row
 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #888
18/2

Musicmatt1  34-14-2  +1535$

 

DET Tigers  ML  -161

 

SEA Mariners  TT Under 3  -140

 

ATL Braves  ML  -125


Simondog 33-16-2 +1527$


DET Tigers ML -161


ATL Braves ML -125


MIL Brewers ML +102


MikeTizzy  20-14-1  +721$

 

CHI White Sox ML +104


natalieportman9 24-22 +320$


ARI Diamondbacks ML +100

ATL Braves ML -120

CHI White Sox ML -102

Hekili1  2-1  +105$

BOS Red Sox -1.5 +120

CIN Reds -1.5 +120    

ATL Braves ML -117

KCsFinest829 20-23 -298$

STL Cardinals ML -112

Over 8.5 ARI Diamonbacks - NY Yankees -115

BAL Orioles ML +123

AshyLarryMP 23-23-4 -$358

BAL Orioles TT Under 3.5 -125

CLE Indians TT Under 3.5 -115

Under 7.5 BAL Orioles - TB Rays -115

greengiants 21-25 -475$

Under 8.5 NY Yankees - ARI Diamondbacks +108

NY Mets ML +110

TOR Blue Jays ML -110
 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #889
18

+494$

14-8

 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #890
1    33-28       +335$

2    24-18       +337$

3    16-18        -349$

4    17-4-1    +1476$

5    20-11-1    +992$

6    21-8       +1356$

7    14-20-1     -919$

8     12-16       -538$

9     8-20-1      -1431$

10   20-7-2     +1230$
 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #891
11   11-13-6     -178$

12    14-9-1     +380$

13    13-9-2     +227$

14     10-17      -938$

15    10-12-3    -313$

16    10-12-4    -465$

17    13-10-4     +212$

18       14-8       +494$

--------------------------------------------------------------

Total  280-240-26   +1908$
 
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Posted: #892
Discussions are starting to pay off and also notice that we're already entering the faze where the code on pitchers can be applied and the discussions about that will also prove to be fruitful.
Next thing will be looking deeper into a big juice odds when the games are early and usually are there for entrapment. Once we'll have that figured out - we'll be on the right path.
I also expect the veterans on the thread to instruct new comers about out rules as you did not long ago and even more than that about learned lessons not to gamble but to handicap.
Great job fellas. We're in the right direction.
 
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Posted: #893
Musicmatt1  36-15-2  +1574$

Simondog 35-17-2 +1568$

MikeTizzy  20-15-1  +621$

Hekili1  5-1  +445$

natalieportman9 26-23 +418$


 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #894
Stay humbled and focus! More reasoning  - better self analysis tools in a thought process department. Do it like pros and you'll get results like pros.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2013
Posts: 299
Posted: #895
Simondog Friday

ATL Braves  ML -128
Pirates not hitting at home. Team average of .198 Not gonna work against Hudson. 

BST Red Sox  ML -142
Red Sox Starters are solid and if they get early lead "game over" 10-0 when scoring first. Buchholz should be able to continue dominating season. 

COL Rockies  ML -133
Dont like Arizona in Colorado,Cold weather (50-ish) and Colorado seems on a roll


 
Veteran
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Posts: 1106
Posted: #896
i don't know the full rules but heres my 3 picks...can u pick a middle line that is above-200....for the reds pick i will take middle line and if i can't i will take the 1 and 1/2 line....

Cincy Reds ML -230 or 1 and 1/2...-115....Miami is looking like the bottomfeeder in the league so far and the Reds are getting hot already, I don't see much changing from the blowout administered yesterday....I even grabbed the 2 and a half alt line yesterday for a big payday....

Brewers ML -112.....Some matchups I like to take an overpowering favorite...I liked the way the Brewers hit in their last series and the Cubs are terrible....I do like Samardija pitching for the Cubs, he is starting to look like he picked the right sport....but the Brewers have enough offensive firepower to still win here....

ATL Braves ML -116.....Braves are simply on a roll....'nuff said


I also like, Rockies, Red Sox and Rangers -1 and a half with Darvish at the mound..and TB and Oak over 7 and a half... in their respective games.....

GL Guys....it was hard choice not picking the Red Sox with Buchholz..

 
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Posts: 1106
Posted: #897
You know I can't really say hte Brewers are an overpowering favorite but Cubs are 2-4 on the road already and I just like the way Milwaukee is scoring runs right now....Red Sox might have been a more logical pick but oh well.....GL to everyone....
 
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Posts: 510
Posted: #898
washhead 4-7-1 -350$

BOS Red Sox ML -145

CHI White Sox -1.0 -156

Aside from the advantageous pitching matchup (Buchholz vs Sheilds), I love picking teams in emotional spots like this one.  The first game back at Fenway after this week's bombing is all the reason I need to pick the Sox.  They'll win this one for the city of Boston. 

I faded Worley on Wednesday against the Angels but it got rained out.  It's a new day, a new opponent, but the same Worley.  Until he proves he can get people out (opposing BA over .400 so far this year) I'll fade him.  Peavy has been dominant against the Twins recently, Willingham and Morneau can't hit him. 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 442
Posted: #899
Quote Originally Posted by washhead:

washhead 4-7-1 -350$

BOS Red Sox ML -145

CHI White Sox -1.0 -156

Aside from the advantageous pitching matchup (Buchholz vs Sheilds), I love picking teams in emotional spots like this one.  The first game back at Fenway after this week's bombing is all the reason I need to pick the Sox.  They'll win this one for the city of Boston. 

I faded Worley on Wednesday against the Angels but it got rained out.  It's a new day, a new opponent, but the same Worley.  Until he proves he can get people out (opposing BA over .400 so far this year) I'll fade him.  Peavy has been dominant against the Twins recently, Willingham and Morneau can't hit him. 

I'm not sure what this means in MLB... but White Sox playing their 11th game in a row,  Worley stinks but these teams are on opposite levels of the Energy Tank.
 
 
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Posts: 2379
Posted: #900
Musicmatt1 looking at anything yet! Nice work your doing, thanks agsin.
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