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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    2017 program run

    «First Previous 234 ... 101112 Next Last»
    AFNfootballnerd
    The_Extremist
    dbasports
    Rolexsports
    8888Vegas
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 44502
    Posts: 277
    «First Previous 234 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 5:41 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by PlayWithThem:


    What does the percent quality start mean? How is Degrom's number lower than his opponent? Just curious.

    A simulated strikeout to walk ratio.  you can google what Quality start means in MLB.  The program also simulates and tracks most productive batter of the team and today was joey votto. Given the batters lineup for the reds avg. rbi's and on base percentage it lowered Degroms percentage.  Its key to watch the game and see how the most productive batter perfoms.  Degrom had him early but after he was pulled Votto hit a homerun for a productive game.

    Hope this clear things up what goes on with program and numbers 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by PlayWithThem:


    What does the percent quality start mean? How is Degrom's number lower than his opponent? Just curious.

    A simulated strikeout to walk ratio.  you can google what Quality start means in MLB.  The program also simulates and tracks most productive batter of the team and today was joey votto. Given the batters lineup for the reds avg. rbi's and on base percentage it lowered Degroms percentage.  Its key to watch the game and see how the most productive batter perfoms.  Degrom had him early but after he was pulled Votto hit a homerun for a productive game.

    Hope this clear things up what goes on with program and numbers 
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 5:46 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:



    how are you getting 30% QS for Rovertson? he has had 1 QS in 6 games in 2017.and degrom has had 18 QS out of 27 games started that's 66%. are we looking at the same thing? just curious

    its a predicted Chance of a quality start based off of simulation. Simulate the game with all the stats 100 times that's the percentage you get. 


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:



    how are you getting 30% QS for Rovertson? he has had 1 QS in 6 games in 2017.and degrom has had 18 QS out of 27 games started that's 66%. are we looking at the same thing? just curious

    its a predicted Chance of a quality start based off of simulation. Simulate the game with all the stats 100 times that's the percentage you get. 


     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 5:53 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:


    its a predicted Chance of a quality start based off of simulation. Simulate the game with all the stats 100 times that's the percentage you get. 




    and how do you do that? that's something that you obviously have on your side than. Not a stat that these guys can look up. Might want to let people know it's not 'QUALITY STARTS" per say that's listed as the pitchers stats. its' a simulated quality start. it's a big difference. Either way appreciate the reply and great work.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:


    its a predicted Chance of a quality start based off of simulation. Simulate the game with all the stats 100 times that's the percentage you get. 




    and how do you do that? that's something that you obviously have on your side than. Not a stat that these guys can look up. Might want to let people know it's not 'QUALITY STARTS" per say that's listed as the pitchers stats. its' a simulated quality start. it's a big difference. Either way appreciate the reply and great work.
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 6:19 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:



    and how do you do that? that's something that you obviously have on your side than. Not a stat that these guys can look up. Might want to let people know it's not 'QUALITY STARTS" per say that's listed as the pitchers stats. its' a simulated quality start. it's a big difference. Either way appreciate the reply and great work.

    indeed its a simulated quality start not quality starts.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:



    and how do you do that? that's something that you obviously have on your side than. Not a stat that these guys can look up. Might want to let people know it's not 'QUALITY STARTS" per say that's listed as the pitchers stats. its' a simulated quality start. it's a big difference. Either way appreciate the reply and great work.

    indeed its a simulated quality start not quality starts.  
     
    dbasports
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 6:20 PM ET #30

    Indeed my account is about to say +$1150
    Reply
    Indeed my account is about to say +$1150
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 6:38 PM ET #31

    wondering if the Unit randy Johnson faded his own former team because the radio announcer said he is gone 
    Reply
    wondering if the Unit randy Johnson faded his own former team because the radio announcer said he is gone 
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 7:12 PM ET #32

    I had a play on the cardinals and now the pitching change to cain  
    Reply
    I had a play on the cardinals and now the pitching change to cain  
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 7:54 PM ET #33

    RLM in favor of Brewers 

    Davies 52% simulated quality start Gonzalez 45% quality start 

    Keep an eye in Braun projected to have a good game 

    2 star rating on a close game with RLM went 2-0 yesterday let's hope it hits today 

    Brewers $2400 to win $2000
    Reply
    RLM in favor of Brewers 

    Davies 52% simulated quality start Gonzalez 45% quality start 

    Keep an eye in Braun projected to have a good game 

    2 star rating on a close game with RLM went 2-0 yesterday let's hope it hits today 

    Brewers $2400 to win $2000
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 7:56 PM ET #34

    Correction game is a 3 star rating meaning a close game a 2 star would be a no play 
    Reply
    Correction game is a 3 star rating meaning a close game a 2 star would be a no play 
     
    Rolexsports
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 7:58 PM ET #35

    Didn't ride the Reds with you today but took the DBacks + 101 for 2 k. Think I'll ride the Brewers against my home team tonight. Read something that I really liked about them tonight. Good luck to us ...
    Reply
    Didn't ride the Reds with you today but took the DBacks + 101 for 2 k. Think I'll ride the Brewers against my home team tonight. Read something that I really liked about them tonight. Good luck to us ...
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 11:07 PM ET #36

    what a difference it makes when I actually have the day off to analyze games and plan the games accordingly throughout the day while drinking a beer 


    Reply
    what a difference it makes when I actually have the day off to analyze games and plan the games accordingly throughout the day while drinking a beer 


     
    8888Vegas
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 12:35 AM ET #37

    Reply
     
    dallasm
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 3:32 AM ET #38

    Reply
     
    dallasm
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 3:36 AM ET #39

    A F N
    Reply
    A F N
     
    youngrb69
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 7:09 AM ET #40

    And Cards win too
    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

    I had a play on the cardinals and now the pitching change to cain  
    Reply
    And Cards win too
    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

    I had a play on the cardinals and now the pitching change to cain  
     
    Day-trader1
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 10:37 AM ET #41

    Reply
     
    Jorgelb47
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 11:38 AM ET #42

    Reply
     
    Jorgelb47
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 11:57 AM ET #43

    Reply
     
    LAC63
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 12:03 PM ET #44

    Hopefully you're on days off today again
    Reply
    Hopefully you're on days off today again
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 2:23 PM ET #45

    Braves $1000 to win $1800

    I know its late last minute play I literally just put it in for tracking purposes 
    Reply
    Braves $1000 to win $1800

    I know its late last minute play I literally just put it in for tracking purposes 
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 3:22 PM ET #46

    I will for the life of me never understand why a pitcher on a 0-2 count pitching against another pitcher at bat throws a perfect strike down the middle of the plate when the pitcher at bat is showing bunt before he even throws 
    Reply
    I will for the life of me never understand why a pitcher on a 0-2 count pitching against another pitcher at bat throws a perfect strike down the middle of the plate when the pitcher at bat is showing bunt before he even throws 
     
    diztant
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 3:45 PM ET #47

    AFN - quick question...do you take Bullpens into account with your system? 
    Reply
    AFN - quick question...do you take Bullpens into account with your system? 
     
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 3:48 PM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by diztant:

    AFN - quick question...do you take Bullpens into account with your system? 

    No cant predict who the manager will bring in that's when baseball becomes a pure gamble.  But.....if your team is down the bullpen these days can work in your favor 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by diztant:

    AFN - quick question...do you take Bullpens into account with your system? 

    No cant predict who the manager will bring in that's when baseball becomes a pure gamble.  But.....if your team is down the bullpen these days can work in your favor 

     
    diztant
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 4:13 PM ET #49

    thanks bud :) BOL to us
    Reply
    thanks bud :) BOL to us
     
     
    rlovsin17
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2017 - 4:28 PM ET #50

    not a savior
    Reply
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