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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    2017 program run

    123 ... 101112 Next Last»
    AFNfootballnerd
    dallasm
    dbasports
    Sportsfixx
    stocktrader15
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 44502
    Posts: 277
    123 ... 101112 Next Last»
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
    Veteran
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    Joined: Nov, 2012
    Posts: 4050
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 9:36 PM ET #1

    Starting a new thread because the last one has become too long.  I will continue with the program win or lose lets continue this journey 

    DIamondbacks $2000 to win $2200 


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Starting a new thread because the last one has become too long.  I will continue with the program win or lose lets continue this journey 

    DIamondbacks $2000 to win $2200 


     
    dallasm
    dallasm
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    Posts: 7150
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 9:37 PM ET #2

    There he is !!
    Reply
    There he is !!
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 9:45 PM ET #3

    I went over the program all day today and might have found an interesting trend and as usual RLM will still be in full effect.  Gonna start fresh with the record with this new adjustment as I added a star system to the program.  

    With Ryu forecasted to have a 40% quality start and Ray at 38% that's a close matchup.....

    With this game being simulated the diamondbacks are rated 5 stars as a moneyline play.

    What ive noticed the teams with RLM that are favored at the open and close most if not all are 3 star.  So 3 star teams that are RLM will be a play on RLM games.

    Why are these RLM games 3 star plays its something I noticed just today with the braves and redsox.  

    Gonna start a fresh record to keep track of this adjustment 
    I might be on to something lets see how this goes. 


    Reply
    I went over the program all day today and might have found an interesting trend and as usual RLM will still be in full effect.  Gonna start fresh with the record with this new adjustment as I added a star system to the program.  

    With Ryu forecasted to have a 40% quality start and Ray at 38% that's a close matchup.....

    With this game being simulated the diamondbacks are rated 5 stars as a moneyline play.

    What ive noticed the teams with RLM that are favored at the open and close most if not all are 3 star.  So 3 star teams that are RLM will be a play on RLM games.

    Why are these RLM games 3 star plays its something I noticed just today with the braves and redsox.  

    Gonna start a fresh record to keep track of this adjustment 
    I might be on to something lets see how this goes. 


     
    dbasports
    dbasports
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    Posts: 183
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 10:27 PM ET #4

    How much you playing per pick with 5k br afn  
    Reply
    How much you playing per pick with 5k br afn  
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 10:36 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    How much you playing per pick with 5k br afn  

    2k with these 5 star games and 1k with 3 stars I hate to use stars because it sounds like a dam tout 


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by dbasports:

    How much you playing per pick with 5k br afn  

    2k with these 5 star games and 1k with 3 stars I hate to use stars because it sounds like a dam tout 


     
    dbasports
    dbasports
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    Posts: 183
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 10:52 PM ET #6

    Missed this one but let's get it tomorrow
    Reply
    Missed this one but let's get it tomorrow
     
    Sportsfixx
    Sportsfixx
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    Posts: 2613
    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 11:00 PM ET #7

    Great start
    Reply
    Great start
     
    dallasm
    dallasm
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2017 - 11:22 PM ET #8

    Reply
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posts: 4050
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 12:47 AM ET #9

    thank you Rodney  for not making me squeeze my cheaks like last night......
    Reply
    thank you Rodney  for not making me squeeze my cheaks like last night......
     
    stocktrader15
    stocktrader15
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    Posts: 239
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 5:41 AM ET #10

    I have experience writing pattern recognition software used in analyzing foreign exchange markets.  I typically only bet on fights when I think hype has swayed the line in my favor but I have recently set aside a few thousand to try and develop a system or find an already developed working system that I can tweak or automate.  I know C# and python.  Let me know if I can help. 
    Reply
    I have experience writing pattern recognition software used in analyzing foreign exchange markets.  I typically only bet on fights when I think hype has swayed the line in my favor but I have recently set aside a few thousand to try and develop a system or find an already developed working system that I can tweak or automate.  I know C# and python.  Let me know if I can help. 
     
    stocktrader15
    stocktrader15
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    Posts: 239
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 6:10 AM ET #11

    I put a few thousand on a floyd KO @ -160 so now I have about 5k of the houses money.  I've decided to use this to develop a system.
    Reply
    I put a few thousand on a floyd KO @ -160 so now I have about 5k of the houses money.  I've decided to use this to develop a system.
     
    stocktrader15
    stocktrader15
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    Posts: 239
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 6:36 AM ET #12

    In full disclosure I also made this offer to herbshack
    Reply
    In full disclosure I also made this offer to herbshack
     
    Skrkro
    Skrkro
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    Posts: 179
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 8:04 AM ET #13

    Good call AFN  
    Reply
    Good call AFN  
     
    plenty420
    plenty420
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    Posts: 862
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 11:03 AM ET #14

    Nicely done AFN, thanks for the winner. 
    Reply
    Nicely done AFN, thanks for the winner. 
     
    therealdutch
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 12:20 PM ET #15

    Reply
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 12:22 PM ET #16

    Degrom 29% Stephenson 30% quality start?
    Reds as a home dog with 5 stars?

    Reds $2000 to win $2500
    Reply
    Degrom 29% Stephenson 30% quality start?
    Reds as a home dog with 5 stars?

    Reds $2000 to win $2500
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 2:54 PM ET #17

    So we have RLM in favor for the Dodgers but program has a 5 star for Diamondbacks....interesting both contradicted each other 
    Reply
    So we have RLM in favor for the Dodgers but program has a 5 star for Diamondbacks....interesting both contradicted each other 
     
    youngrb69
    youngrb69
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 3:11 PM ET #18

    Reds

    Reply

    Reds

     
    CHEEBA
    CHEEBA
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    Posts: 166
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 3:12 PM ET #19

    We taking dbacks afn?
    Reply
    We taking dbacks afn?
     
    PlayWithThem
    PlayWithThem
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    Posts: 197
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 3:22 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

    Degrom 29% Stephenson 30% quality start?
    Reds as a home dog with 5 stars?

    Reds $2000 to win $2500

    What does the percent quality start mean? How is Degrom's number lower than his opponent? Just curious.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

    Degrom 29% Stephenson 30% quality start?
    Reds as a home dog with 5 stars?

    Reds $2000 to win $2500

    What does the percent quality start mean? How is Degrom's number lower than his opponent? Just curious.
     
    dbasports
    dbasports
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 3:25 PM ET #21

    Reds for $500 thank you very much Db now stands at +$625 on the week he nickel and dimed his way back from a -$750 Monday and never stressed once. 
    Reply
    Reds for $500 thank you very much Db now stands at +$625 on the week he nickel and dimed his way back from a -$750 Monday and never stressed once. 
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 3:30 PM ET #22

    Diamondbacks $2100 to win $2000
    Reply
    Diamondbacks $2100 to win $2000
     
    AFNfootballnerd
    AFNfootballnerd
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 3:36 PM ET #23

    at what point do I have to fade a RLM play?  Greinke 50% quality start Maeda 35%

    Diamondbacks at a 5 star rating......


    at some point you gotta make a decision on fading RLM win or lose I gotta follow the numbers because at the end of the day had I followed dodgers blindly based off line movement and dodgers lose I would research the numbers and in retrospect I should have known.....feeling sucks especially since I'm a numbers guy 
    Reply
    at what point do I have to fade a RLM play?  Greinke 50% quality start Maeda 35%

    Diamondbacks at a 5 star rating......


    at some point you gotta make a decision on fading RLM win or lose I gotta follow the numbers because at the end of the day had I followed dodgers blindly based off line movement and dodgers lose I would research the numbers and in retrospect I should have known.....feeling sucks especially since I'm a numbers guy 
     
    CHEEBA
    CHEEBA
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    Posts: 166
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 4:33 PM ET #24

    Keep slaying afn!
    Reply
    Keep slaying afn!
     
     
    The_Extremist
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2017 - 5:39 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

    Degrom 29% Stephenson 30% quality start?
    Reds as a home dog with 5 stars?

    Reds $2000 to win $2500


    how are you getting 30% QS for Rovertson? he has had 1 QS in 6 games in 2017.and degrom has had 18 QS out of 27 games started that's 66%. are we looking at the same thing? just curious
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by AFNfootballnerd:

    Degrom 29% Stephenson 30% quality start?
    Reds as a home dog with 5 stars?

    Reds $2000 to win $2500


    how are you getting 30% QS for Rovertson? he has had 1 QS in 6 games in 2017.and degrom has had 18 QS out of 27 games started that's 66%. are we looking at the same thing? just curious
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