Posted:
#1751
Fields are decent tonight
10 horses
7
9
9
10
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Harness Racing Ontario - Mohawk specialty + other B tracks occasionally
Posted:
#1752
Reversing the order of my capping....
Race 5 > love Mike Saftic kicking himself off when his horse showed promise (#5) into a 1 second stiff wind and now comes back with Doug McNair to drive the horse aggressively from the middle of the gate.....my favourite situation to jump on a horse with a high morning line
-also need to put in his buddy JMAC who will keep his horse honest and maybe win with #2 ...sometimes that is what is needed to get a horse across the line ahead of the others....a battle late in the race
-#6 figures also with 2nd time lasix .....if you make it this far, back up with #10 and 389
Race 4 > 9 3 4 5 6 .....not putting in #7 unless I find a KEY somewhere in the first few races as it races better inside when it can follow....it will be pressed to get to the lead likely with aggressive drivers everywhere in this race ....definitely no KEY in this race
Race 3 > 457 figure on back class and times/performance.....JMAC going on #1 is interesting....gonna hug the cones and hope for a seam up the rail and might win this? I think you have to put in #1 .....if #9 was on the rail, I would put that one in too
Longshots > like this #2 a little but laying off....and like #6 even more and first time Cullen which pops occasionally when a horse races evenly a lot, I notice trainers bringing Cullen onto the horse for some late race magic which he does with his own horses that flatline on times and then out of nowhere, he urges them to become stars down the last 1/8 of a mile
Is there a key in this race? You could make a case for #4 being off for over 2 weeks, being driven aggressively and then now the horse comes off of cover in the last Q and lights up the backstretch with a monster kick! #7 stands out as well so mulling just doing a couple of tickets with some mixing and matching with just those 2 horses
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#1753
Race 2 > like 1 a little and also 2 < tend not to put in a stakes winner in next race if also competitive > love 47 in this race!
Race 1 > 13678910 ? > is #9 a KEY? > YES especially after leaving the #8 horse to go to the horse he drives when the trainer needs to win a race dropping down in class....I am tempted to just go with 3910 < has a lifetime 151 best and when right, can go to the front and wire a bottom field such as this one .....if Trevor gets the horse to the lead, Sylvain might have a hard time coming to catch the horse or burn itself out and that leaves the door open for a closer such as #3 who is used to a higher class level such as #9
Pick3
Race 1
40 cent > 1478 / 247 / 47 = $9.60
20 cent > 6 / 247 / 47 = $1.20
40 cent > 3910 / 1 / 1457 = $4.80
40 cent > 3910 / 247 / 15 = $7.20
20 cent > 3910 / 247 / 3 = $1.80
Race 3
40 cent > 1457 / 7 / 256 = $4.80
20 cent > 147 / 1 / 256 = $1.80
Pick5's > 3910 / 247 / 47 / 34569 / 26 = $36
Decided that #4 was stiffed the last race in the 2nd leg and also think #4 or #7 in race 3 are legit to win their race as KEYS
> 3910 / 4 / 1457 / 34569 / 256 = $36
Best hunch plays I have seen in a while and like the combos with them without spending crazy money chasing:
> #3 and #10 in Race 1 ..... #1 in Race 3 coming up the rail on a trip ....#5 in race 5
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#1761
What a nice horse the #2..... didn't think the trainer would allow the horse to compete but its tons the best and I don't think the horse was trying down the lane.....just did it on its own...no urging
That kills one ticket and I no longer have my longshot open at #5 in the 5th race.....definitely doing a Pick3 Key to it and other horses too as a backup
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#1764
These are alive:
Dec 10, 2021
6:38 PM Bet 01398741096543 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 4,7 / 3-6,9 / 2,6 $36.00
Dec 10, 2021
6:55 PM Bet 87322449491294 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 6 $1.80
Dec 10, 2021
6:50 PM Bet 44376365761024 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 4,5,7 / 7 / 2,6 $1.20
Dec 10, 2021
6:50 PM Bet 50341419898217 Woodbine SB, Race 3, $0.20 PK3 1,4,5,7 / 7 / 2,5,6 $2.40
Dec 10, 2021
6:48 PM Bet 35040146302296 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 3 $1.80
Dec 10, 2021
6:48 PM Bet 88093270601859 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 1,5 $3.60
Dec 10, 2021
6:47 PM Bet 94102219704816 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,9,10 / 2,4,7 / 1,5 $3.60
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#1767
Ahhh shit....I cannot bet Better Be Donna at fave odds....sorry.....just a bad mare in my mind but the horse held on. I had it in my other one
I took a shot and just gonna live with it.
Next ticket PICK4 is 6 horses/ 256 / 13 / 4689 = $28.80
579 / 256 / 12356 / 46 = $18
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#1772
Extreme conditions > WEST WIND right in their faces.....at 50-70 Km gusts....no horses from the outside can get to the front unless they are by far the fastest horse off the gate......and they will have to make 2 moves to get to the front if they get in the 3-5 hole so I would only take horses who are clearly a possible KEY ....but don't make them a key
This is the night when the horse who leaves and is 2nd-3rd all the time...wins the occasional race wiring the field will win the race because everyone else will kill their horse for the lead
Insta fast horses are my faves tonight ....capping the card now
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#1773
Race 1 > 79 are my two speed horses but think classwise, have to throw in #4 as well
Upset Pick3 > 1238
Race 2 > 1256 > think #1 can be a KEY....I am doing a double in the first race 9 - 1 for $10 ...don't believe Jimmy Freight will be pushed in high winds....they likely will keep the horse at the back ....think Sweet Diesel may try for the 2 hole or lead is my hunch and thats why the horse is going in....also, when horses are hyped up in the program, you take more than 2!
Race 3 > 127 < add 4? on a hunch that they took the horse out for a jog
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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