Harness Racing Ontario - Mohawk specialty + other B tracks occasionally

Gonna be pissing rain hard the whole Pick5 ....take long shots and closers...haha....speed horses tend not to do well unless they come off the rail and some horses dont want to do that

Im gonna look for some things but more than likely pass....I will let you know

Not taking favourites unless they absolutely stand out....

Race 1 > only 236 for me

Race 2 > 3468 ...#7 gonna pop soon

Race 3 > love 23 ...leaning to putting in #1 and #5 with their kick....not warm and fuzzy with #8

Race 4 > 125810

Race 5 > 15 for sure....#1 is used to wet tracks in NZ so its in for sure and you cannot ignore the monster kick on #5

BACKING UP #9!!! > first JMAC and its raced with better 

Think I am passing tonight.  Big stakes races tomorrow.  Card looks alot better and easier to cap

@icemantbi

 Ok...it probably means I will win $1000 haha

Ending up making about $45 the rest of the evening....more entertainment with a bottle of wine than anything else

Weather's Influence for Saturday: > here is the website link for HOURLY weather setting....you are at the stage to understanding the wind effect. The track is perfectly in line with an WEST to EAST orientation that has the horses with their bums to the east at the start and they move west to the first turn https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/hourly-weather-forecast/ontario/campbellville?no_alert_redirect=2021-6-29

- very strong bias tonight! 

-15-22 mph gusts from the WEST into their faces from the top of the final stretch and at the beginning....ADVANTAGE horses that can get in top 1-4 positions.....outside posts have to fight to get to front as all will be gunning for it so I would take a FAST CLOSING horse where I see 3-5 horses that can leave and especially if one of them are the #8, 9 or #10 horse as this action tends to create the fastest first quarters and kills front end horses for the stretch

1ST PICK5 > ALL stakes races except race #1

Worst drivers in wind unless there is a speed battle < Scotty Young, Travis Cullen, Bob McClure (although I see him going to the engine on top horses lately so if on one, you take him for sure), Phil Hudon who can't rate a horse well.....and Trevor Henry at times unless the horse can leave

When cooler and windy > very best are McNair, Sylvain and Luc Roy.....JMAC and Jodi know what to do with the right horse!

Speed in races:

Race 1 > 46 ....a few others can be speed if they need > 357

Speed drivers > 1368

#6 is on the ticket for sure

Like > 6 7 (dropping down) 8 5 4 3  (6 horses)

Race 2 > Speed =123578 

Speed drivers > 137

#137 are on the ticket possibly ....yes #7 could be key since JMAC tends to make his move in the back stretch to the half and THAT IS WHERE THE WIND WILL PUSH his move

Like > 37 ...they may cook this race so that Silver Label wins....same owner/trainer.....mild chance  to #1 but would only do a PICK3 with it in it 

Race 3 > Speed = 123578910 ....a few others can be speed if they need > 357

Speed drivers > 238910

#28 are on the ticket for sure ...#3, 10 are a maybe.....massive driver change on #9 > putting 3rd or 4th on a superfecta for sure!!

Like > 8 could be a key but tactics from outside could cause issues.... have to take 27 as well then

Race 4 > Speed =  13 ....these others can use it when they need to > 2456810

Speed drivers > 134810

# 13 should go on the ticket ....#7 has a new trainer who trains speed so I like this horse

Like > 1348  ...upset potential in #2 + #7

Race 5 > Speed = 4589 .... 236 can move their horses if necessary

Speed drivers > 4578910

# 8-9 just had great battle with #9 coming out on top....if there is a speed horse from #5 - #1 inside, would be good to put it in just in case these two horses go too fast

Like > 4689

I love the card tonight with all the stakes races.  I thought first was a stakes race as well?  Going to load up HPibet now and look over the card.  

Yes 1st race is not a stakes race. Should probably load more horses on the first race

iF THERE ARE SCRATCHES.....will cancel some of these and adjust. I hate having favourite carryover on a longshot..BAH!

 Main ticket:

Oct 16, 2021

5:37 PM Bet 30287106269616 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 1-8 / 3,7 / 7,8 / 1,3,4,8 / 6,8,9 $76.80

Also:

 Oct 16, 2021

5:47 PM Bet 36394841279285 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,5,7 / 3,7 / 8 / 1,3 / 8,9 $4.80

Oct 16, 2021

5:47 PM Bet 02439947963751 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3-7 / 7 / 7,8 / 1,3 / 8,9 $8.00

Oct 16, 2021

5:44 PM Bet 58997432232724 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,5,7 / 7 / 7,8 / 1,3,8 / 8,9 $7.20

!

I like your tickets. I basically see the same as you.  

I decided to go with yours 

I like your tickets. I basically see the same as you.  

I decided to go with yours 

I think if no one fools around the first ticket should hit.  The other ones have a chance as well

Race 6 > non stakes ....see what they are doing? Putting a mixed bag race in for pick5 sizing

Like: 1356 .... #7 Points North does not have final Q horsepower in my view ....judgement call to put horse in....its likely going to be raining after 930 pm so I don't know if I like the horse even with JMAC

Race 7 > stakes .... 124 ....#5 is broken down...stay away and 9 10 are decent longshots with good drivers

Race 8 > stakes ...just need 14 ...nothing else

Race 9 > stakes  (the glory race with the 3 best 3 yr olds in the world right now!!).... 345  << they have just been taking it easy with this horse to not hurt him as that can happen after posting a heartattack type race in the N.A. Cup.....so now they will likely let it go before they shut the horse down over the winter .....Bulldog, same thing.....and Powertrain is the best horse to be in the mix besides them and has the horsepower to beat them on the engine 

Race 10 > 1234689 << maybe not on the #9 as the horse pukes but it will go to the front and open the door for a closer such as YOU WILL BE QUEEN like last week

Wow....I did not notice or clue into the driver change on Grand Poobah....thats big since the horse leaves and now you have the better driver with better hands in JMAC!!!.

I am doing a Double 36 / 7

Oct 16, 2021

5:37 PM Bet 30287106269616 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 138 / 3,7 / 7,8 / 1,3,4,8 / 6,8,9 $76.80

 Also: 

 Oct 16, 2021

5:47 PM Bet 36394841279285 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,5,7 / 3,7 / 8 / 1,3 / 8,9 $4.80

Oct 16, 2021

5:47 PM Bet 02439947963751 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3-7 / 7 / 7,8 / 1,3 / 8,9 $8.00

Oct 16, 2021

5:44 PM Bet 58997432232724 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK5 3,5,7 / 7 / 7,8 / 1,3,8 / 8,9 $7.20

Backup Pick3's

 Oct 16, 2021

5:38 PM Bet 33675185512428 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3,5-7 / 7 / 2 $0.80

Oct 16, 2021

5:38 PM Bet 96502483019115 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3-8 / 7 / 2,10 $2.80

Oct 16, 2021

5:37 PM Bet 58737899554944 Woodbine SB, Race 1, $0.20 PK3 3-8 / 3,7 / 2,10 $5.60

So far so good.  All tickets are alive

@icemantbi

 Ya, but it won't pay higher than $50 now....no matter what...likely $35-45

Saw the horses come out....#3 is your winner

Yeah that's what it's like with stakes races.  They don't fool around so you pretty much know which 2 or 3 horses are winners. 

Wow...not even close....this pays garbage ...MAYBE...$25

Yeah this is going to pay next to nothing.  Good news all our tickets are alive.  So it will be whatever x 4

I'm hoping we get enough to cover our bets

@icemantbi

 Ya....but favourites mean WE LOSE MONEY!

We have #6 once, and 8 -9 4x