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    All Forums | General Discussion

    Poker Players - do you think that poker is beatable longterm?

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    LiquidSword
    wizardofroz
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    LiquidSword
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2010 - 4:05 PM ET #276

    I didn't read any of this thread, but I used to play poker regularly, and I believe it is beatable long term, it just takes an incredible amount of discipline.

    Also, how long is long-term?
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    I didn't read any of this thread, but I used to play poker regularly, and I believe it is beatable long term, it just takes an incredible amount of discipline.

    Also, how long is long-term?
     
    wizardofroz
    wizardofroz
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2010 - 4:29 PM ET #277

    Quote Originally Posted by LiquidSword:

    I didn't read any of this thread, but I used to play poker regularly, and I believe it is beatable long term, it just takes an incredible amount of discipline.

    Also, how long is long-term?

    Yes, poker is a mental drain at times that requires incredible discipline, but the potential big rewards for a small investment make the game so alluring.  And long-term is a very debatable subject, but I would say regarding poker, about 7 years from now, I would like to see where these winning players are.  

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    Quote Originally Posted by LiquidSword:

    I didn't read any of this thread, but I used to play poker regularly, and I believe it is beatable long term, it just takes an incredible amount of discipline.

    Also, how long is long-term?

    Yes, poker is a mental drain at times that requires incredible discipline, but the potential big rewards for a small investment make the game so alluring.  And long-term is a very debatable subject, but I would say regarding poker, about 7 years from now, I would like to see where these winning players are.  

     
    LiquidSword
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2010 - 4:46 PM ET #278

    Quote Originally Posted by wizardofroz:

    Yes, poker is a mental drain at times that requires incredible discipline, but the potential big rewards for a small investment make the game so alluring.  And long-term is a very debatable subject, but I would say regarding poker, about 7 years from now, I would like to see where these winning players are.  



    I got into it at the beginning of the boom (2004 when Moneymaker won the WSOP), and a lot of the top players I used to watch on PokerStars are gone now. I'm sure some changed their handles, but I do know that many are bust.
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    Quote Originally Posted by wizardofroz:

    Yes, poker is a mental drain at times that requires incredible discipline, but the potential big rewards for a small investment make the game so alluring.  And long-term is a very debatable subject, but I would say regarding poker, about 7 years from now, I would like to see where these winning players are.  



    I got into it at the beginning of the boom (2004 when Moneymaker won the WSOP), and a lot of the top players I used to watch on PokerStars are gone now. I'm sure some changed their handles, but I do know that many are bust.
     
    SOBLATANT
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2010 - 6:07 AM ET #279

    can i post now?

     

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    can i post now?

     

     
    SOBLATANT
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2011 - 11:00 PM ET #280

    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Tell me where I go wrong with this theory:

    In tournament poker (not cash games, tournament poker only), it is impossible to be a longerm winner.  All "professional" poker players make their money through sponsorship or ownership of poker sites, and the tournament play is a negative on their cash flow statements.  Not one of them would "beat the rake" if they played long enough because you can only get so good at poker, and from there it is a lottery.

    Go.


    100% correct. Especially online which is pure rigged. These dorks that claim they make a living playing online are so fucking irritating.


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    Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

    Tell me where I go wrong with this theory:

    In tournament poker (not cash games, tournament poker only), it is impossible to be a longerm winner.  All "professional" poker players make their money through sponsorship or ownership of poker sites, and the tournament play is a negative on their cash flow statements.  Not one of them would "beat the rake" if they played long enough because you can only get so good at poker, and from there it is a lottery.

    Go.


    100% correct. Especially online which is pure rigged. These dorks that claim they make a living playing online are so fucking irritating.


     
    BBBOOOOOOMMM
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2011 - 11:40 PM ET #281

    well, this is a great debate.

    just fyi i am 24 years old and have been seriously playing poker for about 8 years and betting on sports seriously for 6 years.

    first, let me just say that i am a republican, however i believe betting on sports should be legal, and all that oppose it are silly.  we as americans spend more on online gambling(97% of which is spent overseas) than we do on gasoline daily!  the money and jobs created from legalizing and taxing online gaming would damn near get us out of this recession.

    i have made this same argument you make about groups of players (A and B theory) for years.  my friends and peers would make fun of me because i told them i would rather play 10 times against phil ivey than 10 times against any random 10 people. this is because first of all, when i sit at the table, i am afraid of no man.  i believe that before i was even legally able to walk into a casino, i could not get any "better" at poker.  now the term "better" can be interpreted different ways.  of course, over time, i have changed my game to adjust to the situation i am in, but in most i stick to my principles and my gameplan reguardless.  and B i believe that the only thing that can give you an advantage over an opponent if the situation is even(chips/bankroll/energy, etc...), is the ability to read him or gain his tells.  this is where the water gets murky and you can make an argument...

    i believe that the BEST players in the world, are the ones that can take the entire situation in front of them, and make the best decision over and over again.  now the majority of this comes into play when trying to put a player on a hand.  this is why i believe that daniel negreanu is the best player on earth, over and over again on television and through rumor, this guy has called people's exact two cards and made HUGE laydowns.  so to your argument, some people get better at reading opponents, and some either stay the same or get worse at it.  this is the difference, because yeah, short term, the game involves luck, but over time, the ability to read your opponents will make you a better player.

    however, bottom line, in most tournament structures, the blind structures are so retarded, that even if you play perfect for 2 hours, you end up shoving chips in for coin flips and hope for the best, especially in larger tournaments.  there is plenty of money to be made playing poker, just not in tourneys....

    SPORTS BETTING IS REAL MONEY, POKER IS FUN...

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    well, this is a great debate.

    just fyi i am 24 years old and have been seriously playing poker for about 8 years and betting on sports seriously for 6 years.

    first, let me just say that i am a republican, however i believe betting on sports should be legal, and all that oppose it are silly.  we as americans spend more on online gambling(97% of which is spent overseas) than we do on gasoline daily!  the money and jobs created from legalizing and taxing online gaming would damn near get us out of this recession.

    i have made this same argument you make about groups of players (A and B theory) for years.  my friends and peers would make fun of me because i told them i would rather play 10 times against phil ivey than 10 times against any random 10 people. this is because first of all, when i sit at the table, i am afraid of no man.  i believe that before i was even legally able to walk into a casino, i could not get any "better" at poker.  now the term "better" can be interpreted different ways.  of course, over time, i have changed my game to adjust to the situation i am in, but in most i stick to my principles and my gameplan reguardless.  and B i believe that the only thing that can give you an advantage over an opponent if the situation is even(chips/bankroll/energy, etc...), is the ability to read him or gain his tells.  this is where the water gets murky and you can make an argument...

    i believe that the BEST players in the world, are the ones that can take the entire situation in front of them, and make the best decision over and over again.  now the majority of this comes into play when trying to put a player on a hand.  this is why i believe that daniel negreanu is the best player on earth, over and over again on television and through rumor, this guy has called people's exact two cards and made HUGE laydowns.  so to your argument, some people get better at reading opponents, and some either stay the same or get worse at it.  this is the difference, because yeah, short term, the game involves luck, but over time, the ability to read your opponents will make you a better player.

    however, bottom line, in most tournament structures, the blind structures are so retarded, that even if you play perfect for 2 hours, you end up shoving chips in for coin flips and hope for the best, especially in larger tournaments.  there is plenty of money to be made playing poker, just not in tourneys....

    SPORTS BETTING IS REAL MONEY, POKER IS FUN...

     
    ad1260
    ad1260
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 12:57 AM ET #282

    Quote Originally Posted by BBBOOOOOOMMM:

    well, this is a great debate.

    just fyi i am 24 years old and have been seriously playing poker for about 8 years and betting on sports seriously for 6 years.

    first, let me just say that i am a republican, however i believe betting on sports should be legal, and all that oppose it are silly.  we as americans spend more on online gambling(97% of which is spent overseas) than we do on gasoline daily!  the money and jobs created from legalizing and taxing online gaming would damn near get us out of this recession.

    i have made this same argument you make about groups of players (A and B theory) for years.  my friends and peers would make fun of me because i told them i would rather play 10 times against phil ivey than 10 times against any random 10 people. this is because first of all, when i sit at the table, i am afraid of no man.  i believe that before i was even legally able to walk into a casino, i could not get any "better" at poker.  now the term "better" can be interpreted different ways.  of course, over time, i have changed my game to adjust to the situation i am in, but in most i stick to my principles and my gameplan reguardless.  and B i believe that the only thing that can give you an advantage over an opponent if the situation is even(chips/bankroll/energy, etc...), is the ability to read him or gain his tells.  this is where the water gets murky and you can make an argument...

    i believe that the BEST players in the world, are the ones that can take the entire situation in front of them, and make the best decision over and over again.  now the majority of this comes into play when trying to put a player on a hand.  this is why i believe that daniel negreanu is the best player on earth, over and over again on television and through rumor, this guy has called people's exact two cards and made HUGE laydowns.  so to your argument, some people get better at reading opponents, and some either stay the same or get worse at it.  this is the difference, because yeah, short term, the game involves luck, but over time, the ability to read your opponents will make you a better player.

    however, bottom line, in most tournament structures, the blind structures are so retarded, that even if you play perfect for 2 hours, you end up shoving chips in for coin flips and hope for the best, especially in larger tournaments.  there is plenty of money to be made playing poker, just not in tourneys....

    SPORTS BETTING IS REAL MONEY, POKER IS FUN...

    sorry man, its a legit post just thought that was funny

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    Quote Originally Posted by BBBOOOOOOMMM:

    well, this is a great debate.

    just fyi i am 24 years old and have been seriously playing poker for about 8 years and betting on sports seriously for 6 years.

    first, let me just say that i am a republican, however i believe betting on sports should be legal, and all that oppose it are silly.  we as americans spend more on online gambling(97% of which is spent overseas) than we do on gasoline daily!  the money and jobs created from legalizing and taxing online gaming would damn near get us out of this recession.

    i have made this same argument you make about groups of players (A and B theory) for years.  my friends and peers would make fun of me because i told them i would rather play 10 times against phil ivey than 10 times against any random 10 people. this is because first of all, when i sit at the table, i am afraid of no man.  i believe that before i was even legally able to walk into a casino, i could not get any "better" at poker.  now the term "better" can be interpreted different ways.  of course, over time, i have changed my game to adjust to the situation i am in, but in most i stick to my principles and my gameplan reguardless.  and B i believe that the only thing that can give you an advantage over an opponent if the situation is even(chips/bankroll/energy, etc...), is the ability to read him or gain his tells.  this is where the water gets murky and you can make an argument...

    i believe that the BEST players in the world, are the ones that can take the entire situation in front of them, and make the best decision over and over again.  now the majority of this comes into play when trying to put a player on a hand.  this is why i believe that daniel negreanu is the best player on earth, over and over again on television and through rumor, this guy has called people's exact two cards and made HUGE laydowns.  so to your argument, some people get better at reading opponents, and some either stay the same or get worse at it.  this is the difference, because yeah, short term, the game involves luck, but over time, the ability to read your opponents will make you a better player.

    however, bottom line, in most tournament structures, the blind structures are so retarded, that even if you play perfect for 2 hours, you end up shoving chips in for coin flips and hope for the best, especially in larger tournaments.  there is plenty of money to be made playing poker, just not in tourneys....

    SPORTS BETTING IS REAL MONEY, POKER IS FUN...

    sorry man, its a legit post just thought that was funny

     
    wizardofroz
    wizardofroz
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 5:11 AM ET #283

    Quote Originally Posted by BBBOOOOOOMMM:

    well, this is a great debate.

    just fyi i am 24 years old and have been seriously playing poker for about 8 years and betting on sports seriously for 6 years.

    first, let me just say that i am a republican, however i believe betting on sports should be legal, and all that oppose it are silly.  we as americans spend more on online gambling(97% of which is spent overseas) than we do on gasoline daily!  the money and jobs created from legalizing and taxing online gaming would damn near get us out of this recession.

    i have made this same argument you make about groups of players (A and B theory) for years.  my friends and peers would make fun of me because i told them i would rather play 10 times against phil ivey than 10 times against any random 10 people. this is because first of all, when i sit at the table, i am afraid of no man.  i believe that before i was even legally able to walk into a casino, i could not get any "better" at poker.  now the term "better" can be interpreted different ways.  of course, over time, i have changed my game to adjust to the situation i am in, but in most i stick to my principles and my gameplan reguardless.  and B i believe that the only thing that can give you an advantage over an opponent if the situation is even(chips/bankroll/energy, etc...), is the ability to read him or gain his tells.  this is where the water gets murky and you can make an argument...

    i believe that the BEST players in the world, are the ones that can take the entire situation in front of them, and make the best decision over and over again.  now the majority of this comes into play when trying to put a player on a hand.  this is why i believe that daniel negreanu is the best player on earth, over and over again on television and through rumor, this guy has called people's exact two cards and made HUGE laydowns.  so to your argument, some people get better at reading opponents, and some either stay the same or get worse at it.  this is the difference, because yeah, short term, the game involves luck, but over time, the ability to read your opponents will make you a better player.

    however, bottom line, in most tournament structures, the blind structures are so retarded, that even if you play perfect for 2 hours, you end up shoving chips in for coin flips and hope for the best, especially in larger tournaments.  there is plenty of money to be made playing poker, just not in tourneys....

    SPORTS BETTING IS REAL MONEY, POKER IS FUN...

    Negreanu had a GREAT year about 5 years ago, but is now notorious for calling an opponent's big bet with his losing hand.  For example, Negraneau would rightfully call that you flopped a set, but make an awful call with his marginal hand, while donating his chips in the process. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by BBBOOOOOOMMM:

    well, this is a great debate.

    just fyi i am 24 years old and have been seriously playing poker for about 8 years and betting on sports seriously for 6 years.

    first, let me just say that i am a republican, however i believe betting on sports should be legal, and all that oppose it are silly.  we as americans spend more on online gambling(97% of which is spent overseas) than we do on gasoline daily!  the money and jobs created from legalizing and taxing online gaming would damn near get us out of this recession.

    i have made this same argument you make about groups of players (A and B theory) for years.  my friends and peers would make fun of me because i told them i would rather play 10 times against phil ivey than 10 times against any random 10 people. this is because first of all, when i sit at the table, i am afraid of no man.  i believe that before i was even legally able to walk into a casino, i could not get any "better" at poker.  now the term "better" can be interpreted different ways.  of course, over time, i have changed my game to adjust to the situation i am in, but in most i stick to my principles and my gameplan reguardless.  and B i believe that the only thing that can give you an advantage over an opponent if the situation is even(chips/bankroll/energy, etc...), is the ability to read him or gain his tells.  this is where the water gets murky and you can make an argument...

    i believe that the BEST players in the world, are the ones that can take the entire situation in front of them, and make the best decision over and over again.  now the majority of this comes into play when trying to put a player on a hand.  this is why i believe that daniel negreanu is the best player on earth, over and over again on television and through rumor, this guy has called people's exact two cards and made HUGE laydowns.  so to your argument, some people get better at reading opponents, and some either stay the same or get worse at it.  this is the difference, because yeah, short term, the game involves luck, but over time, the ability to read your opponents will make you a better player.

    however, bottom line, in most tournament structures, the blind structures are so retarded, that even if you play perfect for 2 hours, you end up shoving chips in for coin flips and hope for the best, especially in larger tournaments.  there is plenty of money to be made playing poker, just not in tourneys....

    SPORTS BETTING IS REAL MONEY, POKER IS FUN...

    Negreanu had a GREAT year about 5 years ago, but is now notorious for calling an opponent's big bet with his losing hand.  For example, Negraneau would rightfully call that you flopped a set, but make an awful call with his marginal hand, while donating his chips in the process. 

     
    gamble04
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 10:53 AM ET #284

    Poker is definetly a skill game that is beatable over the long run.
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    Poker is definetly a skill game that is beatable over the long run.
     
    standuley
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 2:47 PM ET #285

    IMO u have to have more luck then skill in poker, doesnt matter how good u are if the guy 3 seats down just calls everything and is catching cards like nothing else especially if your in a real big tourney. But say if ur playin with 10 guys that all have the average skillset then it comes down to skill.....

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    IMO u have to have more luck then skill in poker, doesnt matter how good u are if the guy 3 seats down just calls everything and is catching cards like nothing else especially if your in a real big tourney. But say if ur playin with 10 guys that all have the average skillset then it comes down to skill.....

     
    steveshane67
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 5:51 PM ET #286

    Quote Originally Posted by SOBLATANT:


    100% correct. Especially online which is pure rigged. These dorks that claim they make a living playing online are so fucking irritating.




    you are just jealous bc you cannot do so

    https://www.pokertableratings.com

    you can look up any players ring game, there are many that make a lot of money

    for ring games, at any given table, anywhere from 5-9 players are playing 20 tables at a time.  then you also have your rakeback deals.  on pokerstars, you need to play about 10 hrs a week multi tabling to get supernova status in a year.  once you get that level, you make about $15/hr in rakeback.  the amount varies by the game, most ppl play either .25/50 .50/1 1/2.

    and to say the online game is rigged is complete nonsense.  there is 0 reason for any reputable site to do so, unless they are incredibly greedy, i mean they already gross well over 1 mil a day in rake.  the main reason why ppl think the online game is rigged is bc you play hands at a much faster rate than at a BnM, thus you see so many more hands.  and guess what would happen if it would come to light that they game was rigged, bye bye customers, look what happened to absolute poker when an inside job cheater won their big weekly tourny, players couldnt leave the site fast enough.
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    Quote Originally Posted by SOBLATANT:


    100% correct. Especially online which is pure rigged. These dorks that claim they make a living playing online are so fucking irritating.




    you are just jealous bc you cannot do so

    https://www.pokertableratings.com

    you can look up any players ring game, there are many that make a lot of money

    for ring games, at any given table, anywhere from 5-9 players are playing 20 tables at a time.  then you also have your rakeback deals.  on pokerstars, you need to play about 10 hrs a week multi tabling to get supernova status in a year.  once you get that level, you make about $15/hr in rakeback.  the amount varies by the game, most ppl play either .25/50 .50/1 1/2.

    and to say the online game is rigged is complete nonsense.  there is 0 reason for any reputable site to do so, unless they are incredibly greedy, i mean they already gross well over 1 mil a day in rake.  the main reason why ppl think the online game is rigged is bc you play hands at a much faster rate than at a BnM, thus you see so many more hands.  and guess what would happen if it would come to light that they game was rigged, bye bye customers, look what happened to absolute poker when an inside job cheater won their big weekly tourny, players couldnt leave the site fast enough.
     
    dl36
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 7:57 PM ET #287

    historically most of the people I have seen for gambling issues are casino games, internet gambling and video poker/slots...

    Of the few poker people I have seen, majority say that they know what they are doing and eventually get to a point of "screw it" and gamble on bad hands/situations... problem is that they sometimes winning getting lucky with bad odds and try to continue it...

    I think you are better off working a job then trying to do "the job" of really doing it right with poker...  possible for some, hard for some and completely impossible for others...

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    historically most of the people I have seen for gambling issues are casino games, internet gambling and video poker/slots...

    Of the few poker people I have seen, majority say that they know what they are doing and eventually get to a point of "screw it" and gamble on bad hands/situations... problem is that they sometimes winning getting lucky with bad odds and try to continue it...

    I think you are better off working a job then trying to do "the job" of really doing it right with poker...  possible for some, hard for some and completely impossible for others...

     
     
    allicat
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2011 - 8:52 PM ET #288

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