Public Indicator Calculations 2025

Delete…was commenting on the wrong post.

@HooAlum

Here is the Friday night update.  I hope to have another comprehensive one tomorrow.  Sort of a pull back week so far.

Indiana (6 units): line movement, sharp indicators, wear coast body clock outweighs over/under squeeze

Wake Forest (1 unit): line movement, sharp indicators, bye week return outweighs low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Oklahoma (7 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp Indicators

Kansas (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

South Florida (3 units): line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Missouri (1 unit): sharp indicators

Iowa State (5.5 units): sharp indicators, SKS, bye week return

Alabama (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Baylor-Cincinnati (No Bet): low ticket favorite reverse movement balanced with sharp indicators

Texas (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement

LSU (2 units): sharp indicators, low handle home underdog

@HooAlum

 Saturday Morning update after a luck box double OT win that still covers the 6 in the Virginia tech game (of course, I thought I had Charlotte +26.5 in the bag when it was tied at the half)

Indiana (6 units): line movement, sharp indicators, wear coast body clock outweighs over/under squeeze

SMU-Wake Forest (No Bet): line movement, sharp indicators, bye week return balanced by low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Oklahoma (6 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp Indicators

NEW GAME: Nebraska (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Kansas (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

South Florida (3 units): line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

CHANGE: Vanderbilt (3 units): sharp indicators

Iowa State (6.5 units): sharp indicators, SKS, bye week return

Alabama (1 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Cincinnati (1 unit): low ticket favorite reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Texas (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement

CHANGE: Texas A&M (2 units): sharp indicators, low ticket favorite outweighs low handle home underdog

Some new additions.  Here are the noon games and those new additions

Indiana (5 units): line movement, sharp indicators, wear coast body clock outweighs over/under squeeze

Wake Forest (2 Units): line movement, sharp indicators, bye week return outweighs low ticket favorite

Oklahoma (6 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp Indicators

Nebraska (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Kansas (2 units): low ticket favorite

South Florida (3 units): line movement, low ticket favorite

NEW GAMES

Arkansas (2 units): line movement, sharp indicator

NC State (3 units): line movement, sharp indicators outweighs low handle favorite lopsided wagering

Iowa (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

GL 

@HooAlum

 NC State? 

 Da kine 

On board with ya chief. 
Good Luck

S Florida dropped to -3.5?

@HooAlum

Possibly the last update

NC State (1 unit): line movement, sharp indicators outweighs low ticket and handle favorite lopsided wagering

Iowa (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

NEW GAME: San Diego State (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator

Vanderbilt (3 units): low handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators

Iowa State (7.5 units): sharp indicators, SKS, bye week return

Alabama (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Cincinnati (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Texas (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement, sharp indicators

CHANGE: LSU (1 units): sharp indicators, low handle underdog outweighs ticket favorite

@kidd22

 yes, good catch.  That did center the other line movement earlier in the week and so drops the play by a unit.  Luckily for now it still looks like a good call at 3 versus 2 but it would be officially recorded as 2.  Sorry I missed that.

Feels like a down week   too much chalk imo but still good work Hoo.  It is what it is.

There was a ton of steam and line movement on Olemiss dropping that game to 3.5-4.5

Not sure how Oak was a play 

@HooAlum

 Well, staring the first losing week of the season in the face and the big plays were down  - Indiana and Va Tech were winners but OU, Iowa St and Texas were big losers so the big plays which is what people care about were down this week.  The wins came from the grind it our 3 and 4 unit games like Iowa, Vandy, SDSU, Nebraska and that was not enough. Hope for better luck next week, especially on the big plays.

@NR114

 I wish the tells had been more clear.  The steam may have occurred at some books but the consensus was still 4.5 which was well within the bounds of the week's fluctuation (had it gone to 3.5 on the consensus I would have called steam).

The out of shack ranking to line (Oklahoma over a FG at home but lower ranked) was the main item pushing it. Entering this week that indicator was hitting at 69.7%.  After OU (and Iowa State) today it falls to 63.89%. Still really good but far form infallible (infallible would be west coast body close - UCLA getting shoved back to bed today anyone???)

@HooAlum

Thank you for doing this, I for one really appreciate appreciate the time and effort you put into this.   

@HooAlum

 Well, had the first losing week thanks to some big losses dragging down the overall 10-9 record.  I know folks really only play the big games so likely was worse than the reporting I am giving today.  Hope for better things this week.

WEEKLY RECORD: 10-9

WEEKLY REVENUE: 58.9 units on 61.5 units wagered

YEARLY RECORD: 83-55 (60.14%)

YEARLY REVENUE:  568.3 units on 466 wagered (21.95% profit)

******************

INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

Early West Coast Body Clock: 100%

Sharp Indicators: 64.48%

Lopsided Wagering: 64.29%

SKS: 63.89%

Low Ticket Favorite: 56.94%

Low Handle Favorite: 55.71%

Bye Week Return: 55.00%

Line Movement: 51.02%

Steam: 50%

Over/Under Squeeze: 42.86%

Reverse Movement: 30%

*********

WAY TOO EARLY LOOK At WEEK 10 (these WILL change but gives you a hint)

Tulane (3 units) low ticket and handle favorite

Penn State-Ohio State (No Bet): sharp indicators balanced by over/under squeeze

Air Force (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh lopsided wagering

Texas (3.5): low handle favorite, lopsided wagering, SKS

North Texas (2 units): sharp indicators

Indiana (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators outweighs over/under squeeze

Georgia (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp indicators

Virginia (6 units): low ticket and handle favroite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Tennessee (5 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Southern Cal (5 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Utah (9.5 units): low ticket favorite, SKS, sharp indicators

Line movement Tulane from -5.5 to -6. Still learning so not sure how significant this is... BOLTA. 

@HooAlum

 Tulane still the call but bumped to 5 units: low ticket and low handle favorite, reverse movement

Nice call Brewmeister!

@HooAlum

Poor start to the week so hopefully will recover.  Here is the midday Friday update

NEW GAME: Memphis (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator

Penn State (3 units): reverse movement, over/under squeeze outweighs sharp indicator

Air Force (2 units): sharp indicator

Texas (5.5 units): low handle favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

North Texas (1 unit): low handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicator

Indiana (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs over/under squeeze

NEW GAME: Texas Tech (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Georgia (2 units): low ticket favorite

Virginia (3 units): line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs Sharp indicator

NEW GAME : Ole Miss (2 units): sharp indicator 

Tennessee (3.5 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs SKS

NEW GAME: Georgia Tech (1 unit): low handle favorite

Southern Cal ( 3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators outweighs low handle home underdog

Utah (10.5): line movement, low ticket favorite, shaper indicator, SKS

@HooAlum

 Memphis remains the play. Fanduel and a few other places are offering the hook

@HooAlum

@HooAlum

 Here are the late Friday picks for Saturday.  Likely will update tomorrow by start time.

Penn State (6 units): reverse movement, over/under squeeze, sharp indicator Outweighs low handle favorite and lopsided wagering

Air Force (2 units): sharp indicator

Texas (5.5 units): low handle favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

Navy-North Texas (No Bet): low handle favorite, lopsided wagering balanced by sharp indicator

Indiana (1 units): low ticket favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

Texas Tech (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Georgia (2 units): low ticket favorite

Virginia (3 units): line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs Sharp indicator

South Carolina (1 unit): sharp indicator 

Tennessee (3.5 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs SKS

Georgia Tech (1 unit): low handle favorite

Southern Cal (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators outweighs low handle home underdog

Utah (10.5): line movement, low ticket favorite, shaper indicator, SKS

@HooAlum

Here is Saturday Morning report and the final one for the noon games.  Right now all eyes are on gameday in Provo with a very large play shaping up.

Penn State (3 units): reverse movement, over/under squeeze, Outweighs sharp indicator

Air Force (2 units): sharp indicator outweighs low handle home underdog

Texas (4.5 units): low handle favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

NEW GAME: Miami (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicator

Navy-North Texas (No Bet): low handle favorite, lopsided wagering balanced by sharp indicator

Indiana (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze

Texas Tech (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Florida-Georgia (No Bet): No indicators

Virginia (2 units): line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs Sharp indicator

NEW GAME: Arizona (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs line movement, sharp indicators

South Carolina (4 units): sharp indicators 

Tennessee (1.5 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicator outweighs SKS

NC State (2 units) sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Southern Cal (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators outweighs low handle home underdog

Utah (12.5): line movement, low ticket favorite, sharp indicator, SKS

Thanks for the info mate