Public Indicator Calculations 2025

@HooAlum

 Alright, first (and VERY early) analysis of the national title game

Indiana (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh lopsided wagering 

@HooAlum

With only one game, I decided to give a summary of the reasoning. This is how things are shaping up.  Right now Indiana is a modest call despite overwhelming wagering on the Hoosiers.  It is clear the oddsmakers underestimated the public's interest in IU.  Maybe it was because Miami was "at home" (by the way there will be more hoosiers than Cane fans in attendance I bet), or that Miami has a bigger name thus attracting public interest.  Whatever the reason IU is definitely the pick of both the public and the sharps right now.  I fully expect the present line to move to 9 or higher.  If that happens it wil let another indicator toward the hoosiers because it will confirm that the prior lines were set too low.  However, it will be interesting if the lopsided wagering continues and the line does NOT move, or even more moves lower.  At that point, the indicators may start to reverse. 

At present it remains 1 unit due to the sharp action mentioned above outweighing the lopsided wagering.  Thus, not a big play but I still thought I would provide the reasoning behind the selection as a window into how these numbers are put together.

Appreciate that breakdown 

@HooAlum

 Thanks for the info and still leaning Indiana all the way up to 9.5 

Yeah I honestly expected -13.5 for the Hoosiers. Carson Beck may easily throw a few INT's in favor of 2 easy TDs for Indiana.

@HooAlum

Update a day out.

Indiana (2 units): Sharp indicators

Appreciate you and all the time You have spent since AUGUST.. You have helped me and others many times throughout the yrs.. Thank you.

Yikes. Line has moved lower to 7.5....

@Brewmeister

It happened yesterday…

Thanks. I just checked it this morning.

Can get -7 -115 right now

 H

@HooAlum

 Sorry guys.  No bet tonight as some sharp calls went to the Canes to almost catchup to the Hoosiers on that score and as a result Vegas made a reverse movement thus indicators are balanced

Miami-Indiana (No Bet): Sharp indicator on Indiana balanced by reverse movement in favor of the Canes

@HooAlum

  Thank you Hoo..

@HooAlum

This was to be expected based on your earlier thorough explanation - especially what might result in terms of reversing indicators in the event that the spread actually lowered. I backed out even before your last update. Many thanks, Hoo for a fun season. Looking forward to next year. Be safe and happy sir....

And as always...

One of the coolest threads I’ve read on covers. Awesome job 

@hoohum

Any chance you’ll have an end of year SEASON REVENUE and stats on the INDICATOR PERFORMANCE?

Thanks for the quality input throughout the year!  Your time is appreciated.  

493 posts  but can U produce a new tread say every 5 weeks , that way it would be easier to follow and thanks  for all the hard work U put in to help us out 

I’m ready for week 1!