Public Indicator Calculations 2025

@HooAlum

how is Indiana a low handle and ticket favorite.  They have nearly 3/4 of the handle and 80% of tickets on them?  

@HellHook33

 Miami U is also a high handle and ticket favorite.  where are you getting your info?  Also, Penn state should be max 1 or 2 units, they have coaching problems and play on the road against nations no. 1.  you can't put your money at risk like that idc how many signals there are. 

@HooAlum

 Afternoon games.  Some adjustments but not a lot of action as we are looking at a split decision for the early bigger games of Texas and Miami (though the ESPN Bet -6.5 line is giving me hope in the latter).  Once again the week will live or die in Provo.

Maryland-Indiana (No Bet): low handle favorite balanced by over/under squeeze

Texas Tech (3 units): low ticket,  sharp indicators flipped to the Red Raiders (warning this is by the slimmest of margins from flipping back so temper expectations) outweighs home low handle underdog

CHANGE: Florida (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite  

Virginia (2 units): line movement, low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs Sharp indicator

Down goes the Miami ship! Caned!

@HooAlum

 Here we are for the evening.  Bad day overall thanks to the half point loss in Austin.

@HooAlum

 I don't think anyone saw 21 uanswered in the fourth coming from Vandy. Odd day for defenses. SMU made Miami D look like a high school squad at times in that one. Still no complaints from this corner. Patience is the name of the game as far as I'm concerned. Let's get 'em with TEN, USC and Utah....

any update on these late ones ? 

Helluva winning day, sir. Thanks for the plays!

@HooAlum

 I just noticed my Saturday evening post did not take, just the opening commentary on the loss in Austin.  I apologize as sometimes when I cut and paste and change things up slightly the edits aren't added.  No big sweeping changes though the unit count went up slightly in Provo but no calls changed.  Still adds up to a down week but Utah really saved the overall week from being slightly down to be REALLY down.  Of course I had already telegraphed that one as the play of the week so people knew to act on it big.  Oh and there was a question what data sources I use.  The questioner likely drew from DK's easily accessible public ticket and handle counts.  They are valuable but only use it as part of a weighted average among several sources, thus DK can have a ticket count of 60% but the overall is 43% (like last week).  I just do not want to put too much emphasis on one data source but that is a reasonable guide if you only want to rely on a single free source.

WEEKLY RECORD: 7-9

OVERALL RECORD: 90-64 (58.44%)

WEEKLY REVENUE: 53.2 units on 57.5 wagered 

OVERALL REVENUE: 621.5 units on 523.5 wagered (18.72% profit)

**************

INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

West Coast Body Clock: 100%

Lopsided Wagering: 65.22% (never seen it this high)

SKS: 65.12%

Sharp Indicator: 62.59%

Low Handle Favorite: 56.25%

Low Bet Favorite: 56.10%

Bye Week Return: 54.55%

Steam: 50%

Line Movement: 50%

Over/Under Squeeze: 40%

Reverse Movement: 30.77% (never seen it so low - I am worried that my data sourcing is not good here as it is only the second year using this method)

***********

WAY TOO EARLY Weekend analysis (which always seems to boost the favorites)

Memphis (1 unit): sharp indicator outweighs lopsided wagering

Indiana (3 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators outweigh home underdog with low handle

Georgia (6 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Texas Tech (4 units): SKS, mild west coast body clock, low handle favorite outweighs sharp indicator and bye week return

Texas A&M (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators outweigh home underdog with low handle

Oregon (7 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators

Vanderbilt (2 units): sharp indicators

Virginia (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweigh sharp indicators

Alabama (6 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Notre Dame (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

@HooAlum

Appreciate your efforts Hoo. Looks initially like some decent size plays coming up this week but we'll be tracking lines and awaiting updates.

@HooAlum

The minor pasting error is a pimple on an elephant’s ass. I would like to repeat my appreciation for the effort and the time you put into this. THANK YOU   

@HooAlum

Stabilization in the numbers . Big play looks like eyes on Lubbock early.

Tulane-Memphis (No bet): sharp indicator balanced by line movement and steam

Indiana (1 unit): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators outweigh home underdog with low handle and over/under squeeze

Georgia (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Texas Tech (8 units): SKS, mild west coast body clock, low handle favorite, lopsided wagering, sharp indicators outweigh bye week return

Texas A&M (1 unit): low ticket favorite outweigh home underdog with low handle

Oregon (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Vanderbilt (1 unit): sharp indicators

Wake Forest-Virginia (No Bet): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering balanced by sharp indicators

Alabama (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering balanced by sharp indicators

Notre Dame (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Oregon is not a play in my opinion 

I think they lose that game outright

Maybe belaboring the obvious but line movement for Memphis is centered on availability of QB Lewis and word is he is in.

As usual BOLTA...

@HooAlum

 Tulane (1 unit) - steam and line movement outweigh sharp indicator

I'll update a very light Saturday slate tonight over the next couple of hours.

@HooAlum

@HooAlum

 Here is the Friday Night update for tonight and tomorrow.  I will likely not update until late morning.

Tulane (1 unit): steam and line movement outweigh sharp indicator

@HooAlum

 Here is the Friday Night update for tonight and tomorrow.  I will likely not update until late morning.

Tulane (1 unit): steam and line movement outweigh sharp indicator

CHANGE: Penn State (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Georgia (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Texas Tech (6 units): SKS, mild west coast body clock, sharp indicators outweigh bye week return

Texas A&M (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

Oregon (2 unit): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Vanderbilt (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Wake Forest (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Alabama (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp indicators

Notre Dame (3 units): line movement, low handle favorite, style points

NEW GAME: Colorado St-UNLV (No Bet): Low handle favorite, lopsided wagering balanced by sharp indicators

@HooAlum

Here is the morning update.  A couple of additions out of the Big XII to the slate.  Lubbock is still the play and even has an increasing line that you may want to catch before it goes further

Penn State (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh low handle favorite

Georgia (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement outweighs sharp indicators

Texas Tech (7 units): line movement, SKS, mild west coast body clock, sharp indicators outweigh bye week return

NEW GAME: Iowa St-TCU (No Bet): line movement, low handle favorite, lopsided wagering, bye week return outweighs sharp indicators 

Texas A&M (4 units): low ticket favorite, sharp indicators

Iowa-Oregon (No Bet): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering, reverse movement balanced by sharp indicators

NEW GAME: Arizona (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp indicators

Vanderbilt (2 unit): low ticket favorite

Wake Forest (1 unit): sharp indicators outweigh low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Alabama (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite, sharp indicators

Notre Dame (4 units): line movement, low handle favorite, lopsided wagering, style points

Colorado St-UNLV (No Bet): No Indicators

@HooAlum

Are these all spread plays or ML?

@DonnieSims

 Spread.

Good luck today chief. Tailing a couple. 

-bastard

@DonnieSims

 its ML man, take the ML and hammer it for asking such a stupid question

@hailbrady

 Its the spread

@Spyder_Man

 I am fully aware it's spread.  But asking if this is ML or spread is such a stupid question.