Public Indicator Calculations 2024

@HooAlum

Midfternoon Friday report.  As a note, I will be away for a LOT of the day Saturday so if you see a big play that then has dramatic line movement or betting percentage changes (like Penn St Illinois last week) or a small play that has dramatic changes do NOT assume the play remains the same  so you may have to self police this week a little more.  For example the SMU lopsided wagering tell is right on the edge and could easily go away.  If it does the Louisville choice goes up several units.  I apologize in advance for the uncertainty.  I will try to have at least an extensive late night update tonight=.  I also will make a plug for Patrick Everson as I incorporate a lot of the info from his tweetstrom on Saturday mornings in full disclosure.

Oregon (No bet) - low handle favorite balanced by over/under squeeze

UNLV (3 units) - low ticket and handle favorite

Louisville (2 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp signal outweighs lopsided wagering

Virginia (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

Texas A&M (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and SKS outweighs sharp signal

NEW GAME: Penn St (8 units) - low ticket and handle favroite, west coast early start, and sharp signal outweighs over/under squeeze

Georgia (1 unit) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze and line movement

Ole Miss (1 unit) - sharp signal outweighs heavy handle on road favorite (prefect example of what I am talking about - it used to be the best were on the Gamecocks and now they are on the rebels  That sort of signal happened in the last 24 hours. I am sure there will be similar changes in the next 24 on other games.

Ohio State (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering & sharp signal outweighs over/under squeeze and line movement

NEW GAME: Florida State (2 units) - over/under squeeze and road favorite with high handle (I am REALLY starting to get sick of the Seminoles after their 1-4 start with DJ Ugincompletion as their QB - maybe the handle is high on Clemson because everyone knows what I know, the Noles stink)

NEW GAME: Arkansas (1 unit) - road favorite with high handle 

Michigan (3 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and SKS outweighs sharp signal

Florida (2 units) - reverse movement and sharp signal outweighs low handle favorite

Cal-Miami (No bet) low handle favorite balanced by sharp signal

@Come_On_Ref

 I try to be specific if I am talking about ticket (total number of bets) or handle (total amount of money).  If I say low bet favorite, it is sloppy on my part but I usually mean ticket count. 

@HooAlum

 No change on tonight's games.  No Bet on Michigan St-Oregon and 3 units on UNLV.  I'll be back with an update for tomorrow.  Still waiting on some sharp reports that usually come in Friday night.

@HooAlum

Friday night late update (may not get a Saturday update so watch those spreads and %s)

Louisville (3 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp signal

Virginia (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp signal

Texas A&M (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and SKS outweighs sharp signal

Penn St (7 units) - low ticket favorite, west coast early start, and sharp signal outweighs over/under squeeze

Georgia (1 unit) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs over/under squeeze and line movement

Ole Miss (1 unit) - sharp signal outweighs heavy handle on road favorite 

Ohio State (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering & sharp signal outweighs over/under squeeze and line movement

Florida State (2 units) - over/under squeeze and road favorite with high handle 

Arkansas (2 units) - road favorite with high handle and lopsided wagering with away favorite

Washington (6 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and SKS outweighs sharp signal

Florida (2 units) - reverse movement and sharp signal outweighs low handle favorite

Cal-Miami (No bet) low handle favorite balanced by sharp signal

@HooAlum

Is Michigan State f*cking joking right now?  They went for a field goal with 25 seconds left in the game, and they were down 31-7 at the time?  I feel terrible for people who took Oregon -21.5.  Good to see you called it a “no bet.”

i know I could not belive it. Busted the spread. unreal 

@HooAlum

Best week of the season.  It shows in the Friday night posting but there were some add-ons betted out positive.  The headline is Vandy "covering" (no it did not see an outright win) and Georgia Tech with a heft y 9 unit play.  In addition, Texas Tech got some love late night.  BUT that fails to mention the addition of large plays like northwestern (5 units) and Air Force (also a 5 unit play) that were losers.  In addition, as happy as we are with Texas Tech getting a 2 unit win and Cal coming aboard, the Florida call (unfortunately) went away.  Nonetheless, a VERY positive week, easily best of the year. (hell what was posted Saturday was 9-2 so you knew it was a good week even before the updates even if Penn St disappointed.

WEEKLY RECORD: 12-5

SEASON RECORD: 55-35

WEEKLY REVENUE: 89.3 units on 65 wagered

SEASON REVENUE: 340.7 units on 311 wagered (9.55% net profit)

***********

INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

SKS: 75%

Sharp Signal: 65.42%

Reverse Movement: 64.29%

Low Bet Favorite 61.54%

Steam: 55.56%

West Coast Early Start: 0% (0-1)

Line Movement 54.55%

over/under squeeze: 52.38%

Lopsided wagering: 52%

Low Handle Favorite: 51.22% 

Bye Week Return: 45.45%

**************

Week 7 games

South Carolina (2 units): lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

Iowa (1 unit): low handle favorite

Cal (3 units): lopsided wagering

Virginia (2 units): lopsided wagering

Cincinnati (1 unit): bye week return

Texas (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

Southern Cal (4 units): lopsided wagering with road favorite

Arizona (1 unit): reverse movement outweighs bye week return

Tennessee (3 units: low ticket naan handle favorite

LSU (6 units): lopesided wagering with away favorite and bye week return

Oregon (5 units): lopsided wagering on road favroite

West Virginia (4 units): lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

Colorado (5 units): lopsided wagering on road favroite and high handle

@HooAlum

 The handle did come in on Northwestern-Maryland a short time ago and it is a Maryland call for 3 units based on line movement, bye week return and sharp signal.

I'll do a comprehensive weekend update later tonight but wanted to get this in before gametime.  

ASU-Utah does not have the handle level yet but if it makes it right now it is a push.

@HooAlum

Here is an update for tomorrow.  Hopefully, will be more active this weekend *of course not being active after Friday night led to the best week of the year so maybe go based on what I post tonight. 

South Carolina (2 units): lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

CHANGE: Washington (1 unit): lopsided wagering

Cal (4 units): lopsided wagering and sharp action

CHANGE: Louisville (1 unit): low ticket favorite

Cincinnati (1 unit): bye week return and sharp signal outweighs low handle favorite

Texas (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

Southern Cal (8 units): lopsided wagering with road favorite, high handle on road favorite, reverse movement, 

Arizona (3 units): sharp signal and reverse movement outweighs bye week return

Tennessee (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

LSU (1 unit): high handle on road favorite, bye week return outweighs sharp signal

Oregon (5 units): lopsided wagering on road favorite

West Virginia (1 unit):high handle on road favorite

Colorado (1 unit): high handle on road favorite

Good stuff

@HooAlum

Morning Update for morning and mid afternoon games

CHANGE: Alabama (1 unit): Sharp signal outweighs over/under squeeze

CHANGE: Washington-Iowa (NO Bet): no indicators

Cal (2 units): lopsided wagering and sharp action

Louisville (3 unit): low ticket and handle favorite

Cincinnati (1 unit): bye week return and sharp signal outweighs low handle favorite

NEW GAME: Illinois (4 units): line movement, sharp signal & bye week return

Texas (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

Southern Cal (8 units): lopsided wagering with road favorite, high handle on road favorite, reverse movement, 

Arizona (4 units): lopsided wagering, sharp signal and reverse movement outweighs bye week return

@HooAlum

 Midafternoon update for evening games.As a note with cal and Southern Cal are still the call but pulled back

Tennessee (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

LSU (1 unit): high handle on road favorite, bye week return outweighs sharp signal

Oregon (4 units): lopsided wagering on road favorite

West Virginia-Iowa St (No Bet):high handle on road favorite blinked by sharp signal

NEW GAME: NC State (7 units): line movement, steam, reverse movement, (you might want to grab this while you still have some points, this line is moving)

Colorado-K State (No Bet): low ticket favroite balanced by line movement

@HooAlum

 Kentucky has come online with sharp signal, low ticket and handle favorite 

@HooAlum

 Well, after the best week of the year came a poor week.  The indicators are still up but half the profits were wiped out.  It also was the first W_L losing week of the year.  Let's hope for better this week.

WEEKLY RECORD: 6-8

WEEKLY REVENUE: 31.5 on 46 wagered

OVERALL RECORD: 61-43

OVERALL REVENUE: 372.2 units on 357 wagered (4.26% profit)

INDICATOR PERFORMANCE

SKS: 75%

Reverse Movement: 62.5%

Sharp Signal: 62.18%

Low Bet Favorite: 58.14%

Over/Under Squeeze: 56.52%

Lopsided Wagering 53.85%

Line Movement: 51.02%

Steam: 50%

Low Handle Favorite: 47.92%

Bye Week Return: 44.83%

West Coast early start: 0% (0-1)

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Week 8 Games

Boston College-Virginia Tech (no Bet) - No Indicators

Oklahoma St (1 unit) - lopsided wagering and bye week return outweighs sharp signal

Louisville (5 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite and road favorite with a majority handle along with sharp signal outweighs bye week return

Nebraska-Inddiana (No Bet) - no indicators

Oklahoma (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite with lopsided wagering outweighs sharp signal

Tennessee (5 units) -  lopsided wagering with away favorite and road favorite with a majority handle

Georgia Tech (5 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite and road favorite with a majority handle

Illinois (1 unit) -  lopsided wagering with away favorite and road favorite with a majority handle outweighs SKS and bye week return

Southern Cal (2 units) - low ticket handle and sharp signal outweighs lopsided wagering

Arizona (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp signal

Arkansas (2 units) - away favorite with high handle and bye week return

UCF (2 units) - lopsided wagering outweighs sharp signal

West Virginia-Kansas State (No Bet) - away favorite with high handle outweighs sharp signal

Georgia (1 unit) - lopsided wagering outweighs sharp signal

Florida (1 unit) - away favorite with high handle

What's your record man? Not trolling.

@Me_Greatness_Me

 Read the thread.  It's right here on this page.

@HooAlum

 Hokies the call tonight as line mvoement is mixed with low ticket favorite.  This line is moving to 8 so try to grab before that happens

@HooAlum

 No indicators on the game late night tonight.  I will update the full slate again tomorrow but here is where we stand.  Lots of change from a couple of days ago.  Change is normal but this much change is a little overboard.

Louisville (4 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite and road favorite with a majority handle outweighs bye week return

NEW GAME: Auburn (1 unit) - line movement and bye week return outweigh low handle

CHANGE: Indiana (4 units) - Low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

Oklahoma (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite with lopsided wagering outweighs line movement

Tennessee (4 units) -  lopsided wagering with away favorite and road favorite with a majority handle outweighs sharp signal

CHANGE Notre Dame (4.5 units) - steam outweighs road favorite with high handle

CHANGE Michigan  (1 unit) -  SKS and bye week return outweighs lopsided handle and road favorite with a majority handle

CHANGE Maryland (5 units) - sharp signal  lopsided wagering on road favorite with high handle

Arizona (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

CHANGE Arkansas-LSU (No Bet)  - low ticket favorite and sharp signal balances away favorite with high handle and bye week return.  

CHANGE UCF-Iowa State  (No bet) - lopsided wagering balances sharp signal

CHANGE West Virginia (2 units) - lopsided wagering from way favorite with high handle outweighs sharp signal 

CHANGE Texas (7 units) - line movement low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

CHANGE Kentucky (8 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite with lopsided wagering 

NEW GAME Utah (2 units) low ticket and handle favorite  with sharp signal outweighs line movement 

Morning Update.  Good luck to all.  I will try to update for each gametime slot

NEW GAME: East Carolina (1 unit) - bye week return (there is postnatal sharp action as well)

Louisville (3 units) - lopsided wagering with away favorite and road favorite with a majority handle outweighs bye week return

Auburn (4 units) - line movement, reverse movement and bye week return (the reverse movement JUST occurred so watch if it bounces back and thus removes that)

Indiana (4 units) - Low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

BIG CHANGE (the fence jump makes this obvious to those that follow) South Carolina (4 units) - line movement, steam and sharp signal outweighs away favroite handle majority

Tennessee (1 unit) -   lopsided wagering and road favorite with a majority handle outweighs sharp signal

CHANGE Georgia Tech (1/2 unit) lopsided wagering majority handle and road favorite outweighs steam and line movement (based on Haynes King injury clearly)

Michigan (4 unit) -  line movement, SKS and bye week return outweighs road favorite with a majority handle

Maryland (5 units) - sharp signal  lopsided wagering on road favorite with high handle

Arizona (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

NEW GAME: Texas A&M (3 units) - line movement and steam outweighs sharp signal and away favorite with high handle

Arkansas-LSU (No Bet)  - low ticket favorite and sharp signal balances away favorite with high handle and bye week return.  

CHANGE: UCF (1 unit) -lopsided wagering outweighs sharp signal

West Virginia (3 units) - lopsided wagering from away favorite with high handle outweighs sharp signal 

Texas (6 units) - line movement low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

Kentucky (11 units) - line movement, low ticket and handle favorite with lopsided wagering and reverse movement 

Utah (1 unit) low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement & bye week return

@HooAlum

 Auburn reverse movement remains so that is still the call.  Lopsided wagering goes away I nLouisville, South Carolina is boiling up bets to where now IT is lopsided against OU pulling that game back, Indiana has handle above 50% now so that reduces but it still the call.  Is the East Carolina movement going to cut against It?  If you think it is at 17.5 it does if it is at 17 it does not (but you can grab 17.5 at a lot of places)

@HooAlum

Reasonable start to the day depending on Auburn hanging on but really wish I had not pulled back on the unit amounts as Indiana and South Carolina look like the original 4 unit play calls not the 2 units they presently are. Of course Miami's late surge may have saved me win that one.  Only loss looks like East Crolina's 1 unit play at +17.5.  Still a shot but not a big payout if it does come.  This afternoon is really Wolverines.  Watch the line flow in Maryland-Southern Cal as it is on the edge of reverse movement

Tennessee-Alabama (No Bet) -   lopsided wagering and road favorite with a majority handle glances strong sharp signal

Georgia Tech (1/2 unit) lopsided wagering majority handle and road favorite outweighs steam and line movement (based on Haynes King injury clearly)

Michigan (6 units) -  line movement, low ticket favorite, SKS and bye week return outweighs road favorite with a majority handle

Maryland (3 units) - sharp signal  lopsided wagering on road favorite with high handle

Arizona (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

Texas A&M (3 units) - line movement and steam outweighs sharp signal and away favorite with high handle (this could increase the way the line is headed, grab before it is 3 tocuhdowns)

@HooAlum

Good initial start with ECU looking like the only loser and that wa mere 1 unit.  Of course pulling back South Carolina and Indiana from 4 units to 2 units stings. (But Miami-Louisville is still a toss up so safe not to have the larger 3 unit play and just have the push - though Louisville could still make me regret that report even more)

Alabama-Tennessee (No bet) -   lopsided wagering and road favorite with a majority handle outweighs string sharp signal

CHANGE Georgia Tech (1/2 unit) lopsided wagering majority handle and road favorite outweighs steam and line movement (based on Haynes King injury clearly)

Michigan (6 unit) -  line movement, SKS and bye week return outweighs road favorite with a majority handle

Maryland (3 units) - sharp signal  lopsided wagering on road favorite with high handle (watch reverse movement here)

Arizona (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and sharp signal

Texas A&M (3 units) - line movement and steam outweighs sharp signal and away favorite with high handle, (line going up grab under 3 TDs at FanDuel or MGM)

What he ^ said!