Public Indicator Calculations 2024

@HooAlum

 Here is playoff Saturday.  A couple of big plays developing, especially in Austin.  I might want to grab now at 13.5 before it gets to two touchdowns.

PLAYOFF First Round

Penn State (2 units) - sharp signal

Texas (9 units) - Line Movement, low ticket favorite, sharp signal. reverse movement

Ohio St (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, sharp signal

@HooAlum

 Nice win as Texas holds on by the hook.  Ohio State no longer has a low handle but still has low ticket and sharp signal so a 2 unit play

@HooAlum

Very strong 3-0 day.  Now back to the other bowl games for the next week

Hopefully you go on a run like u did a few years back. If I recall it was like a 8 game Win streak. 

Here are today's games.  Lot of lien movement up and down in our first game but it all comes out as nothing in terms of a tell (though I would have loved to have the 2 touchdowns earlier this morning). Re verse movement went away as the line settled in our afternoon game so it is not as big of a play.

Coastal Carolina (1 unit) - heavy handle on away favorite and heavy bowl underdog outweighs line movement

Northern Illinois (3 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp signal

@HooAlum

 Here is a pre-Christmas update through New Year's Day

San Jose State (1 unit) - low ticket Favorite

Pittsburgh (3 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and lopsided wagering outweighs P5 v G5

Rutgers (2 units) -reverse movement

Bowling Green (1 unit) - line movement

Navy (10 units)  - line movement, steam, low handle favorite, reverse movement, sharp signaling P5 v G5

Vanderbilt-Georgia Tech (No Bet) - No indicators

Arkansas (1 unit) - low handle favorite

Syracuse (3 units) - line movement and steam outweighs heavy bowl underdog

Southern Cal (1 unit) - lopsided wagering

Connecticut (1 unit) - G5 v P5

Nebraska (1 unit) - low handle favorite

Louisiana-Lafayette (4 units) - Reverse movement, P5 v G5 heavy bowl underdog

Iowa State (2 units) - lopsided wagering, Bowl Snub outweighs sharp signal

Miami-Ohio (3 units) - low ticket and handle favorite

East Carolina-NC State (No Bet) -line movement balanced by G5 v P5

Colorado (2 units) - sharp signal, SKS outweighs reverse movement

Louisiana Tech (2 units) - over/under squeeze and heavy bowl underdog

Iowa (1 unit) - sharp signal outweighs lopsided wagering

Alabama (9.5 units) - steam, low ticket favorite, reverse movement, sharp signal outweighs heavy bowl underdog and playoff snub

Louisville (1 unit) - low ticket favorite

South Carolina (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp signal

Baylor (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite with lopsided wagering

PLAYOFFS

Penn State (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp signal

Texas (2 units) - sharp signal

Ohio State (5 units) - low ticket and handle favorite and SKS

Notre Dame (1 unit) - lopsided wagering

@HooAlum

 Flip-flop on S Florida? I think they win outright. I agree with all your picks except Pittsburgh and Arkansas. Best wishes to us.

@HooAlum

 Alabama a Playoff snub?? What is that? I realize what it relates to but why isn’t South Carolina or Miami a playoff snub indicated team?

@HooAlum

 Tonight's game has regressed to no bet as a note as the low ticket went away.  

these just all money line bets?

@HooAlum

The game tonight jumped the fence clearly making south Florida the play as those that follow the thread long enough know. (See kungfu2 whose post is spot on)

for bettorific they are ATS

@HooAlum

@Martelxo92

 Miami is. I stated bowl (that was the old rule) but meant playoff. 

South Carolina had no realistic path and they knew it since they lost to Alabama and were behind them in the final rankings. They are not feeling snubbed. Miami is different given they blew it. Unraveling a likely result. Alabama feels flat out wronged. There was a streak in the BCS era that teams in Alabama’s position (1sr team out) failed to cover in their bowl game 11 of 13 years and repeatedly lost as a favorite. 

however the other tells line movement and steam blunt that aspect. We shall see what wins out. 

@HooAlum

 Gotcha

@HooAlum

Today's game is Pitt at 2 units (low ticket and handle favorite outweighs P5 v G5).  Will monitor to see if anything pops but the reverse movement that was driving the higher early Pitt bet the was apparent early has completely disappeared and extremely unlikely to return.

@HooAlum

 i got pitt @ -6. hoping for a push that didnt happen

Rutger +7 and ML for giggles 

@HooAlum

Sorry for the lack of a midday update.   In the proof of honesty the big change was that Rutgers-Kansas State no longer had reverse movement so was not a 2 unit play for Rutgers at +7.  Nice win anyway (and hopefully people took that failure to update and bet on the Scarlet Knights as they covered pretty comfortably if you watched the game as it took a great Kansas St comeback just to win the money line - sorry bettorific that you did not do the double)  but it will not go down as a win in the official scorecard. Pitt was still a call but the late movement from 7 to 6.5 reduced the unit loss.  Bowling Green is still 1 unit and looking like we are staring at an 0-2 day as I type.  But the real fun starts tomorrow, especially with our noon game.

Navy (8 units)  - line movement, steam, reverse movement, sharp signal, P5 v G5 outweighs low handle favorite

Vanderbilt-Georgia Tech (No Bet) - No indicators

CHANGE: Texas Tech (4 units) - steam (jumped the fence) low handle favorite

Syracuse (3 units) - line movement and steam outweighs heavy bowl underdog

CHANGE: Southern Cal-Texas A&M (No Bet) - line movement balanced by lopsided wagering

Connecticut (1 unit) - G5 v P5

Nebraska (1 unit) - low handle favorite

Louisiana-Lafayette (4 units) - Reverse movement, P5 v G5 heavy bowl underdog

Iowa State (2 units) - lopsided wagering, Playoff Snub outweighs sharp signal

Miami-Ohio (3 units) - low ticket and handle favorite

East Carolina-NC State (No Bet) -line movement balanced by G5 v P5

Colorado (1 unit) - sharp signal, SKS outweighs reverse movement

Louisiana Tech (2 units) - over/under squeeze and heavy bowl underdog

CHANGE: Missouri (1 unit) -reverse movement and lopsided wagering outweighs sharp signal

Alabama (3.5 units) - steam, low ticket favorite, sharp signal outweighs heavy bowl underdog and playoff snub

Louisville (3 unit) - low ticket and handle favorite

South Carolina (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp signal

Baylor (11 units) - low ticket and handle favorite with lopsided wagering, line movement, reverse movement

Duke (2 units) - lopsided wagering and heavy bowl underdog

PLAYOFFS

Penn State (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp signal

CHANGE: Arizona St-Texas (No bet) - lopsided wagering balanced by sharp signal

Ohio State (4 units) - low ticket favorite, sharp signal and SKS

Notre Dame-Georgia (No bet) - sharp signal balanced by lopsided wagering

@HooAlum

 Please hold on Navy (hope folks got at 2.5 which is an OT hedge in case the Sooners can do something here).

I'll give more updates later soon but teh 3:30 game has an update as the ticket and handle have fallen to mean a Georgia Tech 3 unit play.  Try top grab the 2.5 at FanDuel or Caesars.

Man i was so happy they went for 2. couldnt lost either way it goes.  i lost my other two overtime plays. couldnt bear to lose a 3rd one. 

Great stuff 

@HooAlum

@HooAlum

Night time trio has the favorites in varying degrees:

Texas Tech (6 units) - steam (jumped the fence) low handle favorite and sharp signal ( I think this one is on teh way to 3 so grab at 2.5 if you have not already been fortunate enough to grab earlier today)

Syracuse (3 units) - line movement and steam outweighs heavy bowl underdog

Texas A&M (1 unit) - line movement

@HooAlum

 Appreciate the early plaudits today because a lot of people are cursing right now  Texas Tech had zero chance and a painful backdoor in the Cuse-Cougs game by a point.  Ouch!  (wish they had gone for 2 there like in OU-Navy  - at least could have gotten a push).   Well, hopefully these will be better than the afternoon and the nighttime.

BTW, let me make a call on one picker, Chris 'the Bear" Fallica.  Regardless of his reasoning, he is picking a number of games just before steam hits.  He is reading something.  He did so in navy, Texas Tech and now ole Miss.  I am not saying he is picking everything correctly (Texas Tech being the example) but he is getting free points and beating the books on the movement.  Might be worth a follow.  

CHANGE: Connecticut-North Carolina (No bet) - low handle balanced by G5 v P5

CHANGE: Boston College-Nebraska (No bet) - No indicators

Louisiana-Lafayette (2 units) - P5 v G5 heavy bowl underdog

Iowa State (2 units) - lopsided wagering, Playoff Snub outweighs line movement

Miami-Ohio (3 units) - low ticket and handle favorite

East Carolina-NC State (No Bet) -line movement balanced by G5 v P5

CHANGE: BYU-Colorado (No bet) - sharp signal, SKS balanced by lopsided wagering and reverse movement

Louisiana Tech (2 units) - over/under squeeze and heavy bowl underdog

Missouri (1 unit) -sharp signal outweighs lopsided wagering 

Alabama (3.5 units) - steam, low ticket favorite, sharp signal outweighs heavy bowl underdog and playoff snub

Louisville (2 units) - low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp signal

South Carolina (1 unit) -  sharp signal outweighs double digit underdog

Baylor (11 units) - low ticket and handle favorite with lopsided wagering, line movement, reverse movement

Ole Miss (4.5 units) - line movement, steam, sharp signal outweighs  lopsided wagering and heavy bowl underdog

Texas State (4 units) - low ticket and handle favorite, reverse movement outweighs heavy bowl underdog

Virginia Tech-Minnesota (No bet) - No indicators

PLAYOFFS

Penn State (3 units) - low ticket favorite and sharp signal

CHANGE: Texas (1 unit) - sharp signal outweighs lopsided wagering

Ohio State (3 units) - low ticket favorite and SKS

Notre Dame-Georgia (No bet) - sharp signal balanced by lopsided wagering