@HooAlum
Getting noon games then will list the others off.
6 units
Indiana (+4) - late charging due to a strong sharp play along with home noon start and lopsided wagering
4 units
West Virginia (-1.5) - (I like this one for much more) SKS, small sharp, home noon outweighs aggressive line movement augmenting low ticket favorite underdog play. That aggressive line movement is a warning sign and why it has dropped from 10 units to 4
Miami (-6.5) - STRONG sharp play along with him noon
1 unit
Oklahoma (-22.5) - line movement and how noon outweigh small sharp play
@HooAlum
Here are the games as of noon. Obviously late sharp play and line movement can influence so keep your heads up as I will be unable to update.
7 units
Boise St (-3.5) - SKS and very strong sharp plays out weighs line movement (love that one of the two big early plays remain - I still like WVU though at a high level)
4 units
Arizona St (-3.5) - sharp play and SKS
3 units
Notre Dame (-7.5) - low ticket favorite and sharp play
Florida (+14.5) - line and reverse movement
Air Force (-8) (I hate this play, I'd like to ignore the game as the low ticket and lopsided could flip) - low ticket favorite and lopsided betting
Vanderbilt (+13.5) - strong over/under squeeze and lopsided betting outweigh line movement
2 units
Washington St (+7.5) - line movement and home noon
Fresno St (+11) - sharp play (yes, Sranbford Steve plays a role here for you Daily Wager fans)
1 unit
Georgia Tech (+27.5) - over/under squeeze
Mississippi St (-3.5) - low ticket favorite
Georgia (-30.5) - low ticket favorite and lopsided betting outweigh strong over/under squeeze
Auburn (+5) - line movement (sharp plays toward PSU went away)
San Jose St (-7) - line movement (for your last gasp of the night/new day play)
No Bet
Florida St-Wake (tells went way but I personally like FSU)
Virginia-North Carolina
Tulane-Mississippi
Time to take my lumps for the week. It was a losing week. Had some nice late movement (the lopsided wagering evened out as it often does and made AFA and UGA no longer as strong or as bad a play). In addition, late sharp action was pretty good (except for Fresno where it lessened from a solid sharp play to a mild one). That and some SKS pullback occurred in Boise-Oklahoma St (this was good but the pullback in the WVU-VPI was bad - still wish I had 10 units on that one). This week is a great example on how late tells are very beneficial and calm the waters on overreaches. The day got worse the further from noon you got with no new data entered for you guys. Early afternoon was fine as the tells had revealed themselves but the evening was awful as sharp plays and lopsided wagering were evened out but not updated. How to correct in the future.
OVERALL RECORD
30-31 (49%)
WEEK Record
8-10
OVERALL UNITS
147 placed 159.7 won (+12.7) = 8.64% profit
SEASON TELL RECORD
Steam - 100% (no way this continues, it is a good tell but more like 57%)
Over/Under Squeeze - 80% (this is brand new but WAY above the projected 55-60% range I thought it would be - I expect it to come back to the mean at some point)
West Coast Travel - 75% (about where it normally is, it is just such a rare occurrence that you cannot depend on it being there every week - actually only in the early portion of the season when teams play OOC)
SKS - 60% (slightly down from the past)
Sharp Action - 59% (about where it historically is)
Reverse Movement - 50% (still one of the best coming in at a 60% clip, the trick is identifying it correctly - Florida-Alabama was a no brainer this weekend on it happening)
Lopsided Wagering - 44% (patience, I still believe if it hangs in all the way to gametime you have something - it often fades before then though)
Line Movement - 39% (57% on underdog movement; 28% on favorite movement). It will get back to 53% but it is such a small tell I likely should ignore and not muck up picks with better tells. It is the primary reason that my overall record is at 50% but I am making a profit because this is also the most common tell.
Noon Home - 38% (this one probably needs to go the way of the dinosaur - I gave it a stay of execution due to COVID)
Blowout Response - 33% (now 1-2 after Illinois won this week so a lot of data points to go - it was 55% in its test run)
Low Ticket Favorite - 9%!!!!!!! (what the hell is going on here? This has been a solid play for years. Now I guess you should fade it but I'll be shocked if this continues)
Here is how the changes from my noon post occurred late for full transparency
Boise St 4 units not 7 as SKS pulled back and sharp play remained strong but not out of this world strong
Arizona St 1 unit not 4 as sharp play came in heavy late on the Cougars.
Notre Dame 2 not 3 as low ticket favorite went away
Air Force 1 unit not 3 as lopsided wagering did indeed go away as I predicted
Vanderbilt 1 unit not 3 as lopsided wagering went away
Fresno St 1 unit not 2 as sharp action pulled back
South Carolina NOT Georgia 1 unit as lopsided wagering went away (are you detecting a theme, lopsided wagering goes away very often)
Georgia Tech 3 not 1 as strong sharp action came in
No Bet Penn St-Auburn not 1 as sharp play (Stanford Steve thank you) came back
Others remained the same.
@HooAlum
Here is midday Tuesday. A lot of early action so this could be a good week. Once again, be skeptical of low favorite tickets and lopsided wagering this early in the week.
Also, I have decided to no longer count noon plays. I am tracking it but no longer is it part of what I provide.
Friday
Wake @ Virginia (-4) - No bet
Saturday
6 units
Wisconsin (-6) - let's start off with a bang. A very strong SKS play to start that could increase. It also has a bye week factor and low ticket favorite.
5 units
Oklahoma (-16.5) - Sooners are getting really low ticket count leading to also lopsided wagering and have a solid early sharp play
4 units
Oklahoma St (-6) - identical to their instate counterparts with extremely low ticket count, lopsided wagering but the sharp play is only mild
Navy (+20) - lopsided wagering with a strong over/under squeeze (love this tell and it should last)
3 units
Missouri (-2) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering (tough as the line jumped the fence, watch this as I think it will change)
Florida (-20) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering
Arkansas (+5.5) - line movement augmenting low ticket favorite
2 units
Georgia Tech (+12) - lopsided wagering
Washington St (+14.5) - lopsided wagering
UCLA (-5) - solid sharp play
Oregon St (+12) - lopsided wagering
Mississippi St (+2.5) - solid sharp play
TCU (-9) - low ticket favorite and bye week
Baylor (+7) - lopsided wagering
1 unit
Colorado (+14.5) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering outweighs over/under squeeze (this pick is destined to jump the fence to Arizona St due to O/U likely to continue while the other tells will likely fade)
Texas (-7.5) - low ticket favorite
Memphis (-3) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering outweighs solid sharp play (another one I predict will jump the fence over time)
Clemson (-9.5) - low ticket favorite and solid sharp play outweighs solid over/under squeeze (this sharp play is likely to increase so I imagine it will be a stronger Clemson play as time goes on)
Rutgers (+20) - over/under squeeze
No Bet
Louisville-Florida St (+2)
Nebraska-Michigan St (-5)
@HooAlum
Doing a regression update and a handful of numbers looked off when analyzing the data on a deeper dive. I realized I made a formula mistake on the sharp measurement (I use reported sharp plays and the impact of their money flows. I had a double count for one type of flow as a result there was a slight adjustment - It made week 1 better and week 3 worse). It is pretty even in the result as you see but the numbers do adjust slightly so want to be consistent in what I report. Full disclosure the added win was Georgia-Clemson, the added loss was Virginia-North Carolina.
OVERALL RECORD
31-32 (49%) (1 more win from a non-play and 1 more loss from a non-play)
OVERALL UNITS PLACED
149 units 165.4 won (+16.4%) = 11.01% profit
SHARP PLAY - 62% w-l record; 61% added value component; thus up 2% from the reported amount yesterday.
@HooAlum
Wednesday evening update. Lines are starting to move more this week than they have all year at this point in the week. I view tat as a good thing as action is being played. Really big play that will stick as a big play os our showcase game in Chicago. The system loves Wisconsin to cover the number in a similar way that it liked West Virginia but the Kline movement is even more indicative.
Here is midday Tuesday. A lot of early action so this could be a good week. Once again, be skeptical of low favorite tickets and lopsided wagering this early in the week.
Also, I have decided to no longer count noon plays. I am tracking it but no longer is it part of what I provide.
Friday
Wake @ Virginia (-4) - No bet
Saturday
9 units
Oklahoma (-17) - Surprised this one is the tops but it has move volatile tells so I'd still lean o nthe game in Chicago as my big play. The key here is not only reverse movement but positive reverse movement. This is the first upward reverse movement we have seen in 2021 and usually is an even better tell than traditional reverse movement. Line movement also enters the fray and augments the low ticket count leading to also lopsided wagering and have a solid early sharp play.
8 units
Wisconsin (-6.5) - let's start off the day with a bang. A very strong SKS play to start that could increase. It also has a bye week factor and low ticket favorite along with line movement.
6 units
Oklahoma St (-6) - Our third big ticket goes down the road to Stillwater. Much of the game is identical to their instate counterparts with extremely low ticket count, lopsided wagering but the sharp play is only mild and no reverse movement. A very mild SKS play also is in the works.
4 units
Oregon St (+11.5)- Well, this game woke up in a hurry with some heavy reverse movement and traditional line movement. Lopsided wagering went away so this is very interesting.
Navy (+20) - lopsided wagering with a strong over/under squeeze (love this tell and it should last)
2 units
Washington St (+14.5) - lopsided wagering
UCLA (-4.5) - solid sharp play
Florida St (+2.5)- negative line movement augments low ticket favorite toward underdog
Mississippi St (+2.5) - solid sharp play
TCU (-9) - low ticket favorite and bye week
Baylor (+7) - lopsided wagering (it is going away soon)
Tennessee (+19) - negative line movement augments underdog with low ticket favorite
Clemson (-9.5) - low ticket favorite and solid sharp play outweighs solid over/under squeeze (this sharp play is likely to increase so I imagine it will be a stronger Clemson play as time goes on)
1 unit
Georgia Tech (+13) - lopsided wagering outweighs line movement
Arizona St (-14) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering outweigh strong over/under squeeze
Texas (-7.5) - low ticket favorite
Memphis (-3) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering outweighs solid sharp play (another one I predict will jump the fence over time)
Michigan (-19) - Steam move outweighs over/under squeeze
No Bet
Missouri @ BC (+2)
Nebraska-Michigan St (-5)
Arkansas vs Texas A&M (-4.5)
Thursday update for folks. A few more sharp's showed their hand and you will notice the institution of "half" plays for not just mild sharps but VERY mild sharps. Still worth noting for full disclosure purposes. I am also pulling back on the low ticket underdog augmentation. It really is has not performed this year and in the past was not a tremendous tell as it was a 53.6% over its history and has already dropped to 52.7% including this year. I'll still track it and see if it rebounds.
Friday
1/2 unit
Liberty (-6.5) - low ticket favorite outweighs small sharp play
Wake @ Virginia (-3.5) - No bet
Saturday
9 units
Oklahoma (-17) - Positive reverse movement, traditional line movement augmenting low ticket count, lopsided wagering and strong sharp play.
8 units
Wisconsin (-6.5) - Strong SKS play, bye week factor and low ticket favorite along with line movement.
6 units
Oklahoma St (-5.5) - Low ticket count, lopsided wagering, mild sharp play and mild SKS play
4 units
Oregon St (+11.5)- Heavy reverse movement and traditional line movement.
Navy (+19) - lopsided wagering with a strong over/under squeeze (love this tell and it should last)
3 units
Washington St (+15) - lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze
2.5 units
Mississippi St (+2.5) - strong sharp play
2 units
UTSA (+3) - Solid Sharp play with line movement outweighs low ticket favorite
TCU (-9) - low ticket favorite and bye week
Baylor (+7) - solid sharp play
NC State (+10) - line movement and over/under squeeze outweighs low ticket favorite (surprised sharp play is gone for now, I expect it to come back for Clemson)
1.5 units
Arkansas (+4.5) - negative line movement and a small sharp play
1 unit
Arizona St (-14) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering outweigh strong over/under squeeze
UCLA (-4.5) - solid sharp play
Florida St (+2)- line movement
Texas Tech (+9.5) - line movement
Tennessee (+19) - line movement
1/2 unit
Nebraska (+5) - small sharp play
No Bet
Missouri @ BC (+1.5)
Georgia Tech @ UNC (-12)
Rutgers @ Michigan (-19) - Steam move balanced with over/under squeeze and sharp play
@HooAlum
Friday Update, nest one likely tomorrow morning
Friday
1 unit
Wake Forest (+3.5) - line movement
1/2 unit
Liberty (-6.5) - low ticket favorite outweighs small sharp play
Saturday
9 units
Oklahoma (-17) - Positive reverse movement, traditional line movement augmenting low ticket count, lopsided wagering and strong sharp play.
8 units
Wisconsin (-6.5) - Strong SKS play, bye week factor and low ticket favorite along with line movement.
6 units
Oklahoma St (-5.5) - Low ticket count, lopsided wagering, mild sharp play and mild SKS play
Navy (+19) - lopsided wagering with a strong over/under squeeze (love this tell and it should last) and now reverse movement. Line likely to go down further, get your bets in now.
4 units
UTSA (+3) - line movement and strong Sharp play
3 units
Washington St (+15) - lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze
Oregon St (+11.5)- Solid Reverse movement and traditional line movement.
2 units
Texas (-8.5) - Steam
Baylor (+7) - solid sharp play
1.5 units
Mississippi St (+2.5) - strong sharp play outweighs low ticket favorite
1 unit
Arizona St (-14) - low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering outweigh strong over/under squeeze
UCLA (-4.5) - solid sharp play
Florida St (+2)- line movement
TCU (-9.5) -bye week
Tennessee (+19) - line movement
1/2 unit
Nebraska (+5) - small sharp play
Texas A&M (-5) - small sharp play
No Bet
Bowling Green @ Minnesota (-31)
Kent St @ Maryland (-14.5)
Missouri @ BC (+1.5)
Georgia Tech @ UNC (-12.5)
Clemson @ NC State (+10)
Rutgers @ Michigan (-20.5) - Steam move balanced with over/under squeeze and sharp play
@HooAlum
Let's update last night
Liberty remained a $5 play loss but the win many of you thought I had actually went to a no bet thanks to some mild late sharp so could not take advantage of the Wake win despite the early post so I am actually 0-1 not 1-1 to start in full disclosure but very mild in advance of a BIG day.
Here is where the numbers stand at 11:15 this morning. I know subject to change. Watch line movment, lopsided wagering (ie ticket count coming back to the mean) and late sharp plays (if you see ticket handles dramatically move that is your tell if you want to follow on your own - particularly on games I have already called out some degree of sharp action)
Saturday
10 units
Wisconsin (-6.5) Game of the day in so many ways - Strong SKS play, bye week factor, solid sharp play and low ticket favorite along with line movement.
Oklahoma (-17) - Positive reverse movement, traditional line movement augmenting low ticket count, lopsided wagering and strong sharp play.
5 units
Navy (+19) - line movement, strong over/under squeeze (love this tell and it should last) and now reverse movement.
4 units
UTSA (+3) - line movement and strong Sharp play
Tennessee (+19) - line movement and solid sharp play
3.5 units
Mississippi St (+2.5) - strong sharp play and line movement
3 units
Oregon St (+11.5)- Solid Reverse movement and traditional line movement.
2 units
Maryland - line movement and mild sharp play
Oklahoma St (-5.5) - lopsided wagering and mild SKS play outweighs line movement
Baylor (+7) - solid sharp play
1 1/2 units
North Carolina - line movement and sharp play outweigh lopsided wagering
Nebraska (+5) - solid sharp play
1 unit
Boston College - Line Movement
Air Force - mile sharp play and lopsided wagering outweighs line movement
Washington St (+15) - lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze outweigh line movement
Florida St (+2)- line movement
Texas Tech (+9) - strong sharp play outweighs Steam and low ticket favorite
TCU (-9.5) -bye week
Michigan - Steam move and line movement outweighs over/under squeeze and sharp play
1/2 unit
Texas A&M (-5) - low ticket favorite outweighs small sharp play
No Bet
Bowling Green @ Minnesota (-31)
Colorado @ Arizona St (-4.5)
Stanford @ UCLA (-4.5)
Clemson @ NC State (+10)
@HooAlum
Likely headed to another losing week as one big bet is done and lost (Wisconsin) and the other is likely to lose (Oklahoma).
UTSA was nice and Navy might be VERY nice.
Right now down 2.7 units out of 57 bet (and as games run but watch Tennessee - really need them) so not good week and only 2 games left. At this point we aqre looking at Oregon St being the big bet. If the numbers hold and win both it will be a positive week but Olahjoma and Wisconsin jut=st were killers.
3 units
Oregon St - reverse movement and line movement
1 unit
Colorado - Over/under squeeze outweighs line movement
@HooAlum
Oregon St bailed out a bad week and made it manageable. Would have had a nice winning week if the Gators had not taken money out of my pocket running up the score in the final minute against the Volunteers. Of course, had I not missed my big bets of Wisconsin and Oklahoma, we would not have gotten there in the first place. Thus, this week was different from others. My overall W_L was even but the monetary was hurt was the 2 biggest plays were losers (but UTSA and Navy were nice balancing acts). Late changes did not nearly help and some REALLY hurt at the end of the day I note disclosure section below.
Here is where we stand for the season
OVERALL RECORD
43-45 (49%)
WEEK Record
10-10
OVERALL UNITS
213 placed 223 won (+10) = 4.69% profit
SEASON TELL RECORD
Over/Under Squeeze - 80% (OK, this is amazing, it just keeps going. It is an astounding 20-5)
West Coast Travel - 75% (about where it normally is, not see this much more as OOC play ends)
Steam - 60% (Michigan and Houston give the first losses - too bad as Navy was still a HUGE bet and winner)
SKS - 56% (down from the past)
Sharp Action - 56% (about where it historically is but had its first losing week in week 4)
Reverse Movement - 55% (This is the oldest - money tell and it is positive this year)
Lopsided Wagering - 55% (patience paid off with a nice 2-0 week)
Line Movement - 40% (54% on underdog movement; 27% on favorite movement). Still debating whether to simply make it an augmentation to other tells.
Noon Home - 38% (I am no longer using this tell as of this week - it went 2-3 so good decision - but I am going to follow it)
Blowout Response - 33% (no games this past week)
Low Ticket Favorite - 13%!!!!!!! (I'll repeat was I said last week after another bad 1-3 week. - stay patient but this is tough)
Bye Week Prep - 0% (Wisconsin and TCU = FAIL). I'll give it more time this week but bad start to the new tell. It certainly is no Over/under squeeze after its first week.
Full Disclosure of what was changed from last reported to you.
Bowling Green 2 units from no bet due to late line movement coming down - (you likely saw this)
Oklahoma from 10 to 6 units due to the augmentation going away as ticket count got to 51%
UTSA from 3.5 to 4.5 due to even more sharp play (i.e. the Bear and accompanying bet moves)
Kent St 2 units from Maryland 2 units due to line movement and sharp reversing itself (oops!!)
Oklahoma St going from 2 to 1 due to a late sharp play
Georgia Tech went to 1/2 a unit thanks to a late money sharp play
Nebraska went to 3.5 from 1 and 1/2 on very strong sharp play (some of the strongest of the weekend)
BC up to 3 units from 1 thanks Toit jumping the fence on its movement
Air force was no play thanks to late line movement
Washington St turned to a no play (very bitter on this one cost me some)
Florida St went from only 1 unit to 4 in a losing cause as it was a mess on low ticket favorite as it jumped the fence on line movement like BC earlier. That was a winner and this was a LOSER.
Texas Tech sharp play slightly reduced to no bet from 1 unit.
TCU went the opposite was as the 1 unit went to 2 in a losing cause with the new bye week augmentation
Arkansas as the line movement aggressively went to the Hogs to pair with their exiting sharp play (as a note, I personally loved this one)
@HooAlum
Week 5 is upon us so here is the slate for the week with very early tells
7 units
Cincinnati (-2) - low ticket favorite, sharp play, SKS and a bye week. Lot of tells toward the Bearcats. The units may come down but they are the play this weekend
5 units
Wisconsin (-1) - going back to last year almost half of the losses involving SKS play have been through 1 team, Wisconsin (last week being particularly painful). Should you fade when the Badgers are involved? Perhaps. For now here are the tells as SKS and blowout response say On Wisconsin!
4 units
Alabama (-14.5) - low ticket favorite, lopsided wagering (really???? against the Tide??) and sharp plays om the Tide (so the public is Ole Miss, the pros are Bama) outweighs Ole Miss coming off bye week
3 units
Miami (-4.5) - line movement and low ticket favorite
Baylor (+4) - lopsided wagering and small sharp action
Texas A&M (-7) - lopsided wagering and low ticket favorite
2 units
Boston College (+16) - over/under squeeze
Penn St (-12) - line movement and steam outweigh over/under squeeze
Stanford (+8) - sharp play
TCU (+5) - lopsided wagering
Oklahoma (-10.5) - low ticket favorite and sharp action outweigh over/under squeeze
1 unit
Louisville (+7) - Sharp play outweighs low ticket favorite
LSU (-3.5) - low ticket favorite
No Bet
Houston @ Tulsa
Iowa @ Maryland
Pitt @ Georgia Tech
Florida @ Kentucky
Texas Tech @ West Virginia
Arizona St @ UCLA
I was all ready to put in my modest 1 unit bet on the Canes but then the sharps have come in really late on the Hoos. The whole thing is a mess but it is now a no bet.
If this things come further off the high number to 3 in the next few minutes it jumps the fence on line movement combined with sharps to outweigh the favorite low ticket tell to mean the Cavaliers are the pick for a unit, not the Canes. Pretty crazy last minute movement here all the way from 5.5 to 3.5.
@No_Gifts
happy to describe a over/under squeeze. The average score of a college football game over the last decade has been 54 points. 25% of games have been under 49 points. If the over under is set below those benchmarks (thus a projected low scoring game) AND the spread is 10 or greater, that does not leave much room for the favorite to cover. Thus, something has to give, either the O/U or the spread, thus the term "squeeze."
My favorite example actually happened this year when Arizona St was favored by 34.5-35 over UNLV but the over under was 53.5-54.
That means if UNLV scored a mere 10 points (garbage time in a worst case scenario - but they actually got that early in the game) then something had to give using simple addition and subtraction. Either the over would cover or ASU would fail to cover (or both).
If the benchmark is set below 49 then it is a super duper tell that the underdog is a good bet. After all, the oddsmakers don't want to lose big on either o/u or the spread so the squeeze forces their hand. I typically think the underdog covering the spread is the most vulnerable, and this season that has definitely been the case hitting at an amazing 80% (20-5) clip.
Rob Pizzola previously of the infamous Prediction Machine badass ats...is a genius at #s and a pro gambler, hese on his own now but advertises on radio shows for some of the new betting apps....
He said he doesent believe in the Fade the Pub.....the books have it factored into their vig so really not much of an adv....he says stats #s are where the REAL edge is at....
Personally I think fading is still reliable$...
Good Thread, GL!!
@HooAlum
Here is the Friday update with the latest data
6 units
Cincinnati (-1.5) - line movement, low ticket favorite, sharp play, SKS and a bye week. I still believe this is the play of the weekend
Wisconsin (-1.5) - going back to last year almost half of the losses involving SKS play have been through 1 team, Wisconsin (last week being particularly painful). Should you fade when the Badgers are involved? Perhaps. For now here are the tells as SKS line movement and blowout response say On Wisconsin!
5 units
Oklahoma (-11.5) - positive reverse movement, low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering (though that last tell is soft right now) outweighs over/under squeeze
Texas A&M (-7) - positive reverse movement, lopsided wagering, low ticket favorite
4 units
Baylor (+3.5) - lopsided wagering and solid sharp action
Kentucky (+8) - line movement, lopsided wagering, and reverse movement
3 units
Boston College (+15) - over/under squeeze and line movement
2 units
Stanford (+8) - sharp play
Auburn (+3) - reverse movement
1 unit
Maryland (+3.5) - small SKS play outweighs small minor play
Pitt (-3) - line movement
Penn St (-12.5) - Steam & Line movement outweigh over/under Squeeze and lopsided wagering
Louisville (+7) - Sharp play outweighs low ticket favorite
Alabama (-14.5) - low ticket favorite and small sharp movement outweighs bye week
Texas Tech (+7) - blowout response
No Bet
Houston @ Tulsa
Texas @ TCU
Arkansas @ Georgia
Arizona St @ UCLA
@HooAlum
couple of corrections. Maryland was a stronger SKS play so went up in value to 2 units and Houston likewise went up due to the reverse movement from 4.5 to 3.5 so win some lose some.
Here are the latest numbers. I'll try to update tomorrow but I am getting close to my 24 hour post limit.
7 1/2 units
TCU - (+4) - came out of nowhere thanks to both steam and reverse movement in the same move along with lopsided wagering and a small sharp play
Wisconsin (-2) - SKS (yet again, these guys will burn me again probably), line movment, sharps and a blowout response.
5 units
Cincinnati (-1.5) - SKS and bye week (still love this play)
Baylor - lopsided wagering (likely to go away) and very strong sharp play
3 1/2 units
Stanford (+8) - lopsided wagering and sharp play
3 units
Boston College (+15) - line movement and strong over/under squeeze
Auburn (+3) - line and reverse movement
Texas A&M (-7) - low ticket and lopsided wagering
2 1/2 units
Arkansas (+17) - line movement, strong over under squeeze and small sharp play outweighs low ticket favorite and lopsided wagering
Kentucky (+7.5) - reverse line movement outweighs small sharp play
2 units
Nevada (+5) - line movement and sharp play
1 and 1/2 unit
Troy (+6.5) - line movement and small sharp
1 unit
Georgia Tech (+3) - line movement
Louisville (+7) - sharp play
Texas Tech (+7) - blowout response
UAB (-2) - sharp play
Arizona St (+3) line movement
1/2 unit
Penn St (-12.5) - line movement and Steam outweighs lopsided wagering, small sharp plays and over/under squeeze
Ole miss (+15) - bye week and small sharp play outweighs Leo ticket favorite
Oklahoma (-11.5) - low ticket favorite and reverse movement outweighs sharp play and over/under queeze
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