Ok starting a new thread took 7 weeks to have a losing week in college ball ..mostly on parlays and teasers. But after a 10-1 Saturday on str ups I bet a bunch on Saturday and go 7-8 after calling n.car a no play. But start a new thread anyway. Why not.
YTD on str up posted plays 68-41 not great but ok ...doing well in NFL ALSO
One game I am looking at is Houston at Utah. Line of +5.5. At Utah i am hoping this goes up ...Houston been good on road we know Utah is tuff at home but this houston offense can score
And maybe S.Car at home vs Texas. TEXAS struggling this might set up well for S.Car at home...odds makers think so with a small home dog.
Will have more in next days.
Gl.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Ok starting a new thread took 7 weeks to have a losing week in college ball ..mostly on parlays and teasers. But after a 10-1 Saturday on str ups I bet a bunch on Saturday and go 7-8 after calling n.car a no play. But start a new thread anyway. Why not.
YTD on str up posted plays 68-41 not great but ok ...doing well in NFL ALSO
One game I am looking at is Houston at Utah. Line of +5.5. At Utah i am hoping this goes up ...Houston been good on road we know Utah is tuff at home but this houston offense can score
And maybe S.Car at home vs Texas. TEXAS struggling this might set up well for S.Car at home...odds makers think so with a small home dog.
Read the wrong team. Ole miss is playing texas. My mistake.
Houston up to 6.5 already. Texas is -3.5. I may have read it wrong but I think texas has went up also from earlier
Also was impressed with VT last week but early i did not like how they let G.tech back in the game, looked like they were going to bury them early, at Clemson who has struggled I'm wondering what VT team will show up...never liked the coach seemed to choke in big games. But VT SEEMS to be able to score points
The total in the west virginia/tcu game at 56.5 WV just has no defense, TCU hasn't been a scoring machine but it seems like all WV games go over, last weeks total was like 63 and it flew over the total could be worth a look
And what's up with FAU?? Army ended up destroying them and now at home laying 10 to rice
Will BYU have the letdown people expect after a big win? Laying 6.5 at UCF who has shown fight this year but a focused BYU team is think is 7 pts better.
Just early thoughts. Again sorry for confusion. Ill blame age
Gl
151
Read the wrong team. Ole miss is playing texas. My mistake.
Houston up to 6.5 already. Texas is -3.5. I may have read it wrong but I think texas has went up also from earlier
Also was impressed with VT last week but early i did not like how they let G.tech back in the game, looked like they were going to bury them early, at Clemson who has struggled I'm wondering what VT team will show up...never liked the coach seemed to choke in big games. But VT SEEMS to be able to score points
The total in the west virginia/tcu game at 56.5 WV just has no defense, TCU hasn't been a scoring machine but it seems like all WV games go over, last weeks total was like 63 and it flew over the total could be worth a look
And what's up with FAU?? Army ended up destroying them and now at home laying 10 to rice
Will BYU have the letdown people expect after a big win? Laying 6.5 at UCF who has shown fight this year but a focused BYU team is think is 7 pts better.
Just early thoughts. Again sorry for confusion. Ill blame age
well i will look over almost every game, because you never know where you might find a gem, whats always helped me is having a sense of where the money will go, missed its very important, because bottom line is we are all trying to get the best line we can on a game we like, so knowing if to bet early or wait is important, its not 100% but i find that i usually can do it, years of bookmaking and 3 years at wwts really helped, just hope i am more right than wrong, i think college is the true handicapping sport, and in Hoops, NFL forget it just my opinion..
One game i am going to go ahead and bet early is Duke +1.5 at Virginia Virginia has been playing below expectations after their win over N Carolina st, i mean people had them playing Miami already for a ACC championship, i just think they are done, Duke has been playing well, yes they lost at G Tech but if you look into the game and why they lost, you can see that they could have won that one, before half they got to the 7 after a long pass and just didnt get another play off, missed shance at more pts then they missed a 33 yd fg late to tie it up, then last game vs N Car who everyone was on, Duke was down 17-0 but cae back to take the lead 20-17 that showed a lot, and N C is a good team, then down 24-20 Duke drove to the UNC 34 , but UNC did the right thing bringing pressure whic lead to a INT, Duke maybe needed 1 more minute on the clock to not be so hurried , but i just have no faith in Virginia and i think Duke has played well enough to win their last 2 even though they came up short in both games , Virginia lost 23-13 at SMU and had just 258 total yds of offense, and Duke did hold N Car to about 325 total yds thats not bad, i just feel Duke gets the win here, and at +2 i just do not see this going up so ill grab it now again just think Virginia is not playing well. they travel to wake forest next week where i think wake will be big fav's if not i like wake under 11 ...Duke has BC at home next....
oops duke is +1.5 still taking it i see no injuries as of yet and its the only line available cant move it PLAYS IN
151
well i will look over almost every game, because you never know where you might find a gem, whats always helped me is having a sense of where the money will go, missed its very important, because bottom line is we are all trying to get the best line we can on a game we like, so knowing if to bet early or wait is important, its not 100% but i find that i usually can do it, years of bookmaking and 3 years at wwts really helped, just hope i am more right than wrong, i think college is the true handicapping sport, and in Hoops, NFL forget it just my opinion..
One game i am going to go ahead and bet early is Duke +1.5 at Virginia Virginia has been playing below expectations after their win over N Carolina st, i mean people had them playing Miami already for a ACC championship, i just think they are done, Duke has been playing well, yes they lost at G Tech but if you look into the game and why they lost, you can see that they could have won that one, before half they got to the 7 after a long pass and just didnt get another play off, missed shance at more pts then they missed a 33 yd fg late to tie it up, then last game vs N Car who everyone was on, Duke was down 17-0 but cae back to take the lead 20-17 that showed a lot, and N C is a good team, then down 24-20 Duke drove to the UNC 34 , but UNC did the right thing bringing pressure whic lead to a INT, Duke maybe needed 1 more minute on the clock to not be so hurried , but i just have no faith in Virginia and i think Duke has played well enough to win their last 2 even though they came up short in both games , Virginia lost 23-13 at SMU and had just 258 total yds of offense, and Duke did hold N Car to about 325 total yds thats not bad, i just feel Duke gets the win here, and at +2 i just do not see this going up so ill grab it now again just think Virginia is not playing well. they travel to wake forest next week where i think wake will be big fav's if not i like wake under 11 ...Duke has BC at home next....
oops duke is +1.5 still taking it i see no injuries as of yet and its the only line available cant move it PLAYS IN
just off the top , Ole Miss maybe but i would like to get more points, Texas is Jeckyl-Hyde Ole Miss coming off a very good game at home where they destroyed Missouri, and i do not see a let fown by them after that win because it was very convincing, and you could see they were not looking ahead they looked focused on the game at hand, and Ole Miss has scored 30+ in every game this year, their offense is fine, and Texas stays at hone the next game with Miss st, and Ole miss goes back home to play a Auburn team which has found some life, be honest i would like Ole Miss at +4.5 which i think could happen, many do not think Texas will lose back to back, but they do nat have to lose.lol also i might favor an Over in this game, based on Ole miss being able to score and after Florida putting up 27 on them plus i found some decent trends for this game too , not sure if people knew that Texas was 0-8 ats after the Oklahoma game
Rebels are 5-1 last 6 conf games, and are 4-0 ats in their last 4 after giving up less than 20 pts, and Rebels are 5-0 ats away vs an OPP off a str up fav loss.....but they are also 0-9 ats of BB SUATS wins in conf ouch.....
Texas is 1-5 ats off BB SUATS losses....and are 0-4 ats vs a winning team, and are 0-5 in their last 5, and are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing less than 170 yds passing....
over is 6-1 in rebels last 7 road games....over is 9-1-1 in last 11 games where they had less than 275 total yds
151
@gpezz
just off the top , Ole Miss maybe but i would like to get more points, Texas is Jeckyl-Hyde Ole Miss coming off a very good game at home where they destroyed Missouri, and i do not see a let fown by them after that win because it was very convincing, and you could see they were not looking ahead they looked focused on the game at hand, and Ole Miss has scored 30+ in every game this year, their offense is fine, and Texas stays at hone the next game with Miss st, and Ole miss goes back home to play a Auburn team which has found some life, be honest i would like Ole Miss at +4.5 which i think could happen, many do not think Texas will lose back to back, but they do nat have to lose.lol also i might favor an Over in this game, based on Ole miss being able to score and after Florida putting up 27 on them plus i found some decent trends for this game too , not sure if people knew that Texas was 0-8 ats after the Oklahoma game
Rebels are 5-1 last 6 conf games, and are 4-0 ats in their last 4 after giving up less than 20 pts, and Rebels are 5-0 ats away vs an OPP off a str up fav loss.....but they are also 0-9 ats of BB SUATS wins in conf ouch.....
Texas is 1-5 ats off BB SUATS losses....and are 0-4 ats vs a winning team, and are 0-5 in their last 5, and are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing less than 170 yds passing....
over is 6-1 in rebels last 7 road games....over is 9-1-1 in last 11 games where they had less than 275 total yds
Rum… peeking at ‘scores’… N Texas looking good to me as in last year… I’m a lousy picker… but I already keyed them in 10 diff parlays… take a look and give me your opinion… they have been on cusp last 2 years in my opinion… the cusp of what I know not…. But peeking at their scores… I went… crap… they are good again. I played N Texas -2.5. What say rum. Other reason I played it is Navy seems to be down a notch.
Rum… peeking at ‘scores’… N Texas looking good to me as in last year… I’m a lousy picker… but I already keyed them in 10 diff parlays… take a look and give me your opinion… they have been on cusp last 2 years in my opinion… the cusp of what I know not…. But peeking at their scores… I went… crap… they are good again. I played N Texas -2.5. What say rum. Other reason I played it is Navy seems to be down a notch.
same here....when i was slowly going thru the lines it did pop out at me, thats what i talked about 2 weeks ago when i said its getting to the point after handicapping games, that after the 5th week you just see lines that look interesting, or GOOD, all you need to do is check for injuries, and yes N Texas did at -2.5 at Navy and i didnt ? the line, i agree they should be favored and coming off a bye week also , i am with you here
gl
151
@Mskeets
same here....when i was slowly going thru the lines it did pop out at me, thats what i talked about 2 weeks ago when i said its getting to the point after handicapping games, that after the 5th week you just see lines that look interesting, or GOOD, all you need to do is check for injuries, and yes N Texas did at -2.5 at Navy and i didnt ? the line, i agree they should be favored and coming off a bye week also , i am with you here
well i went ahead and listened to my own advice about Ole Miss, yesterday after looking into it i gave my thoughts, then looked more and decided do not wait, but with NFL didnt post , i went and took the 4.5 at -120 and i just went thru the lines at Hardrock and the line was now 4.5 -125 and then 5 mins later 4.5 was -135 so this line is going to drop i think from 3.5 to 2.5 or 3 , when the juice goes up its the only other option the book has, but with these books now that keep things on a half pt they may not want to give Texas -2.5 because if texas wins by 3 they could lose a lot of money, and it does happen, they may just make 3.5 i higher juice, anyway and i just looked again 4.5 is now -140 crazy that game is being bet this morning for some reason glad i did it when i did
my 2nd play is ole miss +4.5 -120 ty GPEZZ for asking me to look into that game now just hope it wins
151
well i went ahead and listened to my own advice about Ole Miss, yesterday after looking into it i gave my thoughts, then looked more and decided do not wait, but with NFL didnt post , i went and took the 4.5 at -120 and i just went thru the lines at Hardrock and the line was now 4.5 -125 and then 5 mins later 4.5 was -135 so this line is going to drop i think from 3.5 to 2.5 or 3 , when the juice goes up its the only other option the book has, but with these books now that keep things on a half pt they may not want to give Texas -2.5 because if texas wins by 3 they could lose a lot of money, and it does happen, they may just make 3.5 i higher juice, anyway and i just looked again 4.5 is now -140 crazy that game is being bet this morning for some reason glad i did it when i did
my 2nd play is ole miss +4.5 -120 ty GPEZZ for asking me to look into that game now just hope it wins
would like to tahnk my friend Mskeets for focusing me in on the N Texas game now have to say i do favor N.Texas here very good offense, but Navy did just play really well at UTSA even though they lost 38-34 UTSA scored the go ahead TD with just over 2 mins left in the game, and Navy did beat Tulsa the week before, both teams have beaten Tulsa, N Texas e=went to OT and won 45-44, Navy won 34-26 but Navy was at home, Navy has covered their last 2 they were a 5.5 dog at UTSA and were a 3 pt fav at home vs Tulsa, they have scored 34 pts in both games, now the total in this game is 60.4 which seems low to me, Navy can score and N Texas is not known for defense...lol N Texas beat Navy at home last year 31-17 and 2 years ago Navy won at home 27-24 so neither game went over the 60.5 so maybe i am way off, now it has me thinking maybe more than i should, i feel you have to take into account how a team is playing and Navy seems to be playing well last 2 games, and N Texas coming off a bye, team is averaging over 40 pts a game, Navy avg about 28 a game , N Texas giving up about 29 pts a game and Navy 25 a game now N Texas is 10-1 ats vs <.400 conf OPP, and N Texas is a much more balanced team this year, as their offensive line is much better, and they are avg 181 yds a game rushing this year, and 345 passing, while Navy is avg 298 rushing and 115 passing ...Big ? is how well N Texas can do vs the run, as they are giving up 142 yds a game on the ground so this could be a big test for them, and can they run the ball vs Navy?? as Navy is giving up just 98 yds a game rushing, this might be a game where T Jackson throws the ball more as Navy is giving up 247 yds passing a game...very interesting game If N Texas is able to throw this could go OVER no play yet
some info after posting this went and looked N.Texas is now +1.5 not 2.5 anymore maybe some agree that Navy is playing better lately ..lol at hardrock it dropped in last 30 mins
151
would like to tahnk my friend Mskeets for focusing me in on the N Texas game now have to say i do favor N.Texas here very good offense, but Navy did just play really well at UTSA even though they lost 38-34 UTSA scored the go ahead TD with just over 2 mins left in the game, and Navy did beat Tulsa the week before, both teams have beaten Tulsa, N Texas e=went to OT and won 45-44, Navy won 34-26 but Navy was at home, Navy has covered their last 2 they were a 5.5 dog at UTSA and were a 3 pt fav at home vs Tulsa, they have scored 34 pts in both games, now the total in this game is 60.4 which seems low to me, Navy can score and N Texas is not known for defense...lol N Texas beat Navy at home last year 31-17 and 2 years ago Navy won at home 27-24 so neither game went over the 60.5 so maybe i am way off, now it has me thinking maybe more than i should, i feel you have to take into account how a team is playing and Navy seems to be playing well last 2 games, and N Texas coming off a bye, team is averaging over 40 pts a game, Navy avg about 28 a game , N Texas giving up about 29 pts a game and Navy 25 a game now N Texas is 10-1 ats vs <.400 conf OPP, and N Texas is a much more balanced team this year, as their offensive line is much better, and they are avg 181 yds a game rushing this year, and 345 passing, while Navy is avg 298 rushing and 115 passing ...Big ? is how well N Texas can do vs the run, as they are giving up 142 yds a game on the ground so this could be a big test for them, and can they run the ball vs Navy?? as Navy is giving up just 98 yds a game rushing, this might be a game where T Jackson throws the ball more as Navy is giving up 247 yds passing a game...very interesting game If N Texas is able to throw this could go OVER no play yet
some info after posting this went and looked N.Texas is now +1.5 not 2.5 anymore maybe some agree that Navy is playing better lately ..lol at hardrock it dropped in last 30 mins
well did post yesterday that i favored Ole Miss but would like to get 4.5 if possible what i am shocked at is how the juice on 4.5 climbed 15 to 20 cents in last couple of hours
and now i talk about N Texas and Navy and say i favored N Texas but then as i looked i see that Navy has been playing well last couple of games....then go and look and Navy drops to 1.5
151
@lmb4321
well did post yesterday that i favored Ole Miss but would like to get 4.5 if possible what i am shocked at is how the juice on 4.5 climbed 15 to 20 cents in last couple of hours
and now i talk about N Texas and Navy and say i favored N Texas but then as i looked i see that Navy has been playing well last couple of games....then go and look and Navy drops to 1.5
juice is high but i like OVER 34.5 TT S Alabama but its just a lean right now because both teams love to run .....i would favor s.alabama because if they get ahead it forces Marshall to just throw the ball......they are avg like 39 a game and Marshall is giving up about 33.5 a game not sure why they didnt just make it 35.5 but the weather for that game is clear skies about 50 degrees good football weather .....the line is S alab -2.5 total is 66.5 so they are expecting points, s.alab has scored over 40 pts their last 4 games, but they do give up about 34 a game also, and Marshall is avg just 22 a game, Marshall is 0-4 ats last 4 ,and are 0-4 ats in their last 4 conf games, i do not see major injuries to either team as far as stat leaders this could be an OVER yes its high but with s.alabama giving up 34 a game can Marshall put some points up, Marshall is 4-0 OVER last 4 following a bye week , and S Alabama is 6-0 over this year, -2.5 looks tempting i think S.alabama is the better team here, maybe the over is the play and just hope for a lot of scoring tonight ..s.alab is avg 220 rushing and 217 passing but they do run it twice as much as they throw it, avg 46 runs and 25 passes a game, Marshall is avg 158 rushing and 247 passing, and they are 50-50 run and pass about 34 each a game and Marshall is giving up 198 yds rushing a game which is 121st in fbs near the bottom so i expect s.alab to run the ball tonight also, and s.alabama gives up 228 passing and 63% completion, about middle of fbs, and S alab gives up 176 rushing sothey are not much better i do see points tonight
trends
Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Hot: Thundering Herd are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Hot: Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cold: Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cold: Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Jaguars last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games following a bye week.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 road games.
gl i will post if i play something more favoring s.alabama -2.5 and maybe their TT
151
tonight Tuesday
juice is high but i like OVER 34.5 TT S Alabama but its just a lean right now because both teams love to run .....i would favor s.alabama because if they get ahead it forces Marshall to just throw the ball......they are avg like 39 a game and Marshall is giving up about 33.5 a game not sure why they didnt just make it 35.5 but the weather for that game is clear skies about 50 degrees good football weather .....the line is S alab -2.5 total is 66.5 so they are expecting points, s.alab has scored over 40 pts their last 4 games, but they do give up about 34 a game also, and Marshall is avg just 22 a game, Marshall is 0-4 ats last 4 ,and are 0-4 ats in their last 4 conf games, i do not see major injuries to either team as far as stat leaders this could be an OVER yes its high but with s.alabama giving up 34 a game can Marshall put some points up, Marshall is 4-0 OVER last 4 following a bye week , and S Alabama is 6-0 over this year, -2.5 looks tempting i think S.alabama is the better team here, maybe the over is the play and just hope for a lot of scoring tonight ..s.alab is avg 220 rushing and 217 passing but they do run it twice as much as they throw it, avg 46 runs and 25 passes a game, Marshall is avg 158 rushing and 247 passing, and they are 50-50 run and pass about 34 each a game and Marshall is giving up 198 yds rushing a game which is 121st in fbs near the bottom so i expect s.alab to run the ball tonight also, and s.alabama gives up 228 passing and 63% completion, about middle of fbs, and S alab gives up 176 rushing sothey are not much better i do see points tonight
trends
Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Hot: Thundering Herd are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Hot: Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cold: Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cold: Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Cold: Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Jaguars last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Hot: Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games following a bye week.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Hot: Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 road games.
gl i will post if i play something more favoring s.alabama -2.5 and maybe their TT
FYI -- just checked a few and Navy is still +2.5 available @ BetMGM and even Draft Kings plus a number of others if you're interested in playing the Midshipman
FYI -- just checked a few and Navy is still +2.5 available @ BetMGM and even Draft Kings plus a number of others if you're interested in playing the Midshipman
I’ll give my thoughts again as I did well last week again. I like South Carolina at home laying 2.5 over Tennessee I don’t trust the Vols to play at the high level two games in a row and big letdown spot
Also on Cinncinati at home getting 10.5 vs Texas Tech. See a real chance the Bearcats win outright. Maybe over TT for Cincy as well
I’ll give my thoughts again as I did well last week again. I like South Carolina at home laying 2.5 over Tennessee I don’t trust the Vols to play at the high level two games in a row and big letdown spot
Also on Cinncinati at home getting 10.5 vs Texas Tech. See a real chance the Bearcats win outright. Maybe over TT for Cincy as well
Yeah, that’s what I’m leaning also on south Bama and over. Somebody posted something in Vankieps thread about it being some special night for Marshall, trying to pack out the house and giving away a bunch of things to the students to hype up the crowd for the nationally televised game. south is definitely a better team and should win this one….
Yeah, that’s what I’m leaning also on south Bama and over. Somebody posted something in Vankieps thread about it being some special night for Marshall, trying to pack out the house and giving away a bunch of things to the students to hype up the crowd for the nationally televised game. south is definitely a better team and should win this one….
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