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    All Forums | College Football

    2018 Offseason Stuff

    «First Previous 123 ... 678 Next Last»
    DoubleUp4Life
    TD21
    Black_42
    Super_Chicken
    puffkit
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 24550
    Posts: 177
    «First Previous 123 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    DoubleUp4Life
    DoubleUp4Life
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2018 - 9:13 AM ET #126

    Love that we both have Mississippi st in our top 8 ...

    Our top 30 might only have 3 different schools than each other 


    BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
    Reply
    Love that we both have Mississippi st in our top 8 ...

    Our top 30 might only have 3 different schools than each other 


     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posts: 5399
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 7:59 AM ET #127

    Posting from a phone in this new format is a little painful.

    I just bumped the UConn +24 -105 portion of that game to 1u overall (also have UCF -16.5 for 0.75u).  Will update the full card tonight.

    Reply

    Posting from a phone in this new format is a little painful.

    I just bumped the UConn +24 -105 portion of that game to 1u overall (also have UCF -16.5 for 0.75u).  Will update the full card tonight.

     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 21, 2018 - 8:12 AM ET #128

    My early offshore limits are now so low that I decided not to list units.  I was so disgusted by the low limits that I planned an extended Labor Day trip to a state with legal sportsbooks.  Some things have come up since then and I’m unfortunately having to cancel my trip.  The offshore limits will go up some on game day or the day before and I’ll add to many of these plays then and list the units.

    Reply

    My early offshore limits are now so low that I decided not to list units.  I was so disgusted by the low limits that I planned an extended Labor Day trip to a state with legal sportsbooks.  Some things have come up since then and I’m unfortunately having to cancel my trip.  The offshore limits will go up some on game day or the day before and I’ll add to many of these plays then and list the units.

     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2018 - 11:09 PM ET #129

    I could not resist a week 1 lottery ticket:

    4 team UDML parlay

    Tulane ML, Florida Atlantic ML, Middle Tennessee ML, Villanova ML

    Risking 0.1u to win 44.5u.

    Reply

    I could not resist a week 1 lottery ticket:

    4 team UDML parlay

    Tulane ML, Florida Atlantic ML, Middle Tennessee ML, Villanova ML

    Risking 0.1u to win 44.5u.

     
    Black_42
    Black_42
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2018 - 1:46 AM ET #130

    U of I vs Kent state under 55 1/2. Any thoughts? Both teams were bad offensivly last year but both teams have switched OCs but kept decent defenses. Lovie smith doesnt really score points. I think both teams have a hard time getting started week 1. 

    Reply

    U of I vs Kent state under 55 1/2. Any thoughts? Both teams were bad offensivly last year but both teams have switched OCs but kept decent defenses. Lovie smith doesnt really score points. I think both teams have a hard time getting started week 1. 

     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2018 - 6:59 AM ET #131

    Black_42, I’m a coach’s son, so I tend to look at the impact of new coaches and what they’re trying to do.  You’ve made it this far to realize there’s new coaches, but take the next step and look up Syracuse and Arizona adjusted pace of play and possessions per game.  It very well could stay Under being week 1 and needing some time to implement these new systems.  Personally, I’m staying away.  Good luck if you decide to make a play.

    Reply

    Black_42, I’m a coach’s son, so I tend to look at the impact of new coaches and what they’re trying to do.  You’ve made it this far to realize there’s new coaches, but take the next step and look up Syracuse and Arizona adjusted pace of play and possessions per game.  It very well could stay Under being week 1 and needing some time to implement these new systems.  Personally, I’m staying away.  Good luck if you decide to make a play.

     
    Black_42
    Black_42
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2018 - 10:58 AM ET #132

    Thanks man 

    Reply

    Thanks man 

     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2018 - 12:55 AM ET #133

    Updated:

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    Added:  North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)


    Reply
    Updated:

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    Added:  North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)


     
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2018 - 12:07 PM ET #134

    I've also decided to reduce the CSU RSW total play with the health of HC Bobo going forward something that concerns me somewhat.  Tough to know how the players will respond to that or if he'll be back on the sidelines going forward instead of in the press box.  I found CSU Under 5.5 +100 at one of the shops I use.

    RSW Win Totals:
    Tennessee Under 6.5 -165  (risk 0.5 to win 0.303)
    LSU Over 6.5 -110 (0.5u) & LSU Under 7 -101  (Risk 0.525u to win 0.52u)
    Washington Over 8.5 -195 & -200  (risk 0.985 to win 0.5u)
    New Mexico State Under 6 -135 (to win 0.5u)
    Louisville Under 7.5 -120  (to win 0.5u) 
    Colorado State Over 5.5 -115 (to win 0.5u)  & Added: CSU Under 5.5 +100 (to win 0.3u)  Reduced the original Over 5.5 play to 0.2u
    Ole Miss Under 6.5  -120 (1u)
    Tulane Over 4.5 -110 (0.5u)
    Reply
    I've also decided to reduce the CSU RSW total play with the health of HC Bobo going forward something that concerns me somewhat.  Tough to know how the players will respond to that or if he'll be back on the sidelines going forward instead of in the press box.  I found CSU Under 5.5 +100 at one of the shops I use.

    RSW Win Totals:
    Tennessee Under 6.5 -165  (risk 0.5 to win 0.303)
    LSU Over 6.5 -110 (0.5u) & LSU Under 7 -101  (Risk 0.525u to win 0.52u)
    Washington Over 8.5 -195 & -200  (risk 0.985 to win 0.5u)
    New Mexico State Under 6 -135 (to win 0.5u)
    Louisville Under 7.5 -120  (to win 0.5u) 
    Colorado State Over 5.5 -115 (to win 0.5u)  & Added: CSU Under 5.5 +100 (to win 0.3u)  Reduced the original Over 5.5 play to 0.2u
    Ole Miss Under 6.5  -120 (1u)
    Tulane Over 4.5 -110 (0.5u)
     
    Super_Chicken
    Super_Chicken
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2018 - 12:18 PM ET #135

    Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

    Love that we both have Mississippi st in our top 8 ...

    Our top 30 might only have 3 different schools than each other 



    Sorry I'm not totally sold on this team but maybe they will prove me wrong.  Remember, they have an all new coaching staff after losing the best coach in school history.  Traditionally this is certainly not a good program.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

    Love that we both have Mississippi st in our top 8 ...

    Our top 30 might only have 3 different schools than each other 



    Sorry I'm not totally sold on this team but maybe they will prove me wrong.  Remember, they have an all new coaching staff after losing the best coach in school history.  Traditionally this is certainly not a good program.  
     
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2018 - 12:28 PM ET #136

    Quote Originally Posted by Super_Chicken:


    Sorry I'm not totally sold on this team but maybe they will prove me wrong.  Remember, they have an all new coaching staff after losing the best coach in school history.  Traditionally this is certainly not a good program.  

    I think they'll be very solid with an experienced team back (assuming QB Fitzgerald stays healthy).  Time will tell, there's only one way to know for sure -- play the games.  I'll adjust accordingly week to week with PR#s; preseason is just a starting point.

    And Super_Chicken, you should really get on the Moorhead train, it's done wonders for my wife and I.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Super_Chicken:


    Sorry I'm not totally sold on this team but maybe they will prove me wrong.  Remember, they have an all new coaching staff after losing the best coach in school history.  Traditionally this is certainly not a good program.  

    I think they'll be very solid with an experienced team back (assuming QB Fitzgerald stays healthy).  Time will tell, there's only one way to know for sure -- play the games.  I'll adjust accordingly week to week with PR#s; preseason is just a starting point.

    And Super_Chicken, you should really get on the Moorhead train, it's done wonders for my wife and I.
     
    puffkit
    puffkit
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2018 - 2:10 PM ET #137

    I'll be lurking and will chime in when i can but a play i really like today is nmst tm ttl u21 ....21.5 might be avail -120. Wyo gave up more than 24 one time last yr (oregon) and 8 bk on D. Nmst lots of turnover on offense losing #1 qb, rb,wr so i have a tough time seeing this O get 3 tds.

    Reply

    I'll be lurking and will chime in when i can but a play i really like today is nmst tm ttl u21 ....21.5 might be avail -120. Wyo gave up more than 24 one time last yr (oregon) and 8 bk on D. Nmst lots of turnover on offense losing #1 qb, rb,wr so i have a tough time seeing this O get 3 tds.

     
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 25, 2018 - 10:17 PM ET #138

    I am surprised this game is still up as this Hawaii / Colorado State game is playing out.  Added play below.

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Added:  Colorado -7 -140 (1u) vs. Colorado State
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)

    Reply
    I am surprised this game is still up as this Hawaii / Colorado State game is playing out.  Added play below.

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Added:  Colorado -7 -140 (1u) vs. Colorado State
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)

     
    Ramanujan
    Ramanujan
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    Posts: 3455
    Posted: Aug. 26, 2018 - 1:45 AM ET #139

    Sorry if this has been asked before - how many units do you play on games where you don’t list units?

    Nice Call on Wyoming

    Reply

    Sorry if this has been asked before - how many units do you play on games where you don’t list units?

    Nice Call on Wyoming

     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posts: 5399
    Posted: Aug. 26, 2018 - 1:51 AM ET #140

    Quote Originally Posted by Ramanujan:

    Sorry if this has been asked before - how many units do you play on games where you don’t list units?

    Nice Call on Wyoming


    Ramanujan, I responded a few days ago from my phone.  See post #128.  I ended up having to delete your original quote, so you may not have seen it.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Ramanujan:

    Sorry if this has been asked before - how many units do you play on games where you don’t list units?

    Nice Call on Wyoming


    Ramanujan, I responded a few days ago from my phone.  See post #128.  I ended up having to delete your original quote, so you may not have seen it.
     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2018 - 1:59 AM ET #141

    I'll definitely take a 2-0 start to the year, but somewhat kicking myself for not playing more leans on the UMass and Jacksonville State games.  And hopefully I did not over-react to what I saw from CSU in adding that Colorado play.  The CSU defense was worse than I expected and will have a hard time slowing down the Colorado passing game IMO.  
    Revised PR#s are done for every team that played today, I'm calling it a night.  Cheers boys!  College Football is back!  

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)  WIN
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Colorado -7 -140 (1u) vs. Colorado State
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)  WIN
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)
    Reply
    I'll definitely take a 2-0 start to the year, but somewhat kicking myself for not playing more leans on the UMass and Jacksonville State games.  And hopefully I did not over-react to what I saw from CSU in adding that Colorado play.  The CSU defense was worse than I expected and will have a hard time slowing down the Colorado passing game IMO.  
    Revised PR#s are done for every team that played today, I'm calling it a night.  Cheers boys!  College Football is back!  

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)  WIN
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Colorado -7 -140 (1u) vs. Colorado State
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)  WIN
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)
     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posts: 5399
    Posted: Aug. 26, 2018 - 2:01 AM ET #142

    Quote Originally Posted by puffkit:

    I'll be lurking and will chime in when i can but a play i really like today is nmst tm ttl u21 ....21.5 might be avail -120. Wyo gave up more than 24 one time last yr (oregon) and 8 bk on D. Nmst lots of turnover on offense losing #1 qb, rb,wr so i have a tough time seeing this O get 3 tds.


    puff, looks like you cashed a ticket or two tonight in this game.  Did you end up playing the 1st half under as well like we discussed last week?
    Best of luck going forward!  Always nice to start the year off on a positive note.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by puffkit:

    I'll be lurking and will chime in when i can but a play i really like today is nmst tm ttl u21 ....21.5 might be avail -120. Wyo gave up more than 24 one time last yr (oregon) and 8 bk on D. Nmst lots of turnover on offense losing #1 qb, rb,wr so i have a tough time seeing this O get 3 tds.


    puff, looks like you cashed a ticket or two tonight in this game.  Did you end up playing the 1st half under as well like we discussed last week?
    Best of luck going forward!  Always nice to start the year off on a positive note.
     
    puffkit
    puffkit
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    Posts: 143
    Posted: Aug. 26, 2018 - 4:33 AM ET #143

    Hey td...... yeh ended up hitting w nmst tm ttl u21, ttlu47, 1h u21.5,2h wyo-6.5 and wyo-5. Good night overall.

    Reply

    Hey td...... yeh ended up hitting w nmst tm ttl u21, ttlu47, 1h u21.5,2h wyo-6.5 and wyo-5. Good night overall.

     
    Ramanujan
    Ramanujan
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    Posts: 3455
    Posted: Aug. 26, 2018 - 4:55 PM ET #144

    Thanks for responding TD I know you get a lot of requests. Unfortunately you’re right I never did get to see the original response - so I still don’t know the answer! GL this season

    Reply

    Thanks for responding TD I know you get a lot of requests. Unfortunately you’re right I never did get to see the original response - so I still don’t know the answer! GL this season

     
    Ramanujan
    Ramanujan
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    Posted: Aug. 26, 2018 - 4:57 PM ET #145

    Sorry scrap that - I understand now. Hope you get to place the amounts you want, eventually!

    Reply

    Sorry scrap that - I understand now. Hope you get to place the amounts you want, eventually!

     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2018 - 6:42 AM ET #146

    A couple updates from late yesterday....

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)  WIN
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Colorado -7 -140 (1u) *may reduce amount some before kickoff.
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Added:  Troy +10.5  (0.3u)
    Added:  Troy / Boise State Under 50  (0.3u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)  WIN
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)

    Reply
    A couple updates from late yesterday....

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)  WIN
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Colorado -7 -140 (1u) *may reduce amount some before kickoff.
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Added:  Troy +10.5  (0.3u)
    Added:  Troy / Boise State Under 50  (0.3u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)  WIN
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)

     
    GENERALWIZDOM
    GENERALWIZDOM
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    Posts: 3029
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2018 - 6:04 PM ET #147

    Like that Troy/under bro. GL on all your plays man

    Reply

    Like that Troy/under bro. GL on all your plays man

     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Joined: Jul, 2013
    Posts: 5399
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2018 - 10:27 PM ET #148

    Ha, I'm taking it at this #..... small play only

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)  WIN
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Colorado -7 -140 (1u) *may reduce amount some before kickoff.
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Troy +10.5  (0.3u)
    Troy / Boise State Under 50  (0.3u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55
    Added:  East Carolina -6.5 (hook)

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)  WIN
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)
    Reply
    Ha, I'm taking it at this #..... small play only

    Week 0/1 plays:
    Syracuse -1.5  (2u)
    Wyoming +1 (1.5u)  WIN
    Florida State -6 (1u)
    Washington / Auburn Under 51  (1u)
    Colorado -7 -140 (1u) *may reduce amount some before kickoff.
    Central Florida -16.5  (0.75u) & Connecticut +24 -105 (1u)
    Old Dominion -5.5 (0.75u)
    Michigan / Notre Dame Under 48  (0.75u)
    Northern Illinois / Iowa  Under 51  (0.75u)
    Florida Atlantic +24 hook (0.3u) & FAU +21 -115 (0.4u) -- 0.7u overall
    Washington +5.5  (0.5u)
    Troy +10.5  (0.3u)
    Troy / Boise State Under 50  (0.3u)
    Texas -7 hook (0.2u)
    Louisville +31.5  hook (0.2u)
    Ball State -9.5
    Villanova +18.5
    Iowa State -12
    South Dakota State / Iowa State Under 56.5
    Florida -33
    Louisiana Monroe -11
    Stony Brook / Air Force Under 60 & Under 59.5
    James Madison +14.5 hook & again +14.5 (no hook this time)  
    Richmond / Virginia Under 56.5
    Southeast Missouri State / Arkansas State Over 55
    Added:  East Carolina -6.5 (hook)

    College Extra Week 1:
    North Carolina A&T / Jacksonville State Under 45.5 (0.2u)  WIN
    Eastern Kentucky -23.5
    The Citadel +15 & +14.5
    McNeese State PK
    New Hampshire / Maine Under 45
    New Hampshire -3

    GOY Lines:
    Mississippi State -3 (1u)  (Week 2 at Kansas State on 9/8)
    Notre Dame -7 (0.5u)  (Week 4 at Wake Forest on 9/22)
    Mississippi State +18.5 (0.5u)  (Week 11 at Alabama on 11/10)
     
    Black_42
    Black_42
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2018 - 12:08 PM ET #149

    Would you still take Ball St at -12.5. I've been reading up on CCS and their are a lot of high expectations due to them winning their conference and them returning so many players. 

    Would you still take Iowa state at -14. I know South Dakota returns a good team but I just dont see how they can stick with what Iowa has on offense. 

    NIU vs Iowa at 48 would you still take the under. I know Iowa is missing both tackles but that game kind of scares me. 

    Lastly any thoughts on Houston vs Rice. I went back and watched the Rice vs Prairie View game and i just dont see how rice can compete outside of 2 okay Rbs that team has nothing. And Houston is going more uptempo. Thanks again. 

     

    Reply

    Would you still take Ball St at -12.5. I've been reading up on CCS and their are a lot of high expectations due to them winning their conference and them returning so many players. 

    Would you still take Iowa state at -14. I know South Dakota returns a good team but I just dont see how they can stick with what Iowa has on offense. 

    NIU vs Iowa at 48 would you still take the under. I know Iowa is missing both tackles but that game kind of scares me. 

    Lastly any thoughts on Houston vs Rice. I went back and watched the Rice vs Prairie View game and i just dont see how rice can compete outside of 2 okay Rbs that team has nothing. And Houston is going more uptempo. Thanks again. 

     

     
     
    TD21
    TD21
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    Posts: 5399
    Posted: Aug. 29, 2018 - 8:03 PM ET #150

    Quote Originally Posted by Black_42:

    Would you still take Ball St at -12.5.  Yes, but I would check back tomorrow morning.  Lines will reset when Vegas opens these games.   I've been reading up on CCS and their are a lot of high expectations due to them winning their conference and them returning so many players. 

    Would you still take Iowa state at -14.  I would want -13.5 or better for a small play only.  Again, check the updated line tomorrow morning.  I know South Dakota returns a good team but I just dont see how they can stick with what Iowa has on offense. 

    NIU vs Iowa at 48 would you still take the under.  Probably so, like it better at 49 or better with a full 7 touchdowns, but I would probably still play it.  Maybe just knock your bet size down slightly.  I know Iowa is missing both tackles but that game kind of scares me. 

    Lastly any thoughts on Houston vs Rice.  Sure.  Full disclosure - I did not watch this game on tv.  But from what I can tell, Rice is what we thought they would be under this new coaching staff-- Power run oriented, they want to win time of possession (basically 40 minutes vs. PV), and (someday if all goes well) they'll try to at least play reasonable defense.  But right now, if PV with a new starting QB and their top 3 WRs from 2017 gone can have that much success through the air vs. Rice, then Rice is STILL TERRIBLE VS. THE PASS!  Houston's attack that Briles will implement should score at will.  Unless Rice can play keep away and run the ball surprisingly well, then I think Houston is the correct play.  Or no play at all.  My revised baseline #s have this line at -28.8.  And that's with Rice getting a standard HF of 2.8 points.  So, 31.6 points on a neutral field.  Should be plenty of Houston fans in the seats since these two schools share the same hometown.  I don't think there's really a 2.8 HF advantage here.  I went back and watched the Rice vs Prairie View game and i just dont see how rice can compete outside of 2 okay Rbs that team has nothing. And Houston is going more uptempo. Thanks again. 

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Black_42:

    Would you still take Ball St at -12.5.  Yes, but I would check back tomorrow morning.  Lines will reset when Vegas opens these games.   I've been reading up on CCS and their are a lot of high expectations due to them winning their conference and them returning so many players. 

    Would you still take Iowa state at -14.  I would want -13.5 or better for a small play only.  Again, check the updated line tomorrow morning.  I know South Dakota returns a good team but I just dont see how they can stick with what Iowa has on offense. 

    NIU vs Iowa at 48 would you still take the under.  Probably so, like it better at 49 or better with a full 7 touchdowns, but I would probably still play it.  Maybe just knock your bet size down slightly.  I know Iowa is missing both tackles but that game kind of scares me. 

    Lastly any thoughts on Houston vs Rice.  Sure.  Full disclosure - I did not watch this game on tv.  But from what I can tell, Rice is what we thought they would be under this new coaching staff-- Power run oriented, they want to win time of possession (basically 40 minutes vs. PV), and (someday if all goes well) they'll try to at least play reasonable defense.  But right now, if PV with a new starting QB and their top 3 WRs from 2017 gone can have that much success through the air vs. Rice, then Rice is STILL TERRIBLE VS. THE PASS!  Houston's attack that Briles will implement should score at will.  Unless Rice can play keep away and run the ball surprisingly well, then I think Houston is the correct play.  Or no play at all.  My revised baseline #s have this line at -28.8.  And that's with Rice getting a standard HF of 2.8 points.  So, 31.6 points on a neutral field.  Should be plenty of Houston fans in the seats since these two schools share the same hometown.  I don't think there's really a 2.8 HF advantage here.  I went back and watched the Rice vs Prairie View game and i just dont see how rice can compete outside of 2 okay Rbs that team has nothing. And Houston is going more uptempo. Thanks again. 

     

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