Posted:
#251
iceman.............If you sit very still you can hear the $$$ coming this way
...............Trapper
...............Trapper
0
2018 Bowl Under system... 37 - 3 in 2017... Lets Do it Again!
Posted:
#252
Quote Originally Posted by Trapperdan33:
iceman.............If you sit very still you can hear the $$$ coming this way...............Trapper
iceman.............If you sit very still you can hear the $$$ coming this way
...............Trapper I do not want to be the what if guy... But someone else should track the (if you got the best line moves possible record of this system)... We are doing this for each other... But if you did land that mtsu 31.5 or 32 first half line it would be 5 - 1 on system
0
Posted:
#258
Roggs! You are doing a great job of staying on top of this. If you had not posted it, I would have been clueless to it.
A few things people should keep in mind when they see my 5-1 record prior to last night's game.
1) I played NCAT and won. Got lucky, as I did not read the entire thread. You should ALWAYS read the WHOLE thread when following anyone. Find out WHY you are tailing a pick/system.
2) Play it as a capper says to. Or lay off it.
3) I played all Satuday's games early and all at once, because biz is busy. I would have spaced it. Woke up late, whatever.
4) This was to my advantage with the MTST game. Which I won in the fist half by the hook.
5) When I have the time, I like to bet unders just before kickoff, as Joe public seems to like overs on TV games. Some of these lines have been dropping for the 1st half. SMU is at 35.5 at 5D, where I locked in at 36.5 the other night. It could be just as easily at 37.5.........................
6) The bottom line is that it should not make a big difference overall. I am betting 2% and 4% (2nd h) as Roggs reccomended. It makes sense to me. Just don't use too much of your BOWL BR or it might not be as fun.
7) Like Roggs said, We should help each other find the BEST line. But, even that can come down to LUCK.
THANKS Roggs!
-Trapper
0
Posted:
#263
Quote Originally Posted by AlexCappin:
So glad i took LA tech +4.5 as well to break even jeez lets ride this 2nd half though
So glad i took LA tech +4.5 as well to break even jeez lets ride this 2nd half though
If i new people had money management self control I would comment so much more than just play the 2nd half lol... But yes looks like we might have to push the system into the 2nd
0
Posted:
#271
Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:
If you're following the 'system', you just blindly bet every first half and double up the second, no matter what. He said this has been profitable 9 out of the last 10 years, although without going back and running the numbers you have no clue just how profitable it was. It could have been positive .1 units every year for all we know. Last years 37-3 was an aberration, a fluke at the high side of variance. Could it swing to the other end of the pendulum this year, who knows? Maybe, maybe not. Most likely it will come back as the games go on, but realistically it may end up only marginally profitable. As of right now its down -3.9 units, but there is still a long way to go.Tough read on 2H. Give up or comeback?
0
Posted:
#273
Quote Originally Posted by HarryKnutsak:
If you're following the 'system', you just blindly bet every first half and double up the second, no matter what. He said this has been profitable 9 out of the last 10 years, although without going back and running the numbers you have no clue just how profitable it was. It could have been positive .1 units every year for all we know. Last years 37-3 was an aberration, a fluke at the high side of variance. Could it swing to the other end of the pendulum this year, who knows? Maybe, maybe not. Most likely it will come back as the games go on, but realistically it may end up only marginally profitable. As of right now its down -3.9 units, but there is still a long way to go.
If you're following the 'system', you just blindly bet every first half and double up the second, no matter what. He said this has been profitable 9 out of the last 10 years, although without going back and running the numbers you have no clue just how profitable it was. It could have been positive .1 units every year for all we know. Last years 37-3 was an aberration, a fluke at the high side of variance. Could it swing to the other end of the pendulum this year, who knows? Maybe, maybe not. Most likely it will come back as the games go on, but realistically it may end up only marginally profitable. As of right now its down -3.9 units, but there is still a long way to go.
understand your point but its not down 3.9...
4 wins - +4
2 losses _6.6
that is -2.6... just saying... lets go 2nd half
0
Posted:
#274
Quote Originally Posted by HarryKnutsak:
QUOTE Originally Posted by JBone_Texas: Tough read on 2H. Give up or comeback? If you're following the 'system', you just blindly bet every first half and double up the second, no matter what. He said this has been profitable 9 out of the last 10 years, although without going back and running the numbers you have no clue just how profitable it was. It could have been positive .1 units every year for all we know. Last years 37-3 was an aberration, a fluke at the high side of variance. Could it swing to the other end of the pendulum this year, who knows? Maybe, maybe not. Most likely it will come back as the games go on, but realistically it may end up only marginally profitable. As of right now its down -3.9 units, but there is still a long way to go.
QUOTE Originally Posted by JBone_Texas: Tough read on 2H. Give up or comeback? If you're following the 'system', you just blindly bet every first half and double up the second, no matter what. He said this has been profitable 9 out of the last 10 years, although without going back and running the numbers you have no clue just how profitable it was. It could have been positive .1 units every year for all we know. Last years 37-3 was an aberration, a fluke at the high side of variance. Could it swing to the other end of the pendulum this year, who knows? Maybe, maybe not. Most likely it will come back as the games go on, but realistically it may end up only marginally profitable. As of right now its down -3.9 units, but there is still a long way to go.
Thanks, but I was talking about the sides. Did the total system last year.
0
Posted:
#275
Quote Originally Posted by Trapperdan33:
5 Dimes open 33.5............waited/got 32.5
now...........................32
now 31.5 and 31 in some spots... really not much of difference between 33.5 but we will see... had a feel it could get this low... la techs starting field position was insane...
lets get it... last year we used a term for games that went into the second half - "close our eyes" here we go - this is one of those games lol
0
Hot Forum Topics
