I did just lock in Under 30 for Ohio/UAB tomorrow at 1... i think 30 is a key number and am ok with risking early considering its a 1230 start... the 4pm game we can wait on
Good call. It already moved to 29.5 in BookMaker and it got 3 cents more expensive on BetOnline at 30. Locked in with you.
Wondering if I should lock in at 22.5 (-105 BookMaker) for the Central Michigan/Wyoming game. That total is so low I wonder if the reverse effect will happen and the total will go up leading to gametime.
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Quote Originally Posted by Roggs05:
Guys just a heads up...
I did just lock in Under 30 for Ohio/UAB tomorrow at 1... i think 30 is a key number and am ok with risking early considering its a 1230 start... the 4pm game we can wait on
Good call. It already moved to 29.5 in BookMaker and it got 3 cents more expensive on BetOnline at 30. Locked in with you.
Wondering if I should lock in at 22.5 (-105 BookMaker) for the Central Michigan/Wyoming game. That total is so low I wonder if the reverse effect will happen and the total will go up leading to gametime.
Couple people have asked about the 4pm game and 22.5... To me its worth waiting... if it goes down to 21 who cares... way more value if it hits 23, 23.5, or 24 as key numbers... 22.5 and 21 not much difference....
One thing I noted was I was going to wait until the day of to lock in some lines... I believe in any system tweaking on the run is ok... As noted multiple times over the past couple days these totals have actually been dropping within 24 hours of the game... So each for the rest of the bowl season I am also going to start keeping an eye on the next day... I know for a lot of you the system is really only had one loss because of the mtsu line you got at 31.5... Meanwhile I had 30.5... I really think there is value to hitting some of these key numbers... So in saying that I am locking one in for tomorrow now...
App St/Toledo Under 31 first half... again here is a number I do not see getting up to 34... and there is extreme value in getting 31 and not risking it drop below this number... If it goes to 31.5 or 32 fine - its the risk we take... But not willing to risk it go below 31 - aka the MTSU rule lol...
Evreyone have a great day... 1230 game locked... will wait thoughout the day on the 4pmer... would love to get 23 or 23.5 with that game... lets all look out for each other if you see it get there...
#postivevibes
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Top of the morning guys... Couple of things
Couple people have asked about the 4pm game and 22.5... To me its worth waiting... if it goes down to 21 who cares... way more value if it hits 23, 23.5, or 24 as key numbers... 22.5 and 21 not much difference....
One thing I noted was I was going to wait until the day of to lock in some lines... I believe in any system tweaking on the run is ok... As noted multiple times over the past couple days these totals have actually been dropping within 24 hours of the game... So each for the rest of the bowl season I am also going to start keeping an eye on the next day... I know for a lot of you the system is really only had one loss because of the mtsu line you got at 31.5... Meanwhile I had 30.5... I really think there is value to hitting some of these key numbers... So in saying that I am locking one in for tomorrow now...
App St/Toledo Under 31 first half... again here is a number I do not see getting up to 34... and there is extreme value in getting 31 and not risking it drop below this number... If it goes to 31.5 or 32 fine - its the risk we take... But not willing to risk it go below 31 - aka the MTSU rule lol...
Evreyone have a great day... 1230 game locked... will wait thoughout the day on the 4pmer... would love to get 23 or 23.5 with that game... lets all look out for each other if you see it get there...
I would be tempted to take the 2nd half here. It took a missed xp and a blocked fg with your good line grab just to get a push. UAB cant move the ball and Ohio will just run clock. I did take the under 30 last night but took over 27 this morning. Someone was asking how the system is doing so far, I have been doing the 110/220 and as it stands right now it is down 90 bucks or -.9 units
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I would be tempted to take the 2nd half here. It took a missed xp and a blocked fg with your good line grab just to get a push. UAB cant move the ball and Ohio will just run clock. I did take the under 30 last night but took over 27 this morning. Someone was asking how the system is doing so far, I have been doing the 110/220 and as it stands right now it is down 90 bucks or -.9 units
I don't start playing this system until after Christmas it does way better after that, FYI teams with a better run defense has only lost once and covered all but one that was last night FIU and their QB went down in the first drive, so far BETTER RUN D IS KILLING IT
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I don't start playing this system until after Christmas it does way better after that, FYI teams with a better run defense has only lost once and covered all but one that was last night FIU and their QB went down in the first drive, so far BETTER RUN D IS KILLING IT
I don't start playing this system until after Christmas it does way better after that, FYI teams with a better run defense has only lost once and covered all but one that was last night FIU and their QB went down in the first drive, so far BETTER RUN D IS KILLING IT
Good tip. What site do you use to determine who has the better run D?
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Quote Originally Posted by Highhead-Blues:
I don't start playing this system until after Christmas it does way better after that, FYI teams with a better run defense has only lost once and covered all but one that was last night FIU and their QB went down in the first drive, so far BETTER RUN D IS KILLING IT
Good tip. What site do you use to determine who has the better run D?
Total on a runaway train, dipped to 44 now all the way to 47 (my local). Just to note, always like to see how these game day line moves work out.
Well that answers that. Played 1H Under but also Wyoming -115 ML 1H, figured if it went over then Allen was going to be clicking. Crossing my fingers for a decent 2H line but afraid it might be a low one.
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Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:
Total on a runaway train, dipped to 44 now all the way to 47 (my local). Just to note, always like to see how these game day line moves work out.
Well that answers that. Played 1H Under but also Wyoming -115 ML 1H, figured if it went over then Allen was going to be clicking. Crossing my fingers for a decent 2H line but afraid it might be a low one.
Well that answers that. Played 1H Under but also Wyoming -115 ML 1H, figured if it went over then Allen was going to be clicking. Crossing my fingers for a decent 2H line but afraid it might be a low one.
Low is an understatement 21.5?
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Quote Originally Posted by JBone_Texas:
Well that answers that. Played 1H Under but also Wyoming -115 ML 1H, figured if it went over then Allen was going to be clicking. Crossing my fingers for a decent 2H line but afraid it might be a low one.
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