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Vegas vs KenPom Week 2

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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by da_scoops:

beaver

your dogs this week when the line went up i.e duke +5 to +8 lost

FIU +8 to +9.5 lost, ntex +19 to +23 won. the other dogs that didn't move won.  something to watch. GL



Line went up in all 3 of these games
 
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Posted: #102
Good catch megatron.  I will still be on this game since I am staying loyal to the system (at least for now), but that does seem like a big blow for Canisius.  Check out the canisius homepage...the students are pumped for the home opener against the in-conference and in-state rival.
 
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Posted: #103

gonna watch these moves as they relate to your plays

GL

 
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Posted: #104

Quote Originally Posted by giant56:



20x$110=$2,200 

So you are willing to risk over 2 G's to win or "be up"  $110.

Hmm.  I must be dumb.

For me that's like one week of betting.  I don't look at the total amount bet in aggregate.  I look at the bets i make each day and hope to make money at the end of the week. If i'm up I'm happy.  I bet regardless and do so to have fun.  I never expect to win or lose more than i care about.  So yeah....I have no problem betting $2K and being up $100

 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by Atherton:

For me that's like one week of betting.  I don't look at the total amount bet in aggregate.  I look at the bets i make each day and hope to make money at the end of the week. If i'm up I'm happy.  I bet regardless and do so to have fun.  I never expect to win or lose more than i care about.  So yeah....I have no problem betting $2K and being up $100

   from above"I bet regardless and do so to have fun".  All-time top 10 dumbest thing iv'e ever heard. Just stop now, and find another avenue in life!!!
 
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Posted: #106
[Quote: Originally Posted by Atherton]

For me that's like one week of betting.  I don't look at the total amount bet in aggregate.  I look at the bets i make each day and hope to make money at the end of the week. If i'm up I'm happy.  I bet regardless and do so to have fun.  I never expect to win or lose more than i care about.  So yeah....I have no problem betting $2K and being up $100

$2000/week=$104,000 (risk) to win and "be up" $5,200 at the end of the year.

.05%.  Call Dow Jones. He's looking for a hedge fund manager
that wants "to have fun."

You must be a trust fund kid.

 
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Posted: #107

Quote Originally Posted by p-lane1:

   from above"I bet regardless and do so to have fun".  All-time top 10 dumbest thing iv'e ever heard. Just stop now, and find another avenue in life!!!

Why?  Because i don't gamble for a living?  I like having action going, but i don't bet enough that it will kill me and i don't expect to win enough to make a big difference in my life.

 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by p-lane1:

   from above"I bet regardless and do so to have fun".  All-time top 10 dumbest thing iv'e ever heard. Just stop now, and find another avenue in life!!!



 
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by giant56:

Quote Originally Posted by Atherton:

For me that's like one week of betting.  I don't look at the total amount bet in aggregate.  I look at the bets i make each day and hope to make money at the end of the week. If i'm up I'm happy.  I bet regardless and do so to have fun.  I never expect to win or lose more than i care about.  So yeah....I have no problem betting $2K and being up $100

$2000/week=$104,000 (risk) to win and "be up" $5,200 at the end of the year.

.05%.  Call Dow Jones. He's looking for a hedge fund manager
that wants "to have fun."

You must be a trust fund kid.

.05% or 5%??

Who writes five percent as .05%??

So if i'm an idiot for being happy to hit my bets at 55% then it would only follow that if i bet WAAAAAY more money i'd even be MORE idiotic to be happy hitting 55%, right??

 

 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by Megatron27:

Fuck i dont know yet,  i am just throwing it out there as I think we need another tool to add value to this idea.  Well we know that kenpom doesnt factor into it's lines injuries or rivalry games but we know does.  I am just thinking out loud here but maybe looking into how a team is playing its last 10 games and comparing the teams a bit more with styles and player types.  Like i said i dont know yet but i was hoping to come up with something that gives us less games out of our criteria and maybe a higher overall percent. Anyone else reading have an idea. 


Megtron,

I have a good selection for ya to get badass info. Checkout winpicks.com and check out their software. I used it for NFL and CFB football. Its a software that holds data on team back to 1985. You can create and think of any angle on a game and get a badass trend out of it. Primarly I use it for creating new formula's and using those formula's to conform a consensus by which I select games. There's even platinum picks but you can back test all games. They have one for CBB which I bought and on some games that I've been playing that match up also with my formula pick's I put double the units and been doing decent so far.

I highly recommend this to bev's....................also google "billy walters and the computer group" and it will open your eyes more .............and I'm not talking about that 60 mins documentary...


Lets cash this money
 
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Posted: #111
I mean microbro.com...............winpicks is the name of the software...
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by Atherton:

.05% or 5%??

Who writes five percent as .05%??

So if i'm an idiot for being happy to hit my bets at 55% then it would only follow that if i bet WAAAAAY more money i'd even be MORE idiotic to be happy hitting 55%, right??

 



I'm glad your happy with 55%.

My point is, you may or may not be wagering that amount of $.
 
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Posted: #113

beaver how did you get those opening #s.

i see canis opened at 13, nev opened @ 3.5, fla oped @ 6

 
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Posted: #114

Quote Originally Posted by giant56:



I'm glad your happy with 55%.

My point is, you may or may not be wagering that amount of $.

That's about what i bet in a week i'd say.  If i knew a way to be consistently over 55% or just winning in general all time i'd take it.

I don't use this money as an investment.  lol  I have normal investments for my retirement, etc.

 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by Atherton:

That's about what i bet in a week i'd say.  If i knew a way to be consistently over 55% or just winning in general all time i'd take it.

I don't use this money as an investment.  lol  I have normal investments for my retirement, etc.



It isn't worth your time to try to argue with them. 
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by da_scoops:

beaver how did you get those opening #s.

i see canis opened at 13, nev opened @ 3.5, fla oped @ 6



On covers website, hover your mouse over the NCAAB tab, then click on live odds
 
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Posted: #117
Tomorrow is going to get nutty!

Potential Plays:

UNC+5
WF+1
ODU-1.5
GT+1
WM+10
CSU+8
Iowa-18
Xav-4.5
Conn -14.5
Fresno-11
Tulsa-10
Tenn-2
StBon +3
LoyMD-2
Wofford-12
MissSt-2.5
Pacific+4
NM-7
Hawaii-1

Some of them will be taken out by public plays, but it looks like it is going to be a busy day tomorrow.



 
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Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

Tomorrow is going to get nutty!

Potential Plays:

UNC+5
WF+1
ODU-1.5
GT+1
WM+10
CSU+8
Iowa-18
Xav-4.5
Conn -14.5
Fresno-11
Tulsa-10
Tenn-2
StBon +3
LoyMD-2
Wofford-12
MissSt-2.5
Pacific+4
NM-7
Hawaii-1

Some of them will be taken out by public plays, but it looks like it is going to be a busy day tomorrow.







 
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Posted: #119
Thanks for the info SoSana, i will check that out.

And damn look at Canius hang in there. It could be a 3 and 0 night for the system and i only bet Florida. 

I have the bad luck of betting on the wrong days.
 
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Posted: #120
I checked out Winpicks.com, r u sure that is the right site? i dont see any software just alot of adds?
 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

Official Friday Plays:

Florida +6.5
Canisius +13.5
Nevada +4




Beaver are you following this?
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

Tomorrow is going to get nutty!

Potential Plays:

UNC+5
WF+1
ODU-1.5
GT+1
WM+10
CSU+8
Iowa-18
Xav-4.5
Conn -14.5
Fresno-11
Tulsa-10
Tenn-2
StBon +3
LoyMD-2
Wofford-12
MissSt-2.5
Pacific+4
NM-7
Hawaii-1

Some of them will be taken out by public plays, but it looks like it is going to be a busy day tomorrow.





wait a second.  20 wagers?  some removed maybey?

I've been drinking all night.  This is interesting.

Tomorrows shit starts at noon.

2-1 Beaver made me $$ tonight. yeah!!

Love this thread
 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by giant56:



wait a second.  20 wagers?  some removed maybey?

I've been drinking all night.  This is interesting.

Tomorrows shit starts at noon.

2-1 Beaver made me $$ tonight. yeah!!

Love this thread


beaver goes 3-0

nice work
 
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Posted: #124

awesome beaver,

all 3 lines moved up and all won

keep it up bro

 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by Megatron27:

I checked out Winpicks.com, r u sure that is the right site? i dont see any software just alot of adds?


I messed up that thread, if you look below my 1st comment I mentioned it.

The software is called winpicks but the website is microbro.com

Sorry for the confusion....check it out bro!!
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