Vegas vs KenPom Week 2

The basis is simple.  If there is a "large" difference between the opening line and the fanmatch line on kenpom.com, I will side with Vegas.

System rules:

If the line is between 0 and 4, a large difference is 2 points.
4.5 to 12, a large difference is 3 points.
12.5 to 16, a large difference is 4 points.
16.5 and up, a large difference is 5 points.

One note:  I will not be wagering on the teams that have over 65% of the bets according to covers contests.

The first week went pretty well
Finished at 22-18-1 (55%)

Monday games coming soon

GL; thanks for all your work.

I'm following another week before I hop on, but I like the concept and the picks.

JNJ, BC

I don't see any plays tomorrow.  There are a couple that are close, but I am not going to force anything. 

Thanks beaverfan. 

Is Long Beach St. +9.5 not a play on Monday?  kenpom has them +13.

SamENole, Bones Jones,

Those are the games that are close. I use the opening line:

LBST opened at +10.5 and Tenn opened at PK

Whats the line on the Vanderbilt game ?? 

GL Bev's and thanks for all your hard work brother

No plays for today?

4 at most books and at KenPom

4 at most books and at KenPom

Beaver, where did you get that avatar?

Plays for Tuesday assuming there are not any big changes on KP's site in the morning:

Penn -9
NW -1
LSU +1 (now 1.5)
N. Texas +19 (now 19.5)
Iowa -1.5 (now PK)
Duke +5 (now 5.5)

Not sure, just from a google search I think

kenpom

Almost every line has moved against me. I hate the Duke pick,   but I guess when your doing a system you have to play all of them or it wont work.

NW is now +2
N TX is now +22
Iowa is now +1
duke is now +7.5

If you lock these in you will have much more value than I got.  GL

Duke has a$$ kicking written all over it....but gotta stay with the system brother. Guess we can add that into the 40% loss tonight ...........

Thanks for all your hardwork bro....

NW +3 now
NT +23 now
Duke +8

Big line movement in all 3

disagree with the Duke pick.. I use KenPom as well.. Duke is the popular pick imo despite the line movement.  I would roll with Ohio State

You are making the picks.  It's your system.  Duke has a 30 year history of burning books brah.

Do you have to include them?  They are a % destroyer.

I got Northwestern +3 1/2

Me lickey.

If I am going to do this system I am going to play everything it says to play....of course I hate the Duke play, but I'm rooting for them tonight!

what if "It" says play 10 games?

Then play 10 games