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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Vegas vs KenPom Week 2

    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
    Megatron27
    giant56
    beaverfan23
    einyx
    Sosana
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 14375
    Posts: 165
    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    Megatron27
    Megatron27
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 9:13 PM ET #26

    If its a system u cant pick and choose what u like or it will never worrk... for example i went against NW and with Nropp on GT and i got burned...should have went with north texas and northwest.. gt blows
    Reply
    If its a system u cant pick and choose what u like or it will never worrk... for example i went against NW and with Nropp on GT and i got burned...should have went with north texas and northwest.. gt blows
     
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 9:22 PM ET #27

    really.  that could happen mid-season for the noon games.
    are you willing to take on that many bets a month from now?
    the lines get crazy.
    Reply
    really.  that could happen mid-season for the noon games.
    are you willing to take on that many bets a month from now?
    the lines get crazy.
     
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 9:24 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by Megatron27:

    If its a system u cant pick and choose what u like or it will never worrk... for example i went against NW and with Nropp on GT and i got burned...should have went with north texas and northwest.. gt blows


    Agreed Mega but you still walk away with a win.  $$ wise I hope you made some back.  Did you parlay?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Megatron27:

    If its a system u cant pick and choose what u like or it will never worrk... for example i went against NW and with Nropp on GT and i got burned...should have went with north texas and northwest.. gt blows


    Agreed Mega but you still walk away with a win.  $$ wise I hope you made some back.  Did you parlay?
     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 9:26 PM ET #29

    Yep.  My units are a small enough % of my bankroll to handle it
    Reply
    Yep.  My units are a small enough % of my bankroll to handle it
     
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 9:48 PM ET #30

    You keep us interested.

    I'll continue to follow.

    Good luck tonite.
    Reply
    You keep us interested.

    I'll continue to follow.

    Good luck tonite.
     
    einyx
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 10:13 PM ET #31

    Looks like 3-3 at the worst, 4-2 if either Iowa or Duke can cover but both down at halftime double digits
    Reply
    Looks like 3-3 at the worst, 4-2 if either Iowa or Duke can cover but both down at halftime double digits
     
    giant56
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 10:28 PM ET #32

    yup

    just like all of us. 50%
    Reply
    yup

    just like all of us. 50%
     
    Sosana
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 10:32 PM ET #33

    Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

    Yep.  My units are a small enough % of my bankroll to handle it




    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

    Yep.  My units are a small enough % of my bankroll to handle it




     
    beaverfan23
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 10:34 PM ET #34

    The Duke game ended up going over 65% on covers contest picks.  No way I could have known that when I made the pick though, it was only 57% when I posted the play.  I will still include the game in the record no matter what the outcome is.
    Reply
    The Duke game ended up going over 65% on covers contest picks.  No way I could have known that when I made the pick though, it was only 57% when I posted the play.  I will still include the game in the record no matter what the outcome is.
     
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 10:36 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

    The Duke game ended up going over 65% on covers contest picks.  No way I could have known that when I made the pick though, it was only 57% when I posted the play.  I will still include the game in the record no matter what the outcome is.


    Understood.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by beaverfan23:

    The Duke game ended up going over 65% on covers contest picks.  No way I could have known that when I made the pick though, it was only 57% when I posted the play.  I will still include the game in the record no matter what the outcome is.


    Understood.
     
    Megatron27
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 11:15 PM ET #36

    Hey neither beaver, nor I, Nor any1 here is working with a loaded deck... we are just trying to figure out ways to make a buck. And i fucking hated duke and i bet them anyway... And i had them reversed with Virginia... not my nght
    Reply
    Hey neither beaver, nor I, Nor any1 here is working with a loaded deck... we are just trying to figure out ways to make a buck. And i fucking hated duke and i bet them anyway... And i had them reversed with Virginia... not my nght
     
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 11:22 PM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by einyx:

    Looks like 3-3 at the worst, 4-2 if either Iowa or Duke can cover but both down at halftime double digits


    this Duke blue looks as bad as my Giant blue.
    Total horror show.
    Time for bed
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by einyx:

    Looks like 3-3 at the worst, 4-2 if either Iowa or Duke can cover but both down at halftime double digits


    this Duke blue looks as bad as my Giant blue.
    Total horror show.
    Time for bed
     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 11:38 PM ET #38

    Potential Wednesday Plays (need to wait for kenpom update):

    Marshall -9 (now 8 at most places)
    RI -4 (5 at most places now) close to the 65% mark
    La Salle -7 (down to 5 now)
    Iowa St -6.5
    CSU -4 (hurry on this one, up to 6 at some places)
    S.Bama +3
    Boise St -7.5 (Down to 5.5 now)
    UNC -8
    Cal Poly -15 (Down to 13)
    USC -6 (down to 4) close to the 65% mark
    Gonzaga -12 (down to 10)

    Still need to check WY, Oral Roberts, and SJST lines when they come out.

    11 games, holy crap!


    Reply
    Potential Wednesday Plays (need to wait for kenpom update):

    Marshall -9 (now 8 at most places)
    RI -4 (5 at most places now) close to the 65% mark
    La Salle -7 (down to 5 now)
    Iowa St -6.5
    CSU -4 (hurry on this one, up to 6 at some places)
    S.Bama +3
    Boise St -7.5 (Down to 5.5 now)
    UNC -8
    Cal Poly -15 (Down to 13)
    USC -6 (down to 4) close to the 65% mark
    Gonzaga -12 (down to 10)

    Still need to check WY, Oral Roberts, and SJST lines when they come out.

    11 games, holy crap!


     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 11:41 PM ET #39

    Tuesday Results:

    3-3 (50%) for the night

    3-3 (50%) for the week

    25-21-1 (54%) for the season
    Reply
    Tuesday Results:

    3-3 (50%) for the night

    3-3 (50%) for the week

    25-21-1 (54%) for the season
     
    einyx
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 11:41 PM ET #40

    Plays look better for tomorrow mainly because they are almost all home teams
    Reply
    Plays look better for tomorrow mainly because they are almost all home teams
     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2011 - 11:59 PM ET #41

    USC and URI are out, both went over 65% public plays
    Reply
    USC and URI are out, both went over 65% public plays
     
    einyx
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 12:05 AM ET #42

    Question: Do you only factor the percentages on the covers contests board the night before the games? Just wondering because those will sometimes tilt the other way a few hours before tip off or whatever. Thanks


    Reply
    Question: Do you only factor the percentages on the covers contests board the night before the games? Just wondering because those will sometimes tilt the other way a few hours before tip off or whatever. Thanks


     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 12:39 AM ET #43

    If it is close I will hold off on placing my bet for a while just to see which way it is going.  If it goes over 65% at any point I don't play it.  Just to avoid taking games like Duke tonight.  It is better to find reasons not to play a game than reasons to play it, just like poker
    Reply
    If it is close I will hold off on placing my bet for a while just to see which way it is going.  If it goes over 65% at any point I don't play it.  Just to avoid taking games like Duke tonight.  It is better to find reasons not to play a game than reasons to play it, just like poker
     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 2:28 PM ET #44

    Official Wednesday Plays:

    Marshall -8
    La Salle -5
    Iowa St -6.5
    CSU -4
    S.Bama +3
    Boise St -5.5
    UNC -8
    Cal Poly -13
    Gonzaga -10

    UNC, Gonzaga, Boise, and La Salle are all at 60% or higher for covers contest picks.  Keep an eye on that
    Reply
    Official Wednesday Plays:

    Marshall -8
    La Salle -5
    Iowa St -6.5
    CSU -4
    S.Bama +3
    Boise St -5.5
    UNC -8
    Cal Poly -13
    Gonzaga -10

    UNC, Gonzaga, Boise, and La Salle are all at 60% or higher for covers contest picks.  Keep an eye on that
     
    TheTsaiguy
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 2:56 PM ET #45

    I don't think this is bad but feel like kenpom has kind of died off.  Nowadays I feel like Vegas factors in for this type of thing as I tried using this a couple years ago and didn't get much results with it.  To be honest the plays I have going today are almost all opposite of the games you show.  I have ohio +8 Northeastern +5 Northern Iowa +6.5 Colorado +4 UAB -3 Drake +5.5 Wisc +8 and Notre Dame +10.  Either way looks like one of us is going to win.  Hoping you the best and continued success.  Good luck!!
    Reply
    I don't think this is bad but feel like kenpom has kind of died off.  Nowadays I feel like Vegas factors in for this type of thing as I tried using this a couple years ago and didn't get much results with it.  To be honest the plays I have going today are almost all opposite of the games you show.  I have ohio +8 Northeastern +5 Northern Iowa +6.5 Colorado +4 UAB -3 Drake +5.5 Wisc +8 and Notre Dame +10.  Either way looks like one of us is going to win.  Hoping you the best and continued success.  Good luck!!
     
    SamENole
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 3:24 PM ET #46

    Quote Originally Posted by TheTsaiguy:

    I don't think this is bad but feel like kenpom has kind of died off.  Nowadays I feel like Vegas factors in for this type of thing as I tried using this a couple years ago and didn't get much results with it.  To be honest the plays I have going today are almost all opposite of the games you show.  I have ohio +8 Northeastern +5 Northern Iowa +6.5 Colorado +4 UAB -3 Drake +5.5 Wisc +8 and Notre Dame +10.  Either way looks like one of us is going to win.  Hoping you the best and continued success.  Good luck!!


    :facepalm:
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TheTsaiguy:

    I don't think this is bad but feel like kenpom has kind of died off.  Nowadays I feel like Vegas factors in for this type of thing as I tried using this a couple years ago and didn't get much results with it.  To be honest the plays I have going today are almost all opposite of the games you show.  I have ohio +8 Northeastern +5 Northern Iowa +6.5 Colorado +4 UAB -3 Drake +5.5 Wisc +8 and Notre Dame +10.  Either way looks like one of us is going to win.  Hoping you the best and continued success.  Good luck!!


    :facepalm:
     
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 7:05 PM ET #47

    on the magic ride
    Let's go!!
    Reply
    on the magic ride
    Let's go!!
     
    poolman11
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 7:52 PM ET #48

    unc/boise/lasalle all home teams huge in hoops largest swing unc kenpom had em faved  i unloaded on tar heels
    Reply
    unc/boise/lasalle all home teams huge in hoops largest swing unc kenpom had em faved  i unloaded on tar heels
     
    giant56
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 10:41 PM ET #49

    potential 50% night again.

    I got my wins for the night.

    Beaver needs some luck just to stay ahead.

    See you tomorrow.
    Reply
    potential 50% night again.

    I got my wins for the night.

    Beaver needs some luck just to stay ahead.

    See you tomorrow.
     
     
    beaverfan23
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2011 - 11:59 PM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by giant56:

    potential 50% night again.

    I got my wins for the night.

    Beaver needs some luck just to stay ahead.

    See you tomorrow.


    not sure if I like you
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by giant56:

    potential 50% night again.

    I got my wins for the night.

    Beaver needs some luck just to stay ahead.

    See you tomorrow.


    not sure if I like you
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