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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

    «First Previous 505152 ... 125126127 Next Last»
    jab21
    stevo1
    corporation
    RLeith35
    Rippn808
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 211535
    Posts: 3174
    «First Previous 505152 ... 125126127 Next Last»
     
    jab21
    jab21
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 19
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 11:21 AM ET #1226

    Thanks for your work stevo. Good pick with GO last night.

    I have a better understanding of your system now and have a question. As you've stated the 5-0 teams have a great record to go to 6-0 this year. And if I understand correctly you are lowering you're wagers on them as a cautious move thinking that the end of the year record will prob end up closer to the end of the year records for 5-0 teams the last 3 years. At some point do you plan to reverse your picks and go against 5-0 teams, or do you just lower your bet and stop betting them if the record starts to slip?

    Thanks again...love to follow.
    Reply
    Thanks for your work stevo. Good pick with GO last night.

    I have a better understanding of your system now and have a question. As you've stated the 5-0 teams have a great record to go to 6-0 this year. And if I understand correctly you are lowering you're wagers on them as a cautious move thinking that the end of the year record will prob end up closer to the end of the year records for 5-0 teams the last 3 years. At some point do you plan to reverse your picks and go against 5-0 teams, or do you just lower your bet and stop betting them if the record starts to slip?

    Thanks again...love to follow.
     
    jab21
    jab21
    Prospect
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    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 19
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 11:21 AM ET #1227

    *good pick with GB
    Reply
    *good pick with GB
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
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    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 11:37 AM ET #1228

    jab 21 your dead on, I've cut my wagers in half due to recent 5-0 split for 5-0's in last 9 games although now 6-4 and with GB last night i took a chance they would cover for 5 units and they did thus making me feel good about level 5-0 win streaks to continue to cover and thus i will play all 5 today at 5 units to cover as i have a good feeling they will do what records have shown over the last few years and more so what has happened recently this year to date

    Cal fullerton sure looks good at 0-5 streak favorites to cover if both combinations combine and are the only team that meets this criteria and that record is 4-0 at 100% for 2014 so will play them to cover

    Penn St to cover looks very good also but another
    different scenario at 5-2 to cover so i will play them 
    Reply
    jab 21 your dead on, I've cut my wagers in half due to recent 5-0 split for 5-0's in last 9 games although now 6-4 and with GB last night i took a chance they would cover for 5 units and they did thus making me feel good about level 5-0 win streaks to continue to cover and thus i will play all 5 today at 5 units to cover as i have a good feeling they will do what records have shown over the last few years and more so what has happened recently this year to date

    Cal fullerton sure looks good at 0-5 streak favorites to cover if both combinations combine and are the only team that meets this criteria and that record is 4-0 at 100% for 2014 so will play them to cover

    Penn St to cover looks very good also but another
    different scenario at 5-2 to cover so i will play them 
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 11:46 AM ET #1229

    After what is see occurs today with these 5 teams at 5-0 should give me direction in how to go forward,,Poss following them at various time slots could also assist me in wager placement
    today
    Calif will be the 1st at my time 1 pm but balance all seem to start within 1 hour of each other so that may not be something i can dolike they say if can't stand the HEAT time to leave the kitchen but i'm not leaving
    Reply
    After what is see occurs today with these 5 teams at 5-0 should give me direction in how to go forward,,Poss following them at various time slots could also assist me in wager placement
    today
    Calif will be the 1st at my time 1 pm but balance all seem to start within 1 hour of each other so that may not be something i can dolike they say if can't stand the HEAT time to leave the kitchen but i'm not leaving
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 11:50 AM ET #1230

    I live by this post and what it tells me for ncaab


    Thread  #32 Page 795 posted on 1/3/14

    5-0 streak records for last 3 years

    so lets put these 5-0 streak records together for last 3 years
    5-0 streaks to continue against any point spread placed by odds makers

    2010/2011  52% to go to 6-0 seasons end (28-25)
    2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
    2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)
    2013/2014  80 % to go to 6-0 to date (12-3) 
    Currently 18-7 as of 1/17/14
    although 6-4 recently as #'s reflect from 1/3/14
    Odds makers have done a better job of late

    Reply
    I live by this post and what it tells me for ncaab


    Thread  #32 Page 795 posted on 1/3/14

    5-0 streak records for last 3 years

    so lets put these 5-0 streak records together for last 3 years
    5-0 streaks to continue against any point spread placed by odds makers

    2010/2011  52% to go to 6-0 seasons end (28-25)
    2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
    2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)
    2013/2014  80 % to go to 6-0 to date (12-3) 
    Currently 18-7 as of 1/17/14
    although 6-4 recently as #'s reflect from 1/3/14
    Odds makers have done a better job of late

     
    corporation
    corporation
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2012
    Posts: 49
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 12:40 PM ET #1231

    Hi stevo1,

    sorry...but what are the plays today?  think I may have missed them.
    Reply
    Hi stevo1,

    sorry...but what are the plays today?  think I may have missed them.
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 12:43 PM ET #1232

    need to bring this over from prior page post as think its important to see and understand page 607 posted on 12/26

    so what have we learned from NBA
     is the following

    teams on a 5-0 win streak you play
     them to not cover their next game.
     RECORD is 8-4 they will not cover (67%)
    ______________________________________
    Teams on a 0-6 no cover streak you play to cover
     their next GAME Cur Record is 5-1
     they will cover at 83%

    One problem is we don't have any teams at 0-6 YET
    the closest we have is
    0-4 Nets
    0-4 Portland
    also we do not have any at 5-0 yet but we do have
    4-0 
    Pacers
    need to watch these teams reach levels we need

    Now look at page 1223

    Odds makers have done such a great job in NBA there are no plays
    and their records are un believe able in how well they all are balanced

    4-0,,,,,16-18
    5-0,,,,,10-9
    6-0,,,, 4-5
    7-0,,,, 2-2
    8-0,,,, 1-1
    __________________
    0-3,,, 28-25
    0-4,,, 12-18  slight edge to not cover
    0-5,,, 6-12   strong edge to not cover
    0-6,,,5-7
    0-7,,,,4-3
    0-8,,,2-0

    And we don't think the odds makers don't know what they are doing
    Reply
    need to bring this over from prior page post as think its important to see and understand page 607 posted on 12/26

    so what have we learned from NBA
     is the following

    teams on a 5-0 win streak you play
     them to not cover their next game.
     RECORD is 8-4 they will not cover (67%)
    ______________________________________
    Teams on a 0-6 no cover streak you play to cover
     their next GAME Cur Record is 5-1
     they will cover at 83%

    One problem is we don't have any teams at 0-6 YET
    the closest we have is
    0-4 Nets
    0-4 Portland
    also we do not have any at 5-0 yet but we do have
    4-0 
    Pacers
    need to watch these teams reach levels we need

    Now look at page 1223

    Odds makers have done such a great job in NBA there are no plays
    and their records are un believe able in how well they all are balanced

    4-0,,,,,16-18
    5-0,,,,,10-9
    6-0,,,, 4-5
    7-0,,,, 2-2
    8-0,,,, 1-1
    __________________
    0-3,,, 28-25
    0-4,,, 12-18  slight edge to not cover
    0-5,,, 6-12   strong edge to not cover
    0-6,,,5-7
    0-7,,,,4-3
    0-8,,,2-0

    And we don't think the odds makers don't know what they are doing
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 12:59 PM ET #1233

    5-0 win streak is 8-4 they will not cover (67%)
    now current 1/18/14
    5-0 win streak is 10-9 they will not cover
    _____________________________________
    0-6 no cover streak you play to cover Record is 5-1
    Now Current 1/18/14
    0-6,,,no cover streak 5-7
    the last six 0-6 no cover streaks have not covered in NBA

    Reply
    5-0 win streak is 8-4 they will not cover (67%)
    now current 1/18/14
    5-0 win streak is 10-9 they will not cover
    _____________________________________
    0-6 no cover streak you play to cover Record is 5-1
    Now Current 1/18/14
    0-6,,,no cover streak 5-7
    the last six 0-6 no cover streaks have not covered in NBA

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 1:06 PM ET #1234

    Corp the plays are all later 1st not till 1 pm west coast time

    Page 1221 and 1222

    Reply
    Corp the plays are all later 1st not till 1 pm west coast time

    Page 1221 and 1222

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
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    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 1:34 PM ET #1235

    Can't wail for MLB and my 5 inn plays  my best of all sports in wagering
    Reply
    Can't wail for MLB and my 5 inn plays  my best of all sports in wagering
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 2:14 PM ET #1236

    appears as 4-0 win streak  Virginia will become our first 5-0 win streak today and our next play later this week

    next is out of all the teams playing today
    4-0 Mia Ohio
    4-0 W&M
    4-0 IPFW
    4-0 Citadel

    Reply
    appears as 4-0 win streak  Virginia will become our first 5-0 win streak today and our next play later this week

    next is out of all the teams playing today
    4-0 Mia Ohio
    4-0 W&M
    4-0 IPFW
    4-0 Citadel

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 2:35 PM ET #1237

    4-0 Virginia will play N Carolina and i think they will cover what ever the odds makers throw at them on 20th

    6-0 Wisc Green Bay plays on 19th but the 6-0 streaks to cover is a lot harder at 9-8 to not cover (will Pass this play)

    As continue to note, the higher the WIN streak the harder it gets
    Reply
    4-0 Virginia will play N Carolina and i think they will cover what ever the odds makers throw at them on 20th

    6-0 Wisc Green Bay plays on 19th but the 6-0 streaks to cover is a lot harder at 9-8 to not cover (will Pass this play)

    As continue to note, the higher the WIN streak the harder it gets
     
    RLeith35
    RLeith35
    Legend
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    Joined: Jan, 2012
    Posts: 59248
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 3:08 PM ET #1238

    Pay close attention to teams that are streaking ATS. Streaks can be a gravy train to the winner’s circle. Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding hot streaks (minimum seven results):

    Air Force 7-1
    Arizona 6-1
    Creighton 8-1 
    Harvard 7-1 
    Kansas State 7-1
    Michigan State 7-1
    Xavier 8-0

    Not, Not, Not

    Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding cold ATS streaks (minimum seven results):

    Akron 1-6
    Boston College 1-8
    Drexel 1-8
    LSU 1-7-1
    Marquette 1-6
    Marshall 1-6
    Middle Tennessee State 1-6
    North Carolina 1-6
    Oregon 1-6
    Pen State 0-7
    South Alabama 1-8
    St. Johns 1-6
    Texas State 1-6

    Reply

    Pay close attention to teams that are streaking ATS. Streaks can be a gravy train to the winner’s circle. Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding hot streaks (minimum seven results):

    Air Force 7-1
    Arizona 6-1
    Creighton 8-1 
    Harvard 7-1 
    Kansas State 7-1
    Michigan State 7-1
    Xavier 8-0

    Not, Not, Not

    Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding cold ATS streaks (minimum seven results):

    Akron 1-6
    Boston College 1-8
    Drexel 1-8
    LSU 1-7-1
    Marquette 1-6
    Marshall 1-6
    Middle Tennessee State 1-6
    North Carolina 1-6
    Oregon 1-6
    Pen State 0-7
    South Alabama 1-8
    St. Johns 1-6
    Texas State 1-6

     
    RLeith35
    RLeith35
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    Posts: 59248
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 3:10 PM ET #1239

    According to our database, these have been the best underdogs in all games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

    Dayton 4-0
    Houston 5-1
    Kent State 4-0
    Utah 4-0
    Xavier 4-0

    The worst underdogs this season have been:

    Boston College 1-6
    Colorado State 1-5
    LaSalle 0-4
    Northwestern 1-8
    South Alabama 1-8
    Texas State 1-7
    Valparaiso 1-5

    Chalk Talk

    According to our database, these have been the best favorites in all games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

    Harvard 7-0-1
    Pacific 6-1
    Texas Tech 4-0

    The worst favorites this season have been:

    Bradley 0-4-1
    Loyola Chicago 0-6
    Notre Dame 1-7-1

    Reply

    According to our database, these have been the best underdogs in all games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

    Dayton 4-0
    Houston 5-1
    Kent State 4-0
    Utah 4-0
    Xavier 4-0

    The worst underdogs this season have been:

    Boston College 1-6
    Colorado State 1-5
    LaSalle 0-4
    Northwestern 1-8
    South Alabama 1-8
    Texas State 1-7
    Valparaiso 1-5

    Chalk Talk

    According to our database, these have been the best favorites in all games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

    Harvard 7-0-1
    Pacific 6-1
    Texas Tech 4-0

    The worst favorites this season have been:

    Bradley 0-4-1
    Loyola Chicago 0-6
    Notre Dame 1-7-1

     
    Rippn808
    Rippn808
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2013
    Posts: 443
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 3:23 PM ET #1240

    Green bay 

    Cal St Ful today cap!  Lets get!!
    Reply
    Green bay 

    Cal St Ful today cap!  Lets get!!
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 8:32 PM ET #1241

    appears as 4-0 win streak  Virginia will become our first 5-0 win streak today and our next play later this week

    next is out of all the teams playing today
    4-0 Mia Ohiogoes to 5-0
    4-0 W&M,,,goes to 5-0
    4-0 IPFW
    4-0 Citadellosing badly -14
    4-0 win streaks to not cover will top off at 3-2 and why i passed on all 4-0 teams
    4-0 win streak record  goes from 37-32 too not cover to 40-34

    we have three 5-0 New Win Streaks for later this week
    Reply
    appears as 4-0 win streak  Virginia will become our first 5-0 win streak today and our next play later this week

    next is out of all the teams playing today
    4-0 Mia Ohiogoes to 5-0
    4-0 W&M,,,goes to 5-0
    4-0 IPFW
    4-0 Citadellosing badly -14
    4-0 win streaks to not cover will top off at 3-2 and why i passed on all 4-0 teams
    4-0 win streak record  goes from 37-32 too not cover to 40-34

    we have three 5-0 New Win Streaks for later this week
     
    goat333
    goat333
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 29
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 8:35 PM ET #1242

    Stevo . . . . . I've been following you for a few weeks.  Thank you!!!

    My favorite sport is MLB, and I can't wait for it to begin.  My bookie doesn't deal with baseball. 


    What site do you suggest for betting on baseball  . . . . . and getting your money back when you win? 

    Reply
    Stevo . . . . . I've been following you for a few weeks.  Thank you!!!

    My favorite sport is MLB, and I can't wait for it to begin.  My bookie doesn't deal with baseball. 


    What site do you suggest for betting on baseball  . . . . . and getting your money back when you win? 

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 8:47 PM ET #1243

    3-0 win streaks to not cover Cur record is 110-73
    currently at 3-3-1 Would like to see last 3 not cover to boost recordbut did not play 3-0s today
    Fsu
    Smu
    TX A&M
    Kans
    Syrc,,,,,,Push per Covers
    Nova
    UTSA
    Balance still in play
    Clmb
    Ol Dom
    Uconn
    Glad i passed on all these
    Reply
    3-0 win streaks to not cover Cur record is 110-73
    currently at 3-3-1 Would like to see last 3 not cover to boost recordbut did not play 3-0s today
    Fsu
    Smu
    TX A&M
    Kans
    Syrc,,,,,,Push per Covers
    Nova
    UTSA
    Balance still in play
    Clmb
    Ol Dom
    Uconn
    Glad i passed on all these
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 9:30 PM ET #1244

    goat i live here in vegas  sorry


    Reply
    goat i live here in vegas  sorry


     
    ATLien87
    ATLien87
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2012
    Posts: 49
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 9:44 PM ET #1245

    I'm ready for baseball season myself SteveO ! Interested in seeing your system for MLB ! Good luck tonight. Good to see a few teams move to 5-0 streaks today !
    Reply
    I'm ready for baseball season myself SteveO ! Interested in seeing your system for MLB ! Good luck tonight. Good to see a few teams move to 5-0 streaks today !
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 9:46 PM ET #1246

    guys i miss posted the 4-0 records   plz excuse as posted backwards,,,

    4-0 win streaks to not cover will top off at 2-3 and why i passed on all 4-0 teams to not cover


    I need to await to post records tomorrow as too much to do as plays end and still in play as to easy to make a mistake 

    Reply
    guys i miss posted the 4-0 records   plz excuse as posted backwards,,,

    4-0 win streaks to not cover will top off at 2-3 and why i passed on all 4-0 teams to not cover


    I need to await to post records tomorrow as too much to do as plays end and still in play as to easy to make a mistake 

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 10:19 PM ET #1247

    Posted: 1/18/2014 10:44:27 AM
    almost forgot this play

    0-7's to cover 5-2,,(71%)  Penn St 1/18
    looking for a COVER 

    Penn ST +7 lose 64-65 but covers

    0-7 Streaks to cover are now 6-2 (75%)
    Reply
    Posted: 1/18/2014 10:44:27 AM
    almost forgot this play

    0-7's to cover 5-2,,(71%)  Penn St 1/18
    looking for a COVER 

    Penn ST +7 lose 64-65 but covers

    0-7 Streaks to cover are now 6-2 (75%)
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 10:33 PM ET #1248

    0-7 St Johns covers so we add another cover

    0-7 loss streak teams get  both covers today,,Marquette moves to 0-7 after today will look for them to cover next start

    0-7 cover record climbs to 7-2     78 % to cover
    Reply
    0-7 St Johns covers so we add another cover

    0-7 loss streak teams get  both covers today,,Marquette moves to 0-7 after today will look for them to cover next start

    0-7 cover record climbs to 7-2     78 % to cover
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 11:19 PM ET #1249

    0-11 loss streak North Dakota Covers 

    0-11 streak record to cover is 2-0100% to cover

    No Team has had a worst losing streak for 2014
    Reply
    0-11 loss streak North Dakota Covers 

    0-11 streak record to cover is 2-0100% to cover

    No Team has had a worst losing streak for 2014
     
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 18, 2014 - 11:27 PM ET #1250

    No Team has had a higher worst losing streak for 2014
    0-11 to cover is 100%,,,2-0
    Reply
    No Team has had a higher worst losing streak for 2014
    0-11 to cover is 100%,,,2-0
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