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Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

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stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 3:06 PM ET #1176

Mandy have not looked at NBA yet but will soon

found this back in thread and think it could be important down line, If find any 0-5 loss streak teams that are listed to play and are listed as the Favorite (Please see this stat)

Been researching various levels for additional poss plays

What i have found that's interesting is of the 0-5 Streak teams that have covered four have been Favorites and all have covered ( 4-0) Possibly down line we may look to 0-5 teams that are listed as favorites to play them to cover their spreads at 4-0 cover = 100%

the 4 teams that were 0-5 and listed as Favorites were

Kansas who Covered on 12/14

St Louis who covered on 12/18

Boise who covered on 12/23

Montana who covered on 1/16

RLeith35

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 59248

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 3:06 PM ET #1177

Play AGAINST WRIGHT ST using ATS in All games in all lined games

The record is 3 Wins and 10 Losses this season (-8 units)

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 3:27 PM ET #1178

NBA is lackluster and ODDS MAKERS are on the ball as the only streak teams playing today are low level 0-3 streak plays with cover record at 25-28 to date Passing this mess as last night

Miami

Cleve

Gold St

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 3:34 PM ET #1179

Play ON WRIGHT ST using Money Line in All games after a conference game

The record is 15 Wins and 8 Losses for the last 2 seasons (13.35 units)

______________________________________________________

Play ON WRIGHT ST using Money Line in Home games after allowing 60 points or less

The record is 55 Wins and 21 Losses for all times (26.7 units)

_______________________________________________________

I posted Green bay Pheonix would cover this game not knowing point spread the day they reached 5-0 win streak on 1/12 counting on 5-0 streak record to come thru

Today is its day of reckoning at 17-7 to cover

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 3:36 PM ET #1180

Play AGAINST WRIGHT ST using ATS in All games in all lined games

The record is 3 Wins and 10 Losses this season (-8 units)

____________________________________________________

I posted Green bay Pheonix would cover this game not knowing point spread the day they reached 5-0 win streak on 1/12 counting on 5-0 streak record to come thru

Today is its day of reckoning at 17-7 to cover

RLeith35

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 59248

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 4:32 PM ET #1181

I still don't see how vegas has anything to do with a team covering or not covering, they just set a line to get even action on both sides. If a team is playing good or bad, vegas does not have anything to do with who will cover or not cover the line, as they have to set a fair line to get balanced action both sides. ATS win streaks just happen, thats it.

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 4:40 PM ET #1182

SATURDAYS PLAYS PER STREAK RECORDS

Win Streak records to Not Cover

3-0 (110-73),,,,,4-0,(37-31) ,5-0,(7-17),,no higher W Streaks 1/18

Fsu,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,virginia,,,,,,,,,,Buffalo

Smu,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Mia Ohio,,,,,,,Calif

Tx A&M,,,,,,,,,,W&M,,,,,,,,,,,,,Air Force

Kansas,,,,,,,,,,IPFW,,,,,,,,,,,,,St Bonny

Syrc,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Citadel,,,,,,,,,,,N Ariz

Nova

Utsa

Columb

Ol Dom

Uconn

______________________________________

LOSS STREAK Records TO COVER

0-3 (71-85),,,0-4,(40-37),,,,0-5,(14-19),0-6,(7-8),,0-7 (5-2),,,,0-11(1-0)

Unc,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Ucf,,,,,,,,,,,Rice,,,,,,,,,Marq,,,,St Johns,,,N Dakota

Marsh,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Usc,,,,,,,,,,Cal Full,,,,Umass,,,Penn St

Colorado,,,,,,,,,Butler,,,,,,Semo

Madison,,,,,,,,,,Tcu

East Car,,,,,,,,,,N Mex

Mid Tenn St,,,,Drake

Sdsu,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Davis

Detroit,,,,,,,,,,,,,Ind Purd

ILL

Hawaii

RLeith35

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 59248

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 4:41 PM ET #1183

Oh ya, take the Ohio St game last night, some people thought u were
getting line value with Ohio St, but in college basketball & in the Big 10
the home team is where the money is. I never like the road team in theNCAAB even if they are the better team, I will always stick to a home team to play on either HF or HD period! What u are doing playing on or against ATS streaks, u will never get on a long win streak
of your own like that, situational capping is better, ect, ect, i think u know where i'm comimg from. Anyway, good luck with your plays!

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 4:46 PM ET #1184

yes you are correct and if the lines are not correct as norm it shows they are not correct in line placement to get a balanced play

thus win and loss streaks occur,,but if a team goes to 0-11 as N dakota is surely is that not questioning ODDS Makers ability to correct that and that is what this shows

In reverse the long cover streaks 8-0 Xavier,is it not time to reel them in to as you say Balance out the plays on this team as after 8 wins in a row surely something is not working with line placement

soc22

Banned

Joined: Aug, 2013

Posts: 103

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 4:47 PM ET #1185

Great for you boss, start your own thread with your picks and if you win on a consistent basis we might follow.

BooTee

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 200

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 4:52 PM ET #1186

Hey Crew - was looking at that GB game earlier - was gonna go large on GB tonight as some of that stas confirmed and specifically now that I see what you guys are bringing to the poker table ;-)) You guys hitting this one? talk to me...BOO!!

stevo1

Captain

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Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 4:58 PM ET #1187

I don't look to win on either LONG win or loss streaks.I look for them to both stop as its odds makers ability and JOB to stop both to balance out action but after a 10-0 win streak or 0-10 loss streak something is not working and needs deeper attention

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:05 PM ET #1188

Boo Tee play this small as the record in last 9 games is 4-5 so odds makers are doing a much better job although still at a strong negative at 7-17 to not cover but this was better at 3-12 back on 1/3/14 to play them to continue.I still think odds makers will favor them to cover but t night is a trial review of what to expect tomorrow with six 5-0 teams to play

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:11 PM ET #1189

I suggest you go to the NBA and you will find its a whole new ball game over there as almost every streak record is BALANCED

Page 1178 above says it all

NBA is lackluster and ODDS MAKERS are on the ball as the only streak teams playing today are low level 0-3 streak plays with cover record at 25-28 to date Passing this mess as last night

Miami

Cleve

Gold St

there are no strong streak plays as odds makers know these teams like the back of their hands NOT SO with a bunch of 20 year olds looking to get f===ed rather than play ball

Wala13

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 288

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:15 PM ET #1190

So Stevo1 , what is the pick for today ?

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:17 PM ET #1191

Look for teams at 0-8 loss streaks in NBA if they ever occur

Orlando +6 to cover with record to cover at 2-0

0-8 streak teams to cover now 3-0

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:23 PM ET #1192

Look there's plenty of variables in a game but the odds makers are supposedly the EXPERTS as they get paid to balance plays to help casinos and yes the do a good job as i don't see any casino's closing their books,,,but come on if a team gets to 0-11 something is WRONG

likewise 11-0

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:29 PM ET #1193

page 1080 says it all for NBA

Any body notice all win Streak teams in NBA did not cover last Night

3-0 Boston

4-0 Denver

5-0 Chi

6-0 NY

Streak records for teams in NBA

3-0,,,, to not cover 34-34

4-0,,,, 16-18 slight edge to cover

5-0 ,,,10-8 slight edge to not cover

6-0,,, 4-3 very slight edge to not cover,,,, Memphis pend

7-0,,, 1-2

8-0,,, 1-1

9-0,,, 0-1

10-0,,, 0-0 Toronto awaiting play

Odds makers seem to have this league under control

BooTee

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 200

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:40 PM ET #1194

Thanks Stevo - so Orlando is a "go"?

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:44 PM ET #1195

keep an eye out for this if occurs

the 4 teams that were 0-5 and listed as Favorites were

Kansas who Covered on 12/14

St Louis who covered on 12/18

Boise who covered on 12/23

Montana who covered on 1/16

tomorrow we have 3 like teams but they must be favorites to play to cover

4-0 to date

Rice

Cal St Ful

Se Mizz St (semo)

stevo1

Captain

Joined: Oct, 2011

Posts: 6398

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:45 PM ET #1196

Boo Tee NO that was last weeks play

BooTee

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 200

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:50 PM ET #1197

got it - BTW buy FREAKIN GOOGLE STOCK - a glucose reading contact???!!! WHAT???!!! BAD A$$$

RLeith35

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2012

Posts: 59248

Posted: Jan. 17, 2014 - 5:54 PM ET #1198

CANISIUS at IONA
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IONA) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after a combined score of 165 points or more
54-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units ) 10-9 this year. ( 52.6% | 0.1 units )

WI-GREEN BAY at WRIGHT ST
Play Against - Road favorites vs. the money line (WI-GREEN BAY) very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=39% on the season against opponent after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less 20-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.5% | 20.2 units ) 1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -0.2 units )

WI-GREEN BAY at WRIGHT ST
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (WRIGHT ST) an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games 68-32 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 32.8 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )