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    All Forums | College Basketball

    NCAA TOURNEY THREAD 151

    «First Previous 456 ... 282930 Next Last»
    RUM151
    Fuzzer44
    capper4ever
    UnrankedChamp
    ALEXSON
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    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 8:45 AM ET #76

     

    also going to go with American-2  this should be another good game here, American last 3 games are shooting 49.4% and 43% from 3 and 53.7% from 2  while Mnt st mary is shooting 39% 37% from 3 and 40.8% from 2 , these 2 usually play close games, American has won the last 4 up to 2023, all games were withing 3-8 pts  ,  think American has a better offense right now  so hopng that helps here    american 71-66   also American is forcing opponents to turn the ball over on 17.6% of poss's, and Mnt st marys has had problems turning it over this year as they are turning it over on 21.7% of poss's   

    american -2  1 unit 

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    also going to go with American-2  this should be another good game here, American last 3 games are shooting 49.4% and 43% from 3 and 53.7% from 2  while Mnt st mary is shooting 39% 37% from 3 and 40.8% from 2 , these 2 usually play close games, American has won the last 4 up to 2023, all games were withing 3-8 pts  ,  think American has a better offense right now  so hopng that helps here    american 71-66   also American is forcing opponents to turn the ball over on 17.6% of poss's, and Mnt st marys has had problems turning it over this year as they are turning it over on 21.7% of poss's   

    american -2  1 unit 

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 9:09 AM ET #77

     

    went and added St Joes -5 tonight  , just not sure how motivated UAB is in this game after losing to memphis and costing themselves a place in the NCAA tourney, b oth teams do well after a loss, st joes is 12-3 str up as a home favorite, and i just think they maybe want to be here, they knew they were not going to the big one,  just how i feel about this one  , and St joes is a much better balanced team as they are ranked 79th by kenpom and 97th in offense eff, and 72nd in defensive eff, and UAB though ranked 36th on offensive eff, they are 268th in defensive eff , they cant stop anyone, always like a better defensive team, when the offenses are pretty close,

    ..its what is keeping me away from betting Furman today vs N Texas, N texas just very strong on defense and they are actually decent on offense when at home, i mean you got Furman who last 3 games is avg 86 pts a game but they are giving up 82, and N Texas last 3 are avg 65 and giving up 64  and at home N Texas is avg 71 pts and giving up just 59   i like the furman team but i just cannot see them scoring 80 pts against this NT defense and furman is shooting well last 3 games 51% and 46% from 3  but i doubt they will be anything like that vs NT, but i do think NT may be able to shoot well vs Furman, who do give up a lot of points, at home NT is shooting 48% and 37% from 3  this line went up 1 pt yesterday to 8.5          very tough game  maybe a stay away  but as of right now i think i would lay 8 pts with NT to be honest  

    St Joes-5  1 unit  

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    went and added St Joes -5 tonight  , just not sure how motivated UAB is in this game after losing to memphis and costing themselves a place in the NCAA tourney, b oth teams do well after a loss, st joes is 12-3 str up as a home favorite, and i just think they maybe want to be here, they knew they were not going to the big one,  just how i feel about this one  , and St joes is a much better balanced team as they are ranked 79th by kenpom and 97th in offense eff, and 72nd in defensive eff, and UAB though ranked 36th on offensive eff, they are 268th in defensive eff , they cant stop anyone, always like a better defensive team, when the offenses are pretty close,

    ..its what is keeping me away from betting Furman today vs N Texas, N texas just very strong on defense and they are actually decent on offense when at home, i mean you got Furman who last 3 games is avg 86 pts a game but they are giving up 82, and N Texas last 3 are avg 65 and giving up 64  and at home N Texas is avg 71 pts and giving up just 59   i like the furman team but i just cannot see them scoring 80 pts against this NT defense and furman is shooting well last 3 games 51% and 46% from 3  but i doubt they will be anything like that vs NT, but i do think NT may be able to shoot well vs Furman, who do give up a lot of points, at home NT is shooting 48% and 37% from 3  this line went up 1 pt yesterday to 8.5          very tough game  maybe a stay away  but as of right now i think i would lay 8 pts with NT to be honest  

    St Joes-5  1 unit  

     
    Fuzzer44
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 9:23 AM ET #78

    @RUM151

     I agree with you on liking the better defensive team. A good stat I believe I read here on Covers is since 2012, out of all the final 4 teams til present, only 5 were not in the top 40 in defensive efficiency. So we’ll say 43 out of 48 teams-top 40.

    Good luck during tournament tho I don’t think you ever have a losing day, at least in collet bb.

    an_cheers  clover  an_2drinks

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    @RUM151

     I agree with you on liking the better defensive team. A good stat I believe I read here on Covers is since 2012, out of all the final 4 teams til present, only 5 were not in the top 40 in defensive efficiency. So we’ll say 43 out of 48 teams-top 40.

    Good luck during tournament tho I don’t think you ever have a losing day, at least in collet bb.

    an_cheers  clover  an_2drinks

     
    capper4ever
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 9:30 AM ET #79

    N Texas/Furman under is appealing at all? I kinda compared what Furman did against UNC Greensboro and they couldn't score in either game

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    N Texas/Furman under is appealing at all? I kinda compared what Furman did against UNC Greensboro and they couldn't score in either game

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 9:58 AM ET #80

    @Fuzzer44

     yes i have  nothing ever really bad thank god  , but i can have some really awsome days  , just have to stay away from bad days 

    ty for your comment  my thread is always open to any comments about handicapping or picking games  even if against what i like  im always up to hearing what others think , 

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    @Fuzzer44

     yes i have  nothing ever really bad thank god  , but i can have some really awsome days  , just have to stay away from bad days 

    ty for your comment  my thread is always open to any comments about handicapping or picking games  even if against what i like  im always up to hearing what others think , 

     
    UnrankedChamp
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 10:01 AM ET #81

    Full point on Xavier -130, half pt on American -120? Us long time followers need transparency  


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    Full point on Xavier -130, half pt on American -120? Us long time followers need transparency  


     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 10:04 AM ET #82

    also San Fran is without their best shooter tonight Marcus Williams  leads the team in assist and 3 pt shooting % 41%  so they are going to miss him alot , i was favoring utah valley because of it...i do favor dayton also, very good away from home this year , and have played well against top teams , also  Loyola i like  and G Mason at home i think, if they play defense like they can they should win and cover, samford high powered offense for sure, but g mason is sound defensively   these are not plays yet  just as i have been going through them, it is who i am leaning to    still pissed i did not play the OVER in the chattanooga game i did put a opinion out on it, but i should have played it   need a nap  was up at 4 am had a 5am run to the airport and i am tired    

     

    gl 151

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    also San Fran is without their best shooter tonight Marcus Williams  leads the team in assist and 3 pt shooting % 41%  so they are going to miss him alot , i was favoring utah valley because of it...i do favor dayton also, very good away from home this year , and have played well against top teams , also  Loyola i like  and G Mason at home i think, if they play defense like they can they should win and cover, samford high powered offense for sure, but g mason is sound defensively   these are not plays yet  just as i have been going through them, it is who i am leaning to    still pissed i did not play the OVER in the chattanooga game i did put a opinion out on it, but i should have played it   need a nap  was up at 4 am had a 5am run to the airport and i am tired    

     

    gl 151

     
    ALEXSON
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 10:34 AM ET #83

    Good luck today my friend.

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    Good luck today my friend.

     
    mak104
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 1:09 PM ET #84

    BOL Rum.

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    BOL Rum.

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 2:41 PM ET #85

    @UnrankedChamp

     i bet Xavier the day they became the favorite , before anyone else did  so   keep up 

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    @UnrankedChamp

     i bet Xavier the day they became the favorite , before anyone else did  so   keep up 

     
    CCO687
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 2:44 PM ET #86

    an_cheersclover

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    an_cheersclover

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 2:48 PM ET #87

    @Mskeets

     why i hate betting unders 

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    @Mskeets

     why i hate betting unders 

     
    oohhungry
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 2:49 PM ET #88

    @UnrankedChamp

     You’re literally the only one who gives a fuck. If u ain’t feelin his thread don’t join. Everyday same shit with you. 

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    @UnrankedChamp

     You’re literally the only one who gives a fuck. If u ain’t feelin his thread don’t join. Everyday same shit with you. 

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 3:00 PM ET #89

    nothing worse than a Heckler who does not have his facts straight, game was bet on the 16th , whats even funnier is he will praise others who bet it days later, Xavier opened at -1  i got -2 -115 and even posted the juice   but thats not good enough, how could you get it at 2 3 days ago??? (((YAWWWWWNNN)))

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    nothing worse than a Heckler who does not have his facts straight, game was bet on the 16th , whats even funnier is he will praise others who bet it days later, Xavier opened at -1  i got -2 -115 and even posted the juice   but thats not good enough, how could you get it at 2 3 days ago??? (((YAWWWWWNNN)))

     
    Coloneljim
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 3:07 PM ET #90

    Good luck Rum. clover Thanks for the write ups. Solid work on the picks my friend win

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    Good luck Rum. clover Thanks for the write ups. Solid work on the picks my friend win

     
    CheesyPicks
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 3:49 PM ET #91

    GET IT RUM! LOVING THE PLAYS AND THE INSIGHT

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    GET IT RUM! LOVING THE PLAYS AND THE INSIGHT

     
    ruffandready
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 3:56 PM ET #92

    Enjoy your write-ups.Thanks!!!!  clover

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    Enjoy your write-ups.Thanks!!!!  clover

     
    Mskeets
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 5:05 PM ET #93

    Few thoughts rum… anything on the 2bradley guys out… and only time I saw Irvine play was the final game where ucsd beat em good… I’d saw northern Colorado can stay 7 of them.    No hurry.   Thoughts.   ?

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    Few thoughts rum… anything on the 2bradley guys out… and only time I saw Irvine play was the final game where ucsd beat em good… I’d saw northern Colorado can stay 7 of them.    No hurry.   Thoughts.   ?

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 5:17 PM ET #94

    going to go with a tougher one here, I am going to take Dayton +1.5 , this line opened as Dayton -1 I think, so its a 2.5 pt line move , I like how Dayton has played some very good teams early on this year and did well, and away dog  they are 2-0 STR up , both teams are coming off a loss, FAU off a loss are 7-7 STR up and 6-8 ats and Dayton is 6-3 STR up and 5-4 ats , Dayton 5-2 ats as a dog, and 2-0 ats as a a way dog, Dayton has lost 3 of their last 11 games, none of those losses are by more than 5 points, FAU has lost 2 of their last 3 homes games, no injuries listed for Dayton, FAU has 3 listed but no one important    Dayton+1.5  1 unit 

    also I think I would favor the OVER in this game 153   but I am not playing   also I could not buy any pts for this game 

    gl  151

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    going to go with a tougher one here, I am going to take Dayton +1.5 , this line opened as Dayton -1 I think, so its a 2.5 pt line move , I like how Dayton has played some very good teams early on this year and did well, and away dog  they are 2-0 STR up , both teams are coming off a loss, FAU off a loss are 7-7 STR up and 6-8 ats and Dayton is 6-3 STR up and 5-4 ats , Dayton 5-2 ats as a dog, and 2-0 ats as a a way dog, Dayton has lost 3 of their last 11 games, none of those losses are by more than 5 points, FAU has lost 2 of their last 3 homes games, no injuries listed for Dayton, FAU has 3 listed but no one important    Dayton+1.5  1 unit 

    also I think I would favor the OVER in this game 153   but I am not playing   also I could not buy any pts for this game 

    gl  151

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 5:19 PM ET #95

    @Mskeets

     

     yes they are missing just one of the 2  the one decided to play, and in my opinion he is the better of the 2 , both were starters, but that I think is why this line went back up, it did drop from 4.5 to 2.5 yesterday   and now is back to 4.5 ...yes looked over these games last night, did not really come to a play   but did lean to col st, I watched Irvine play their last game and they did not look good but that was against UCSD, who are really good on defense and can score, its why many are looking at UCSD vs Michigan 

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    @Mskeets

     

     yes they are missing just one of the 2  the one decided to play, and in my opinion he is the better of the 2 , both were starters, but that I think is why this line went back up, it did drop from 4.5 to 2.5 yesterday   and now is back to 4.5 ...yes looked over these games last night, did not really come to a play   but did lean to col st, I watched Irvine play their last game and they did not look good but that was against UCSD, who are really good on defense and can score, its why many are looking at UCSD vs Michigan 

     
    Mskeets
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 5:26 PM ET #96

    @RUM151

     10-4.  I’m going with n colo plus.    Appreciate your time n efforts.  

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    @RUM151

     10-4.  I’m going with n colo plus.    Appreciate your time n efforts.  

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 5:55 PM ET #97

    as I said I look at every game, because I have the time, and its just what I enjoy doing, now it has its faults because I end up seeing games I like and it leads to me betting more games maybe, but I think it helps in the long run by just knowing more about a lot of teams, I think Loyola is a play tonight at San Jose, I mean San Jose got in this tourney at 15-19 and Loyola is like 21-11 , Loyola does everything well except ft shooting, and we all know how that can help or hurt ya late in games, and also SJ st has been very good ats this year 22-9-1 ats  , they had 2 very nice runs of covering winning 8 in a row and 9 in a row covering the spread, and they do tend to go over as they are 19-12-1 over this year    just think Loyola is better in so many ways, but they did travel a long way and ya just hope it does not come down to ft 's 

    Confirmation: 8573704

    Date Placed: 03/19/25 17:47:20
    Header:
    INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 116.00 win 100.00
    Bet Details:
    1. NIT TOURNAMENT - First Round 727 Loyola Chicago -3 Buy ½ (-116) risk 116.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men NIT Tournament)

     

    I may try Utah Valley +7   with San Fran main guy out  that could be huge 

     

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    as I said I look at every game, because I have the time, and its just what I enjoy doing, now it has its faults because I end up seeing games I like and it leads to me betting more games maybe, but I think it helps in the long run by just knowing more about a lot of teams, I think Loyola is a play tonight at San Jose, I mean San Jose got in this tourney at 15-19 and Loyola is like 21-11 , Loyola does everything well except ft shooting, and we all know how that can help or hurt ya late in games, and also SJ st has been very good ats this year 22-9-1 ats  , they had 2 very nice runs of covering winning 8 in a row and 9 in a row covering the spread, and they do tend to go over as they are 19-12-1 over this year    just think Loyola is better in so many ways, but they did travel a long way and ya just hope it does not come down to ft 's 

    Confirmation: 8573704

    Date Placed: 03/19/25 17:47:20
    Header:
    INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 116.00 win 100.00
    Bet Details:
    1. NIT TOURNAMENT - First Round 727 Loyola Chicago -3 Buy ½ (-116) risk 116.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men NIT Tournament)

     

    I may try Utah Valley +7   with San Fran main guy out  that could be huge 

     

     
    RUM151
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 6:23 PM ET #98

    PLAYS TODAY 

    Xavier-2  bet 3 days ago  

    American -2  

    Dayton +1.5  

    St Joes-5 

    Loyola Chicago -3  

    parlay over 131.5 NTexas/over 149.5 Xavier/Under 148.5 SMU  +518  half unit  

    opinion over 153 Dayton 

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    PLAYS TODAY 

    Xavier-2  bet 3 days ago  

    American -2  

    Dayton +1.5  

    St Joes-5 

    Loyola Chicago -3  

    parlay over 131.5 NTexas/over 149.5 Xavier/Under 148.5 SMU  +518  half unit  

    opinion over 153 Dayton 

     
    RUM151
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    Posts: 11237
    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 6:44 PM ET #99

    my God St Mary and American and making 3's  127 was the o/u  they got 15 in under 3 mins

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    my God St Mary and American and making 3's  127 was the o/u  they got 15 in under 3 mins

     
     
    RUM151
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    Posts: 11237
    Posted: Mar. 19, 2025 - 6:47 PM ET #100

    american bets are losers  American just lost their player of the year  he is gone  KNEE

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    american bets are losers  American just lost their player of the year  he is gone  KNEE

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