Next Play: South Dakota St +2.5 x 1U and HALF U ML +120 -wrong team favored here - SDST only gives up 68 pts a game and they score just as much as Utah Valley - Utah Valley give up far more points than they score Point differential is tipping toward South Dak St by +14 so they are good value in my eyes for the upset or close loss! -they would definitely make a great TEASER connector teased up 5 pts ! ....this should be a tight game until late when SDST defense takes over in the second half
@Last2thirst
0
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Next Play: South Dakota St +2.5 x 1U and HALF U ML +120 -wrong team favored here - SDST only gives up 68 pts a game and they score just as much as Utah Valley - Utah Valley give up far more points than they score Point differential is tipping toward South Dak St by +14 so they are good value in my eyes for the upset or close loss! -they would definitely make a great TEASER connector teased up 5 pts ! ....this should be a tight game until late when SDST defense takes over in the second half
-they only allowed 70 pts per game going into yesterday's game and brought that avg down to 65 now .....they will dictate the flow of the game for sure
- can I see them scoring more? Sure .... so I predict a 72 - 70 type of game or 70 - 68 and so I doubt it goes UNDER the total either way
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Not sure why it double posted....anyway....
Next Play: Abilene Under 147 x HALF U
-they only allowed 70 pts per game going into yesterday's game and brought that avg down to 65 now .....they will dictate the flow of the game for sure
- can I see them scoring more? Sure .... so I predict a 72 - 70 type of game or 70 - 68 and so I doubt it goes UNDER the total either way
I think I will search for maybe one more game and enjoy the evening watching tv...putting my feet up.... GL if you followed. Look for one late play maybe later
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
I think I will search for maybe one more game and enjoy the evening watching tv...putting my feet up.... GL if you followed. Look for one late play maybe later
7 - 4 +4.5 Unit day and I shut it down when I could sense I was pressing a little and lots of games left...... that is better than blowing your brains out from too many plays....went 7 - 1 to start and should have stopped there but its still fun.
Season Record:
51 - 33 ATS (Data Plays) > +20 Units gain ...down money on hunch plays and exotics but those are just dabbles
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
7 - 4 +4.5 Unit day and I shut it down when I could sense I was pressing a little and lots of games left...... that is better than blowing your brains out from too many plays....went 7 - 1 to start and should have stopped there but its still fun.
Season Record:
51 - 33 ATS (Data Plays) > +20 Units gain ...down money on hunch plays and exotics but those are just dabbles
- I checked this team out for someone before the season started....kid has an offer from Ontario to go there and a couple others like Wisc Gr Bay....told him to go here because of their international mix and good program
-their season is going great so far and they are +28 pt differential vs VMI
- the spread alone covers what they do on offense vs VMI per game
Play #2 - Vandy Over 167.5 x HALF U
- W.Kentucky scores 88 avg and Vandy scores 103 avg...... shave 20 off and we still hit over 170!!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
WednesdayPlay #1 - Bowling Green -11 x HALF U
- I checked this team out for someone before the season started....kid has an offer from Ontario to go there and a couple others like Wisc Gr Bay....told him to go here because of their international mix and good program
-their season is going great so far and they are +28 pt differential vs VMI
- the spread alone covers what they do on offense vs VMI per game
Play #2 - Vandy Over 167.5 x HALF U
- W.Kentucky scores 88 avg and Vandy scores 103 avg...... shave 20 off and we still hit over 170!!
One thing I do not like about today.....there are a lot of teams playing a 3rd day in a row. How will they perform? How much of their bench are they using vs the 2nd game of a team they are playing with their philosophy? It is really hard to gauge so I am looking for teams that had a night off facing a team on a back to back ....or a fresh team.
I do like this Gonzaga - Michigan matchup and will have something to say on it. Zaga has been improving all year long and Michigan too....but Michigan's stats are not quite as good in my opinion
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
One thing I do not like about today.....there are a lot of teams playing a 3rd day in a row. How will they perform? How much of their bench are they using vs the 2nd game of a team they are playing with their philosophy? It is really hard to gauge so I am looking for teams that had a night off facing a team on a back to back ....or a fresh team.
I do like this Gonzaga - Michigan matchup and will have something to say on it. Zaga has been improving all year long and Michigan too....but Michigan's stats are not quite as good in my opinion
- Houston is getting 'comfortable' with playing more uptempo and relaxing the defense in this tourney
- I think rotating some players will spark the defense BUT..... once again, Houston is playing a team that scores on average more than they do by a considerable amount and they have a decent defense but not nearly as good as Houston
- I can see a 70 - 65 type of game and maybe 72 -63
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Play #3 - Houston/ND Over 133 x 1U
Play #4 - Notre Dame +12 x HALF U
- Houston is getting 'comfortable' with playing more uptempo and relaxing the defense in this tourney
- I think rotating some players will spark the defense BUT..... once again, Houston is playing a team that scores on average more than they do by a considerable amount and they have a decent defense but not nearly as good as Houston
- I can see a 70 - 65 type of game and maybe 72 -63
- They score 85+ pts per game and give up 81+ which has been rising
-Air Force has a rising scoring total as well to just over 70 now and they give up 72 a game
- both teams have had 3 or more days off and I expect NCO to hit 80+ points and Air Force to get their 70 which should move the total Over quite easily
Looking for more and will not likely take any lines where the teams have played a third game in a row tonight
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
6pm game I like:
N.Colorado Over 145 x 1.5U
N.Col -5 x 1U
- They score 85+ pts per game and give up 81+ which has been rising
-Air Force has a rising scoring total as well to just over 70 now and they give up 72 a game
- both teams have had 3 or more days off and I expect NCO to hit 80+ points and Air Force to get their 70 which should move the total Over quite easily
Looking for more and will not likely take any lines where the teams have played a third game in a row tonight
- this team scores 79+ pts per game and gives up just under 70 pts
- their opponent only scores 59.5 ...one of the worst in college and gives up 13 more pts than they score which tells me, when they get down, they get down and out
AS MY OLE BUDDY from CFB used to say.....this one is a 'Smash-dot- com' play
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
UNC Wilmington -10.5 x 3U
- this team scores 79+ pts per game and gives up just under 70 pts
- their opponent only scores 59.5 ...one of the worst in college and gives up 13 more pts than they score which tells me, when they get down, they get down and out
AS MY OLE BUDDY from CFB used to say.....this one is a 'Smash-dot- com' play
- this one checks the boxes 3 ways > poor ATS record with rank zones correlated and terrible spread ATS for favorite and my point differential is only 12-13 pts so I am getting +11 pts on the spread
E.Michigan +23 x 1U vs Cincy
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
I have a FADE play that is pretty decent....
- this one checks the boxes 3 ways > poor ATS record with rank zones correlated and terrible spread ATS for favorite and my point differential is only 12-13 pts so I am getting +11 pts on the spread
Play #3 - Houston/ND Over 133 x 1U Play #4 - Notre Dame +12 x HALF U - Houston is getting 'comfortable' with playing more uptempo and relaxing the defense in this tourney - I think rotating some players will spark the defense BUT..... once again, Houston is playing a team that scores on average more than they do by a considerable amount and they have a decent defense but not nearly as good as Houston - I can see a 70 - 65 type of game and maybe 72 -63
Fighting Irish with back door cover!!!
1
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Play #3 - Houston/ND Over 133 x 1U Play #4 - Notre Dame +12 x HALF U - Houston is getting 'comfortable' with playing more uptempo and relaxing the defense in this tourney - I think rotating some players will spark the defense BUT..... once again, Houston is playing a team that scores on average more than they do by a considerable amount and they have a decent defense but not nearly as good as Houston - I can see a 70 - 65 type of game and maybe 72 -63
- both teams can score 75 pts roughly but Columbia's defense pts against is 9 pts better and I can see them working a tough game here vs an even opponent to a score of 74 - 71
- tread lightly as OT has potential but I see a 2-3 point win for one side
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Columbia - Fairfield Under 149.5 x HALF U
- both teams can score 75 pts roughly but Columbia's defense pts against is 9 pts better and I can see them working a tough game here vs an even opponent to a score of 74 - 71
- tread lightly as OT has potential but I see a 2-3 point win for one side
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Play #3 - Houston/ND Over 133 x 1U Play #4 - Notre Dame +12 x HALF U - Houston is getting 'comfortable' with playing more uptempo and relaxing the defense in this tourney - I think rotating some players will spark the defense BUT..... once again, Houston is playing a team that scores on average more than they do by a considerable amount and they have a decent defense but not nearly as good as Houston - I can see a 70 - 65 type of game and maybe 72 -63 Fighting Irish with back door cover!!!
Ya baby ...unfortunately, I thought the OVER points was the better way to play so I lose a HALF U on that game....it won't matter if I get my SMASH DOT COM play come in >>> UNC Wilmington!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
1
Quote Originally Posted by FelixFermin21:
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Play #3 - Houston/ND Over 133 x 1U Play #4 - Notre Dame +12 x HALF U - Houston is getting 'comfortable' with playing more uptempo and relaxing the defense in this tourney - I think rotating some players will spark the defense BUT..... once again, Houston is playing a team that scores on average more than they do by a considerable amount and they have a decent defense but not nearly as good as Houston - I can see a 70 - 65 type of game and maybe 72 -63 Fighting Irish with back door cover!!!
Ya baby ...unfortunately, I thought the OVER points was the better way to play so I lose a HALF U on that game....it won't matter if I get my SMASH DOT COM play come in >>> UNC Wilmington!
Under Kentucky 157 x HALF U - they are playing a team that knows how to play defense so I doubt Kentucky scores over 95 pts - Tenn Tech scores 70-71 pts on average and I think they can get 55-60 and if they don't, even better for my UNDER
What a pissoff!! This did not have to go OVER but Kentucky is jacking 3's from 89 to 104 pts with just over 3 minutes....its almost like a coach or big donor has OVER on this game......wow!!!
They could have run out clock but they only stopped after 158 was hit....man, that's gambling but fishy as fuk
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Under Kentucky 157 x HALF U - they are playing a team that knows how to play defense so I doubt Kentucky scores over 95 pts - Tenn Tech scores 70-71 pts on average and I think they can get 55-60 and if they don't, even better for my UNDER
What a pissoff!! This did not have to go OVER but Kentucky is jacking 3's from 89 to 104 pts with just over 3 minutes....its almost like a coach or big donor has OVER on this game......wow!!!
They could have run out clock but they only stopped after 158 was hit....man, that's gambling but fishy as fuk
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.