Posted:
#1
ok well please no comments to those that seek trouble just ignore
got one play will be posting today sometime
USF +6.5 only bet in
gl everyone 151
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NEW TOURNEY THREAD 151
Posted:
#9
one game i am interested in is the wed game between Lehigh and PV, if ya followed me you know i have been on PV there last 3 games and they not only covered as a dog but they won outright, and the way they won the last 2 games was interesting because in both they jumped on teams early in the 1st half to grab like 10-12pt leads then just maintain the lead, which does show something to be up and just maintain it or even extend it , vs alabama am they were up 15 at half and won by like 19 as a dog, and in their last game they again jumped out to a 22-13 lead 10 mins into the game and were ahead by 13 at half and were up as much as 21 pts in 2nd but held on this time never giving up the lead to win by 6 it was down to 2 with 40 sec's left but they did what they were suppose to
now Lehigh is a 3 pt shooting team, thats what they are known for, PV is not, PV relies on press defense, forcing turnovers, and getting to the ft line where they are 18th in avg shots 25 and 14th in made fts at 19 , neither team has a bench, neither team is very good at rebounding, PV plays 5 guys and 2 subs who avged 9 mins last game, 3 starters went 40 mins ...i will be on PV why would i get off a hot horse now who has won last 4 games outright as a dog, i think they were a dog vs alcorn st not sure they are +4.5 -130 right now and may just bet it today
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Posted:
#12
@je2851
i do not see this line dropping, the only thing is it may go up, so i am waiting till tonight, if no line movement i am grabbing 4.5
also i do not try to look ahead too much, or give out who i think will get to the finals of each braacket, because then id maybe start betting on thise teams, after all if i think they will get there its like tipping off who ya like, and maybe have to play then, ill fill out my brackets usually 2 that i really think might happen, then maybe 2 more where i pick opposite in thise really close ones
anyone have a group on the espn brackets??? id like to join one for fun or 2 maybe
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Posted:
#17
adding Liberty +4.5 tonight, i am not sure what happened to Liberty while playing their tourney, but i am thinking they regroup tonight and put a good game together, they have not covered well their last 7 but i am not a big fan of G.Mason either Liberty is 10-2 str up away this year so going with that they play well away
Liberty +4.5 -120
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Posted:
#19
well got 2 of my favorite teams to bet on this year playing tonight, SFA @ Tulsa but with Tulsa i liked betting their TT over or maybe the over on their games, But SFA was a very good team to bet on when they were on the road this year, as they were 12-3 str up away this year and were 3-1 ats as an away dog, they just seemed to play really well away, and tulsa did not look real good in their last game of the year, just not sure how pumped up teams are for being in the NIT but i am going to try SFA here getting 7.5 on the road, i think they could have a shot at winning this if they can keep tulsa in the 70's and they should be able too, this total for this game is 150 which i think also points to a SFA cover here, should be a 77-74 type of game
- Lumberjacks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hot: Lumberjacks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Hot: Lumberjacks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Hot: Under is 3-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Hot: Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a straight up loss.
- Hot: Over is 23-5 in Golden Hurricane last 28 overall.
- Hot: Over is 4-1 in Lumberjacks last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
SFA +7.5 -120
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Posted:
#20
well going to go ahead and take NC st ML for their game vs Texas tonight, this is a good matchup and to be honest you can make a case for going either way, but i like the offense of NC st in this game, i do think the over 156.5 or 157 could be worth a try, Texas has had games where they can score points, the OVER has some very good trends to support the over play also....neither team has been good at covering lately, but going with what i think may be the better offensive team here, last 3 games Texas has given up about 89 pts a game, and NC st is avg last 3 about 85 pts a game, thats why i favor the over tonight also and most likely will be a play
- Over is 7-0 in Longhorns last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Hot: Over is 6-0 in Wolfpack last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Hot: Over is 5-0-1 in Wolfpack last 6 Tuesday games.
- Hot: Over is 4-0 in Wolfpack last 4 neutral site games.
- Hot: Over is 10-1 in Wolfpack last 11 games following a straight up loss.
- Hot: Over is 23-4-1 in Wolfpack last 28 overall.
NC st ML
strong lean Over 157
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Posted:
#21
adding a teaser play for tonight taking UMBC+3.5/UNLV+6.5 like both these tonight maybe str up but going this route
teaser unbc+3.5/UNLV+6.5
i hope i have not made things to hard to follow....lol i mean bets are in early enough
plays today
NC st ML
SFA +7.5
Liberty +4.5
teaser UMBC+3.5/UNLV +6.5
and a 4 team parlay with my focus game being st thomas i am buying up to 3.5
Wyoming +8.5/UNCW +6.5/Okla st ML/St thomas +3.5 +494 +33% bonus half unit if one of the early ones lose i will most likely bet st thomas i am hoping the 1st 3 come through then ill have a 50.00 bet to win 300+ on st thomas
gl everyone 151
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Posted:
#24
kind of favoring Troy +13.5 vs Nebraska i think Nebraska maybe slipped a little and Troy did end up winning their tourney but they started playing like they did early in the year, they had some decent wins early it was my 1st bet of the year taking Troy at Kent st where they won outright, they also beat Furman at Furman, they beat san diego st at SD st and beat UAB at uab ,lost at USC by 1 point early in the year they were scoring a lot of points also i think 13.5 is a lot
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