-GTECH are what they are.... 67 pts scored per game and a tough defense that allows 62 per game
-GSOUTH is very offensive with an avg over 90 pts per game......I see that being tested here and held to 70-75 pts on the visitors court......GTECH, I can see them upping their total too but no way do I see this going over 160....UNLESS, GTECH decides to play to their opponents pace
I am betting they don't
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
G-South/GTech UNDER 164.4 x 2U
-GTECH are what they are.... 67 pts scored per game and a tough defense that allows 62 per game
-GSOUTH is very offensive with an avg over 90 pts per game......I see that being tested here and held to 70-75 pts on the visitors court......GTECH, I can see them upping their total too but no way do I see this going over 160....UNLESS, GTECH decides to play to their opponents pace
Data Play #1 > Yale -8.5 x 3U after I placed my bet, the line dropped ....its unrealistic to hit almost every great correlation and obviously, this one did not!!
Data Play #2 Tuesday - South Carolina -10.5 x HALF U
Hunch Play - James Madison ML and +2.5 (HALF U each)
DATA Play #3 Longwood -17.5 x 1U
New Haven +25.5 x HALF U
Seton Hall Over 126.5 x HALF U
Vermont - Buffalo Over 141.5 x 1U
Columbia -5 x HALF U PUSH
UNC Wilm -6 x HALF U
Kent St -10 x HALF U
...and Over 161 x HALF U
G-South/GTech UNDER 164.4 x 2U ...this almost covers my best play 3U loss
10 - 2 - 1 (+3U) today
Overall now: 27 - 14 (+10.5 Units)
I'm on fire a little since I started doing an additional stat correlation using Totals..... wow...hope it keeps going but you know how betting works, you hit a cold patch
Cracked the top 100 now in Kings:
11/18/2025 8-0-1 94.44% +4000 Detail << still have some more open games 11/17/2025 14-4-1 76.32% +4800 Detail 11/16/2025 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
TUESDAY PLAY RESULTS:
Data Play #1 > Yale -8.5 x 3U after I placed my bet, the line dropped ....its unrealistic to hit almost every great correlation and obviously, this one did not!!
Data Play #2 Tuesday - South Carolina -10.5 x HALF U
Hunch Play - James Madison ML and +2.5 (HALF U each)
DATA Play #3 Longwood -17.5 x 1U
New Haven +25.5 x HALF U
Seton Hall Over 126.5 x HALF U
Vermont - Buffalo Over 141.5 x 1U
Columbia -5 x HALF U PUSH
UNC Wilm -6 x HALF U
Kent St -10 x HALF U
...and Over 161 x HALF U
G-South/GTech UNDER 164.4 x 2U ...this almost covers my best play 3U loss
10 - 2 - 1 (+3U) today
Overall now: 27 - 14 (+10.5 Units)
I'm on fire a little since I started doing an additional stat correlation using Totals..... wow...hope it keeps going but you know how betting works, you hit a cold patch
Cracked the top 100 now in Kings:
11/18/2025 8-0-1 94.44% +4000 Detail << still have some more open games 11/17/2025 14-4-1 76.32% +4800 Detail 11/16/2025 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
I just went through the 7pm and 7:30pm games and the TOTALS are interesting.....almost a reverse of last night so starting to look at lines right now concentrating on OVERS/UNDERS to begin with.
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
I just went through the 7pm and 7:30pm games and the TOTALS are interesting.....almost a reverse of last night so starting to look at lines right now concentrating on OVERS/UNDERS to begin with.
-they score a gawdy 121 pt avg at home and 91 avg overall and MTSU is ranked 135th averaging 77 pts
-give MTSU 70 Pts and Michigan 95 pts conservatively....and it blows over this number easily
-MTSU is ranked higher than Michigan for pts allowed at 133rd best and Michigan in the 170's rank percentile ...so give MTSU 75 pts and Michigan only 90 and you still hit the number ....even an 86 - 72 score covers it
Notre Dame Over 150.5 x HALF U
-Notre Dame avg 89.7 per game at home and 83 avg....facing one of the 5 worst defenses for pts allowing 98 avg
-ND should hit 90 pts easily..... Bellarmine has a good avg scoring themselves and even if they hit their 62 avg for the road, this sails over the number
- I can see a 92-64 type of score....even 88-63 covers me
Howard - Stetson Under 149.5 x HALF U
I see a similar type of game by both.....and rank....Howard averages 69.7 at home so far but playing first roadie so I expect them to be near their average vs a weaker opponent..... Stetson avgs 62.7 all on the road...give them 70 for this game and I see a 72-70 type of score...maybe a touch higher
Spreads:
Temple -5.5 x 2U
-deadly team at home with an 81 Pts per game average vs 78 for Hostra BUT ....Temple only allows 68 at home while Hofstra allows over 80 pts
-rank correlation points to a positive record also
Richmond -13.5 x 1U
-VMI gives up 90 on the road and Richmond scores 88 on average....big gulf between rankings....this one will not work out well for VMI in my opinion
-positive spread ATS rate for Richmond's ranking
UNC Asheville +1.5 x HALF U
-better ranking and team....score more than WCU and give up fewer pts .....almost 100 pts ranked better as well
Might have some plays for 8 pm and later....just need to take a break
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
7 o'clock game Totals:
Michigan Over 157.5 x 1U
-they score a gawdy 121 pt avg at home and 91 avg overall and MTSU is ranked 135th averaging 77 pts
-give MTSU 70 Pts and Michigan 95 pts conservatively....and it blows over this number easily
-MTSU is ranked higher than Michigan for pts allowed at 133rd best and Michigan in the 170's rank percentile ...so give MTSU 75 pts and Michigan only 90 and you still hit the number ....even an 86 - 72 score covers it
Notre Dame Over 150.5 x HALF U
-Notre Dame avg 89.7 per game at home and 83 avg....facing one of the 5 worst defenses for pts allowing 98 avg
-ND should hit 90 pts easily..... Bellarmine has a good avg scoring themselves and even if they hit their 62 avg for the road, this sails over the number
- I can see a 92-64 type of score....even 88-63 covers me
Howard - Stetson Under 149.5 x HALF U
I see a similar type of game by both.....and rank....Howard averages 69.7 at home so far but playing first roadie so I expect them to be near their average vs a weaker opponent..... Stetson avgs 62.7 all on the road...give them 70 for this game and I see a 72-70 type of score...maybe a touch higher
Spreads:
Temple -5.5 x 2U
-deadly team at home with an 81 Pts per game average vs 78 for Hostra BUT ....Temple only allows 68 at home while Hofstra allows over 80 pts
-rank correlation points to a positive record also
Richmond -13.5 x 1U
-VMI gives up 90 on the road and Richmond scores 88 on average....big gulf between rankings....this one will not work out well for VMI in my opinion
-positive spread ATS rate for Richmond's ranking
UNC Asheville +1.5 x HALF U
-better ranking and team....score more than WCU and give up fewer pts .....almost 100 pts ranked better as well
Might have some plays for 8 pm and later....just need to take a break
-25th best defense against scoring vs Harvard at 34th best ..... Penn St has been a dominant home court over the past 15 yrs or so when two teams of similar ability or a weaker team plays them
-pts per game is 12 pts different for Penn St....I think they can win this game by 15-20 pts by simply outplaying them on defense, and hitting their shots and transition game that a 312th rank team will not be as good as Penn St at 69th best
Lining up my 8pm and later games now...
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Adding:
Penn St -12.5 x HALF U
-25th best defense against scoring vs Harvard at 34th best ..... Penn St has been a dominant home court over the past 15 yrs or so when two teams of similar ability or a weaker team plays them
-pts per game is 12 pts different for Penn St....I think they can win this game by 15-20 pts by simply outplaying them on defense, and hitting their shots and transition game that a 312th rank team will not be as good as Penn St at 69th best
-UMass has a terrible defense giving up 98 but Bradley does not generate huge points ...69 avg and 76 at home....give them 82-84 tops at home....Bradley is 83rd for pts allowed and UMASSLow do not score well on the road so give them 64 pts tops
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Later Game:
Bradley UNDER 149 x HALF U
-UMass has a terrible defense giving up 98 but Bradley does not generate huge points ...69 avg and 76 at home....give them 82-84 tops at home....Bradley is 83rd for pts allowed and UMASSLow do not score well on the road so give them 64 pts tops
-they are ranked 63rd for points allowed with only 67 pts and that is around the avg that Lipscomb scores.....Lipscomb is terrible at giving up pts on defense ranked way above 300th worst so with Belmont already scoring almost 15 pts better on offense, I think they should cruise in this game with this line
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Belmont -12.5 x 1U
-they are ranked 63rd for points allowed with only 67 pts and that is around the avg that Lipscomb scores.....Lipscomb is terrible at giving up pts on defense ranked way above 300th worst so with Belmont already scoring almost 15 pts better on offense, I think they should cruise in this game with this line
Thursday: 1 play so far..... Troy/USC Over 160.5 x 1U -Troy is one of the highest scoring teams and USC likes to score as well...this should be a track meet
Never in doubt??
1
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Thursday: 1 play so far..... Troy/USC Over 160.5 x 1U -Troy is one of the highest scoring teams and USC likes to score as well...this should be a track meet
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after I placed my bet, the line dropped 
....its unrealistic to hit almost every great correlation and obviously, this one did not!!
...this almost covers my best play 3U loss 
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