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    All Forums | College Basketball

    2012 Kempom System

    «First Previous 676869 ... 777879 Next Last»
    JEFFTHEHAT
    BaggerVANCE
    mattykid130713
    TRAIN69
    mikeshots13
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 495608
    Posts: 1969
    «First Previous 676869 ... 777879 Next Last»
     
    JEFFTHEHAT
    JEFFTHEHAT
    Banned
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    Joined: Aug, 2010
    Posts: 3843
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 10:50 AM ET #1651

    The odds makers know more than all of us put together when creating a line. 
    Reply
    The odds makers know more than all of us put together when creating a line. 
     
    BaggerVANCE
    BaggerVANCE
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2013
    Posts: 846
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 11:27 AM ET #1652

    exactly Jeff... it's all about minimizing the distance between what they know and what youre capable of figuring out
    Reply
    exactly Jeff... it's all about minimizing the distance between what they know and what youre capable of figuring out
     
    mattykid130713
    mattykid130713
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2014
    Posts: 18
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 4:37 PM ET #1653

    Do we have a play for the games tonight???
    Reply
    Do we have a play for the games tonight???
     
    TRAIN69
    TRAIN69
    Legend
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    Joined: Oct, 2002
    Posts: 55735
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 4:46 PM ET #1654

    Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

    The odds makers know more than all of us put together when creating a line. 
    Not entirely true. Some people that follow a team exclusively have a better bead on their squad than number crunchers.

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

    The odds makers know more than all of us put together when creating a line. 
    Not entirely true. Some people that follow a team exclusively have a better bead on their squad than number crunchers.

     

     
    mikeshots13
    mikeshots13
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    Joined: Feb, 2014
    Posts: 18
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 6:51 PM ET #1655

    I just wanted to provide you guys with some (hopefully) useful info.  Since Smith has been out, the line on Austin Peay has been drastically off 2 of the last 3 games.  You can look at it 2 ways...if Vegas is assuming he is not playing and the current line is already taking that into consideration then is it really a system play.  If its not taking it into consideration, then you would assume they would be getting even more points.  I wish you all luck with this tonight no matter which way you go...I personally will be watching this one from the sidelines with no vested stake.

    It would be interesting if after all my comments, he goes and plays tonight.

    Reply

    I just wanted to provide you guys with some (hopefully) useful info.  Since Smith has been out, the line on Austin Peay has been drastically off 2 of the last 3 games.  You can look at it 2 ways...if Vegas is assuming he is not playing and the current line is already taking that into consideration then is it really a system play.  If its not taking it into consideration, then you would assume they would be getting even more points.  I wish you all luck with this tonight no matter which way you go...I personally will be watching this one from the sidelines with no vested stake.

    It would be interesting if after all my comments, he goes and plays tonight.

     
    ryno23
    ryno23
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    Posts: 3020
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 7:14 PM ET #1656

    Quote Originally Posted by mattykid130713:

    Do we have a play for the games tonight???

     

    hey guys...don't know what happened but I posted earlier....1 play:

    Austin peay +13.....cant find it or it never go submitted..gl  ryno

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by mattykid130713:

    Do we have a play for the games tonight???

     

    hey guys...don't know what happened but I posted earlier....1 play:

    Austin peay +13.....cant find it or it never go submitted..gl  ryno

     
    JimmyJet
    JimmyJet
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    Posts: 1332
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 7:43 PM ET #1657

    thanks ryno....on it at 12.5
    Reply
    thanks ryno....on it at 12.5
     
    DustinDo
    DustinDo
    Prospect
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    Joined: Sep, 2013
    Posts: 290
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 8:31 PM ET #1658

    Keep thid thread up!!! $$$$$
    Reply
    Keep thid thread up!!! $$$$$
     
    DJC
    DJC
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    Posts: 1223
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 9:03 PM ET #1659

    Dang I missed that play again! Gotta keep up with you winners lol
    Reply
    Dang I missed that play again! Gotta keep up with you winners lol
     
    TxPride
    TxPride
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    Posts: 548
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 9:43 PM ET #1660

    Almost another straight up winner in Peay! Covered the spread easily!
    Reply
    Almost another straight up winner in Peay! Covered the spread easily!
     
    jack4469
    jack4469
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    Posts: 515
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 9:47 PM ET #1661

    Good night again.lets look to tommmorrow now
    Reply
    Good night again.lets look to tommmorrow now
     
    TooHigh2WonderWhy
    TooHigh2WonderWhy
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    Posts: 782
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 9:52 PM ET #1662

    Great job whoever came up with. While this is working wonders for all, just wanted to ask if any of you think the betting pool of kenpom will ever be big enough for these games that the books will start shaving points?

    Also, what games qualify tomorrow?
    Reply
    Great job whoever came up with. While this is working wonders for all, just wanted to ask if any of you think the betting pool of kenpom will ever be big enough for these games that the books will start shaving points?

    Also, what games qualify tomorrow?
     
    jack4469
    jack4469
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    Posts: 515
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 10:43 PM ET #1663

    Rice      Tex arl.     Cal st full.  Forman.     Geo southern
    Reply
    Rice      Tex arl.     Cal st full.  Forman.     Geo southern
     
    jack4469
    jack4469
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    Posts: 515
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 10:57 PM ET #1664

    I am out and about not positive .i took. A quick look .please correct if wrong .thank you. Mad good luck
    Reply
    I am out and about not positive .i took. A quick look .please correct if wrong .thank you. Mad good luck
     
    uclalumnus
    uclalumnus
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    Posts: 3215
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 11:19 PM ET #1665

    Nice call on Peay guys
    Reply
    Nice call on Peay guys
     
    NewEra760
    NewEra760
    Prospect
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    Joined: Nov, 2011
    Posts: 29
    Posted: Feb. 19, 2014 - 11:36 PM ET #1666

    Quote Originally Posted by jack4469:

    Rice      Tex arl.     Cal st full.  Forman.     Geo southern

    Texans Arlington and Fullerton aren't official plays because they aren't double digits. Rice is borderline depending on where old dominion is ranked after all the games are finished. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jack4469:

    Rice      Tex arl.     Cal st full.  Forman.     Geo southern

    Texans Arlington and Fullerton aren't official plays because they aren't double digits. Rice is borderline depending on where old dominion is ranked after all the games are finished. 
     
    oreooreo1
    oreooreo1
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    Posts: 619
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 2:47 AM ET #1667

    Old Domino rank is 200 but line just under dd at 9.5 !
    Reply
    Old Domino rank is 200 but line just under dd at 9.5 !
     
    oreooreo1
    oreooreo1
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    Posts: 619
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 2:52 AM ET #1668

    Not sure about rice but sure looked like old domino has giving up on season the way they played against tulsa.Didn't show up at all!
    Reply
    Not sure about rice but sure looked like old domino has giving up on season the way they played against tulsa.Didn't show up at all!
     
    oreooreo1
    oreooreo1
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    Posts: 619
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 2:54 AM ET #1669

    But danny manning's got tulsa playing hard.
    Reply
    But danny manning's got tulsa playing hard.
     
    jack4469
    jack4469
    Rookie
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    Joined: Mar, 2007
    Posts: 515
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 3:42 AM ET #1670

    Ty Oreo.just made it home and saw the lines on heritage.have a good one and lets keep. Rolling.
    Reply
    Ty Oreo.just made it home and saw the lines on heritage.have a good one and lets keep. Rolling.
     
    oreooreo1
    oreooreo1
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    Posts: 619
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 3:49 AM ET #1671

    U r welcome, jack
    Reply
    U r welcome, jack
     
    pulltabpetey
    pulltabpetey
    Prospect
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    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 27
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 9:24 AM ET #1672

    Not sure of conf that it stays away from but think troy might be a play?
    Reply
    Not sure of conf that it stays away from but think troy might be a play?
     
    TxPride
    TxPride
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    Posts: 548
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 9:50 AM ET #1673

    Quote Originally Posted by pulltabpetey:

    Not sure of conf that it stays away from but think troy might be a play?

    Not an official play, since UL-L is #134 in rankings. But it is definitely worth looking at, since it is close to the #140. There are a few today that are close to qualifying that I'm looking a little closer at to see if I like. I know Ryno and Kine would tell you, if you like it, play it. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by pulltabpetey:

    Not sure of conf that it stays away from but think troy might be a play?

    Not an official play, since UL-L is #134 in rankings. But it is definitely worth looking at, since it is close to the #140. There are a few today that are close to qualifying that I'm looking a little closer at to see if I like. I know Ryno and Kine would tell you, if you like it, play it. 
     
    telemaco22
    telemaco22
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    Posts: 1894
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 1:37 PM ET #1674

    Quote Originally Posted by ryno23:

     

    hey guys...don't know what happened but I posted earlier....1 play:

    Austin peay +13.....cant find it or it never go submitted..gl  ryno

    ryno i dont see your post about Austin peay............please could you post the official plays  everyday, because another guys post different plays and that could confuse the player. thanks in advance.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ryno23:

     

    hey guys...don't know what happened but I posted earlier....1 play:

    Austin peay +13.....cant find it or it never go submitted..gl  ryno

    ryno i dont see your post about Austin peay............please could you post the official plays  everyday, because another guys post different plays and that could confuse the player. thanks in advance.

     
     
    JimmyJet
    JimmyJet
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    Posts: 1332
    Posted: Feb. 20, 2014 - 2:04 PM ET #1675

    I see Rice +9.5 borderline...Furman +13.5 and Georgia Southern +7.5. Not official but am playing these. Bet overnight lines.
    Reply
    I see Rice +9.5 borderline...Furman +13.5 and Georgia Southern +7.5. Not official but am playing these. Bet overnight lines.
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