F1 Canadian Grand Prix Prediction, Picks & Odds – Circuit Gilles Villeneuve 2026

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: May 20, 2026 , 11:41 AM ET • 4 min read

The F1 Canadian Grand Prix odds have their eyes on Kimi Antonelli and George Russell as F1 returns from a three-week hiatus.

Kimi Antonelli Mercedes Formula 1
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Kimi Antonelli celebrates his win at the 2026 Miami Grand Prix.

Formula 1 returns from a three-week hiatus with a trip to Montreal, Quebec, for the Canadian Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.

The Formula 1 odds board continues to run through the young Mercedes pairing of Kimi Antonelli and George Russell after a dominant start to the season.

I break it all down in our Canadian Grand Prix predictions below.

2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix odds

Driver Polymarket
Mercedes Kimi Antonelli 33%
Mercedes George Russell 32%
McLaren Lando Norris 14%
Red Bull Max Verstappen 9%
McLaren Oscar Piastri 8%
Ferrari Charles Leclerc 6%
Ferrari Lewis Hamilton 2%

Odds as of 5-20.

F1 Canadian Grand Prix 2026 pre-qualifying favorites

This Mercedes duo has been dominant to start the 2026 season. They are 1-2 in the Drivers' Standings, and Kimi Antonelli has now won three straight races after George Russell won the season opener in Australia.

As such, it's Antonelli atop the board with +203 odds and Russell just behind him at +213. In last year's edition, Russell won, and Antonelli finished third.

Lando Norris (+614) is third on the board after finishing runner-up and just 3.3 seconds behind Antonelli in Miami. Last year's champion currently sits fourth in this year's standings.

Three-time Canadian GP champ Max Verstappen (+1000) and Oscar Piastri (+1000) are the only others on the board with 10/1 odds or shorter. Piastri has had the more notable finishes lately, finishing second and third in his last two races. 

Verstappen has not finished better than fifth this season (Miami), but the four-time champion continues to loom large in Montreal.

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Previous F1 Canadian Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2025 Mercedes George Russell Mercedes Mercedes
2024 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Red Bull
2023 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Red Bull
2022 Red Bull Max Verstappen Red Bull Red Bull
2019 Mercedes Lewis Hamilton Mercedes Mercedes
2018 Ferrari Sebastian Vettel Ferrari Ferrari
2017 Mercedes Lewis Hamilton Mercedes Mercedes
2016 Mercedes Lewis Hamilton Mercedes Mercedes
2015 Mercedes Lewis Hamilton Mercedes Mercedes

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his four years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s golf and college football coverage. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and can be found across our site covering the Masters, college football futures, and more.

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