Lions vs Roughriders Prediction, Picks & Odds for CFL Week 21

Our Lions vs. Roughriders predictions think Saskatchewan's starters can do some damage early on before getting pulled later in the game.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Oct 25, 2025 • 10:28 ET • 4 min read

CFL

Oct 25 • 7:00 PM ET
SSK
66 %
BC
34 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Saskatchewan +154 Saskatchewan +154
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Trevor Harris Saskatchewan Roughriders CFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Trevor Harris throws a pass against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats.

The 2025 CFL regular season wraps up on Saturday night with a clash between the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders.

The Lions would secure home-field advantage in the Western Semi-Final with a win, and they're 8.5-point road favorites. That said, my Lions vs. Roughriders predictions think that books are undervaluing the home team, who have several key players returning to the lineup. 

See why I'm swinging big on a +160 bet and a +425 SGP with my CFL picks for tonight's Week 21 showdown.

Lions vs Roughriders prediction

My Lions vs Roughriders pick: Roughriders first quarter moneyline (+160 at BET99)

The BC Lions are 6.5-point favorites in the season finale, which is largely due to perceived motivation. The Leos are looking to lock up second place in the West with a win, while the Saskatchewan Roughriders clinched the No. 1 seed two weeks ago.

With a bye secured before last week's game, the Riders gave half their starters the night off. Despite missing so many key players, Saskatchewan still put up a fight and lost 17-16 on a last-second field goal in Winnipeg. 

The Riders have decided to bring back some of their top players this week, since resting them again would result in a three-week layoff and possible rust in the Western Final. That includes star quarterback Trevor Harris, stud running back A.J. Ouellette, and All-Star left tackle Jermacus Hardrick, who all return to the lineup.

I'm not sure how long they'll stay on the field, but they should play long enough for the Riders to be competitive in the first quarter. That gives the home side value on the first-quarter moneyline at +160.

Lions vs Roughriders same-game parlay (SGP)

Roughriders first quarter moneyline

First quarter Over 9.5

With Harris back in the lineup, Saskatchewan's offense will move the ball against a vulnerable BC defense in the opening quarter. That said, the Leos should be able to put up plenty of early points themselves.

After all, BC's explosive offense leads the CFL in scoring (31.3 ppg) and yards per play (8.01), and Saskatchewan is missing five key starters on defense. Lions pivot Nathan Rourke will be highly motivated to end the season with a statement game and add to his Most Outstanding Player campaign.

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Lions vs Roughriders odds

Lions vs Roughriders live odds

Lions vs Roughriders opening odds

  • Spread: BC +9.5 | Saskatchewan -9.5
  • Moneyline: BC -400 | Saskatchewan +300
  • Over/Under: Over 51.5 | Under 51.5

Lions vs Roughriders trend

The Roughriders are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four meetings between these West Division foes.

How to watch Lions vs Roughriders and game info

Location Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK
Date Saturday, October 25, 2025
Kick-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV TSN

Lions vs Roughriders key injuries

Lions: Garry Peters DB (Questionable), Jonah Tavai DT (Questionable), Christian Covington DT (Out), Sione Teuhema DL (Out), Chris Schleuger OL (Out).
Roughriders: Dohnte Meyers WR (Out), KeeSean Johnson WR (Out), Sam Emilus WR (Out), Joe Robustelli WR (Out), Zack Fry G (Out), Philippe Gagnon G (Out), Mike Rose DT (Out), Shane Ray DE (Out), Marcus Sayles DB (Out), Rolan Milligan Jr. DB, CJ Reavis DB, Brett Lauther K (Out).

Lions vs Roughriders weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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