Canelo vs Crawford Odds: Canelo Favored for "Once in a Lifetime" Bout

Canelo Alvarez is favored over Terence Crawford for this super middleweight bout, which will be streamed on Netflix.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Sep 12, 2025 • 16:15 ET • 4 min read
Canelo Alvarez vs Terence Crawford odds
Photo By - Imagn Images. Canelo Álvarez and Terence Crawford pose during the presentation of their upcoming fight.

One of the biggest boxing matches of the year takes place tomorrow night, as Canelo Alvarez faces Terence Crawford at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

There are six titles on the line for this super middleweight bout, with the latest boxing odds putting Canelo (63-2-2, 39 KO) as the favorite to win over Crawford (41-0, 31 KO).

We have the latest Canelo vs. Crawford odds, including method of victory, prop odds, and specials, for this bout, which is expected to start around 11:00 p.m. ET and is streamed on Netflix.

Canelo vs Crawford odds to win

Boxer FanDuel
Canelo Alvarez -180
Terence Crawford +140

Las Vegas becomes the center of the boxing universe as Canelo defends his undisputed super middleweight crown against Crawford. All four belts—WBA, WBC, IBF, WBO—plus The Ring and TBRB titles are on the line.

For bettors, the stakes are massive. Canelo enters as the slight favorite, bringing size, power, and elite body punching at 168 pounds. But Crawford, moving up two full weight classes, brings unmatched versatility, fight-IQ, and the remarkable stat of never having been knocked down in 41 professional bouts.

History looms as a Crawford victory would make him the first male boxer of the four-belt era to become undisputed champion in three divisions. For Canelo, a win solidifies his dominance as the era’s defining super middleweight. Two legends, one ring, and a legacy-defining clash. This is a bettor’s dream and boxing’s ultimate high-stakes showdown.

Canelo vs Crawford method of victory odds

Result Canelo Crawford
Win by KO/TKO +370 +900
Win by Points or Decision +120 +190
Draw +1300 +1300

Crawford has a major edge when it comes to sending opponents to the canvas. The 37-year-old slugger has a dazzling 75.6% knockout rate compared to Canelo's rate of 61.9%.

Canelo vs Crawford prop odds

Market
Yes
-380
Fight to go the distance? No
+270
Over 11.5
-410
Total rounds Under 11.5
+280
Over 0.5
-180
Total Knockdowns Under 0.5
-180

Canelo will join an elite club if he manages to go 12 rounds with Crawford. Only three fighters have gone the distance against the Omaha native since 2014.

Canelo vs Crawford round betting odds

*If the fight goes to a decision, then all round bets are deemed losers.

Exact round Canelo vs Crawford will end odds

Round FanDuel
Round 1 +5000
Round 2 +5000
Round 3 +5000
Round 4 +5000
Round 5 +3500
Round 6 +3000
Round 7 +2700
Round 8 +2200
Round 9 +2000
Round 10 +2500
Round 11 +2700
Round 12 +2700

Canelo, with 67 fights and 520 rounds boxed, averages about 7.8 rounds per bout. That stat reflects his style: methodical pressure, body work, and calculated power that often wears opponents down over the middle and late rounds. He doesn’t rush the knockout; he engineers it, forcing fighters into deep waters where his precision and durability shine. It’s the calling card of a champion who has made a career of controlling the pace and dictating how long a fight lasts.

Crawford, on the other hand, shows a sharper killer instinct. With 41 fights and 245 rounds boxed, his average sits at just 6 rounds per bout. That shorter window speaks volumes: Crawford doesn’t just beat opponents, he breaks them. His higher punch output and ability to switch stances mid-fight create opportunities for early damage, and once he smells blood, he closes the show. The clash of those dynamics is what makes their upcoming showdown so compelling.

When will the fight end odds

Round FanDuel
Round 1-3 +3000
Round 4-6 +1500
Round 7-9 +800
Round 10-12 +950

Canelo vs Crawford specials

Market FanDuel
Crawford to win/Round 9 to start +175
Canelo to win/land 200+ punches +270
Crawford to win/both fighters land 150+ punches +550
A knockdown in either Round 1 or 12 +900
Canelo to win in the 1st minute of any round +1300
Crawford to win in the 1st minute of any round +2500
Canelo to land 15+ punches in each of the first six rounds +3300
Both fighters knocked down in any of the final six rounds +4000
Crawford knocked down in 1st minute of Round 6 and Canelo to win in Round 6 +8000
Canelo knocked down in 1st minute of Round 10 and Crawford to win in Round 10 +10000

Over their last five fights, the punch-rate stats tell an intriguing story: Canelo has averaged about 33 punches thrown per round, landing 13.4 with an impressive 39.6% connect rate, while Crawford has averaged 46 punches per round, landing 12.4 at a 29.6% connect rate.

This highlights the contrast in their styles. Canelo is more selective but highly accurate, relying on precision and timing, while Crawford keeps a higher output, using volume and angles to break opponents down.

Canelo vs Crawford head-to-head odds

Market Canelo Crawford
Most punches landed -140 +104
Most punches thrown +126 -172
To be knocked down +570 +198
To be knocked down + win +2200 +2200

All odds updated as of September 12

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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