Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili Predictions, Picks & Odds for Saturday's Super Lightweight Fight

Danny Howard - Contributor at Covers.com
Danny Howard • Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 4, 2026 , 08:15 AM ET • 4 min read

Katie Taylor closes out her legendary career at Croke Park against undefeated Flora Pili, and our predictions favor the Irish star to win comfortably on the scorecards.

Katie Taylor gestures to fans.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Katie Taylor gestures to fans.

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili predictions are on tap this Saturday at Croke Park in Dublin, Ireland, as Taylor fights professionally for the final time.

Taylor enters as an overwhelming favorite against undefeated challenger Pili and can close her legendary career by becoming the undisputed super lightweight champion once again.

Check out our free betting picks and predictions for Taylor's farewell fight.

Who will win Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili: Taylor (-2500)

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili
Sept. 5
Fight Prediction
Katie Taylor to win (-2500)
Bet now at DraftKings

Taylor is such a massive favorite that there is little reason to take the moneyline. Pili is undefeated, but this represents an enormous jump in competition against one of the best women's boxers ever. Taylor's speed, combination punching, and championship experience should allow her to control the fight without taking unnecessary chances in her final appearance.

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Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili best bet: Taylor to win by decision (-250)

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili
Sept. 5
BEST BET
Taylor to win by decision (-250)
Bet now at DraftKings

Taylor by decision is my best bet. Taylor has won her last nine fights by decision, including three bouts with Amanda Serrano and two against Chantelle Cameron. Pili also isn't an easy fighter to put away, and Taylor won't be chasing a knockout even if she is dominating the fight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Taylor's last nine victories have all come by decision, with her most recent stoppage coming against Rose Volante in March 2019.

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili favorite prop: Fight will go the distance (-300)

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili
Sept. 5
FAVORITE PROP
Fight will go the distance (-300)
Bet now at DraftKings

The fight to go the distance is my favorite prop. Taylor has only six stoppages in 25 victories, while Pili has just two in 12. Taylor should comfortably outclass Pili, but she won't need to overextend herself to pursue a finish. With neither fighter known for punching power or finishing ability, this fight is likely headed to the scorecards.

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili odds

DraftKings
Method of Victory Katie Taylor Flora Pili
To win outright -2500 +1,000
To win by KO/TKO +220 +2,000
To win by points or decision -250 +2,000
Total rounds Over 8.5 rounds
-425
Under 8.5 rounds
+280

Odds as of September 4.

The market strongly favors Taylor to the point where a moneyline bet carries little value. Neither Taylor nor Pili has shown consistent finishing power, making Taylor by decision the more appealing way to back the favorite. With Taylor expected to control the fight and Pili having never been stopped, a comfortable decision victory is the most logical outcome.

Katie Taylor vs Flora Pili tale of the tape

Katie Taylor   Flora Pili
40 Age 29
5-foot-5 Height 5-foot-7
Super lightweight Weight class Super lightweight
66 inches Reach 67.5 inches
25-1 Record 12-0
6 Wins by KO 2

Taylor has participated in 21 world-title fights and has repeatedly faced elite opposition, while Pili is making a massive step up in class. Pili's undefeated record deserves respect, but only two of her 12 victories have come inside the distance. Pili owns slight height and reach advantages, but Taylor's championship experience and proven ability against elite competition represent a much larger edge.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Danny Howard - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

After a decade of covering all things boxing, from recapping the sport’s biggest fights to sharing behind-the-scenes details of the sweet science, Danny found himself immersed in sports betting, focusing on the sports he knows best. As a boxing and MMA contributor with seasoned experience from growing up around each sport, he can uncover the nuances and intangibles that can make the difference between victory and defeat.

Danny’s work has been mentioned on ESPN and USA Today, and he was a featured guest on The Esportz Network podcast, where he shared his combat sports insights. He is also a published author, with his novel And Stay Down! Boxing’s Worst Comebacks available on Amazon.

Danny is always on the lookout for the best odds and props when it comes to fight night, with Draft Kings and BetMGM being his go-to sites. Danny’s approach to finding value in the theater of the unexpected hinges on the fighters' recent form, especially when considering props.

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