Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury Odds: Heavyweight Showdown Years in the Making

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 30, 2026 , 04:27 PM ET • 4 min read

The wait is finally over, as the two heavyweight icons are set to face off this winter.

Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury face off.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury face off.

After years of failed negotiations, Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury will finally settle their rivalry inside the ring.

The former heavyweight champions collide at Principality Stadium in Cardiff on Friday, Dec. 11, with the all-British showdown streaming live on Netflix.

Below, we break down the latest Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury odds, how Kalshi traders have shifted their expectations since the fight was announced, and which heavyweight has the advantage.

Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury odds

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Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury odds movement

The market has already seen plenty of movement since opening, with Fury initially climbing as high as 69.8% before settling around 58%.

Despite the pullback, the market still leans toward Fury, who has bounced back with consecutive victories after falling twice to Oleksandr Usyk in 2024.

Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury prediction

It's hard to look past Fury's three-inch advantage in both height and reach heading into this matchup.

Fury is also better at adjusting to different styles, and if he can weather Joshua's biggest power shots early, he'll wear Joshua down in the later rounds. 

Prediction: Fury to win (58% probability at Kalshi)

Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury tale of the tape

Joshua   Fury
36 Age 38
6-foot-6 Height 6-foot-9
Heavyweight Weight Class Heavyweight
82 inches Reach 85 inches
30-4 Record 36-2-1
27 Wins by KO 25
3 Wins by decision 11

Anthony Joshua vs Tyson Fury FAQ

When is Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury?

Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury will fight on Friday, Dec. 11, 2026.

Where is Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury

This heavyweight bout will take place at Principality Stadium in Cardiff, Wales.

How to watch Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury

Anthony Joshua vs. Tyson Fury will stream live globally on Netflix.

Have Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury fought before?

No. Despite years of discussion surrounding a potential matchup, this will be the first professional fight between Joshua and Fury.

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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