The headlining bout on the Canelo Alvarez vs. Terence Crawford undercard pits rising junior middleweights Callum Walsh and Fernando Vargas Jr. against each other in an exciting fight between two young, offensive-minded fighters.
Walsh is a -330 favorite over the +245 underdog Vargas Jr. Here are my best Walsh vs. Vargas Jr. predictions and free betting picks from Las Vegas.
For more boxing analysis, check out my Alvarez vs. Crawford predictions!
Callum Walsh vs Fernando Vargas Jr. prediction and pick
- My fight prediction: Walsh moneyline (-330 at DraftKings)
- My best bet: Walsh to Win in Rounds 6-10 (+320 at DraftKings)
Fight analysis
Callum Walsh and Fernando Vargas Jr. enter this bout as prospects on paper, but the quality gap is clear.
Vargas Jr. carries the famous “El Feroz” name of his father, yet his 17-0 record is heavily padded with wins over limited opposition. He’s a durable brawler who throws with power on the inside, but his plodding style and lack of refinement leave him vulnerable to higher-level competition.
Walsh, trained by Freddie Roach and the darling of Dana White’s TKO Boxing, has quickly developed into a sharp outside fighter with fast hands, crisp combinations, and angles that disguise potential defensive flaws, much like a prime Amir Khan. He’s the more technically polished fighter here, with a style built to decimate fighters like Vargas Jr., who rely on brute force and pressure.
Unless Vargas Jr. lands something massive early, Walsh’s movement, hand speed, and higher ring IQ will dictate the action. Expect Walsh’s volume punching to be both eye-catching for the judges and punishing for Vargas Jr., who has never faced this level of opposition.
Best Bet
Walsh’s precision and pace will overwhelm Vargas Jr. over the course of the fight. While Vargas Jr. is tough, he lacks the accuracy and composure to weather a sustained barrage from a more polished opponent.
The most likely outcome is Walsh breaking him down late as Vargas Jr. proves too brave for his own good. I’ll take Walsh to score a stoppage between Rounds 6-10 as my best bet.
Callum Walsh vs Fernando Vargas Jr. odds
| Method of victory | Callum Walsh | Fernando Vargas Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Win outright | -330 | +245 |
| Win by KO/TKO | +175 | +450 |
| Win by points or decision | +130 | +700 |
| Draw | +1600 | +1600 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of 9-13.
Callum Walsh vs Fernando Vargas Jr. tale of the tape
| Walsh | Vargas | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Age | 28 |
| 6-foot | Height | 5-foot-11 |
| Junior Middleweight | Weight Class | Junior Middleweight |
| 72 inches | Reach | 72 inches |
| 14-0 | Record | 17-0 |
| 11 | Wins by KO | 15 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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