Spain vs Belgium Cheat Sheet: What to Know Before Trading on Today's World Cup Quarterfinal

C Jackson Cowart - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
C Jackson Cowart • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 10, 2026 , 10:00 AM ET

We give you the key match probabilities, top picks, and key info to know ahead of Spain vs. Belgium.

Spain vs Belgium cheat sheet Lamine Yamal
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Spain forward Lamine Yamal (19) looks on during a Round of 16 match between Spain and Portugal.

After knocking out Team USA in the Round of 16, Belgium looks to play spoiler in today's quarterfinal match (3 p.m. ET, FOX) against pre-tournament favorite Spain, which is yet to allow a goal in World Cup 2026.

To help you with your Spain vs. Belgium predictions ahead of this clash at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif., we've put together our Spain vs. Belgium cheat sheet to cover this quarterfinal matchup from every angle ahead of kickoff.

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Spain vs Belgium match probabilities

Market Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
To advance Spain  74% -285
Belgium  26% +285
To win in regulation Spain  60% -150
Tie - 24% +317
Belgium  17% +488
Both teams to score 55% -122
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Who is most likely to score a goal in Spain vs Belgium?

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
Spain Mikel Oyarzabal 41% +144
Spain Lamine Yamal 34% +194
Belgium Romelu Lukaku 22% +355
Spain Dani Olmo 20% +400
Belgium Charles De Ketelaere 17% +488

Spain vs Belgium match props

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
Both teams to score 55% -122
First team to score Spain  66% -194
Belgium  31% +223
Total corners: 10+ Yes - 60% -150
No - 40% +150
Spain corners: 6+ 66% -194
Belgium corners: 4+ 57% -133

Spain vs Belgium expert picks

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
SpainBelgium Under 2.5 goals (in regulation) 47% +113
Spain Mikel Oyarzabal to score a goal 41% +144
Spain Spain to win in regulation 60% -150

Covers Intel: Spain vs Belgium

Spain vs. Belgium Cheat Sheet

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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C Jackson Cowart
Betting Analyst

C Jackson Cowart is a content strategy consultant for Covers with a special focus on big events and research projects. In his seven years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter, he has stayed true to "process over results" while specifically targeting futures betting and news-driven markets, where he can lean on advanced metrics and an understanding of market psychology to attack value before the number moves.

An award-winning writer and editor with a decade of experience in sports media, "C-Jax" has previously worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and multiple large daily newspapers. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he covered the Tar Heels' championship run through the 2017 NCAA men's basketball tournament. He's cashed some big tickets over the years — including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) — but he's still haunted by enough second-place slips to wallpaper his home office.

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