The Connecticut Sun are heavy favorites to sweep their season series when they meet the Washington Mystics for the fourth time this season.
However, Washington’s riding a three-game winning streak, and my Sun vs Mystics predictions like the underdogs to put up a fight on Saturday, August 31.
Read on as I break down my WNBA picks for today’s action.
Sun vs Mystics predictions
My best bet
Washington Mystics +8.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
My analysis
The Connecticut Sun were one of the surprises of the first half.
Fueled by a stout backcourt defense, the Sun turned plenty of heads by jumping out to a 13-1 record. The Sun offense was inconsistent, but they scored buckets in transition, which was good enough to win games, but not so good for covering the number.
Connecticut needed buckets from downtown and acquired sharpshooter Marina Mabrey from Chicago—she’s knocking down the triples and the Sun still wins games with Mabrey, but they still don’t cover the spread.
Injuries to Brittney Sykes and Shakira Austin fueled the Washington Mystics’ 0-12 start. The Mystics couldn’t score buckets when they needed them, but they were able to get enough stops when it mattered to be the WNBA’s most profitable team against the number.
Things have changed for the Mystics since the Olympic break. While they will miss Austin and her rebounding today, Sykes has returned to the court, and Washington is not only covering the number, but it’s won three consecutive games and is 4-2-0 ATS since the break.
I don’t expect the Mystics to win this game, but I do expect them to cover the number. Connecticut has big names like DeWanna Bonner and Olympian Alyssa Thomas, but they’ve only won by 8+ in a third of their 30 games.
Flip that around, and the Mystics are playing good basketball. They are riding a three-game winning streak and 10-5-0 ATS at home. They’ve allowed the fourth-fewest points per game since the break and have lost only a third of their 31 games by 8+ or more.
The Mystics are chasing a playoff spot, and while they may not win, will fight hard enough to cover the number.
Sun vs Mystics same-game parlay (SGP)
Mystics +8
Marina Mabrey Over 2.5 threes made
We’ll keep this simple today and hit a 3:1 same-game parlay.
The Sun were a bad long-range shooting team and acquired Mabrey to fix that. To a certain extent, she has, and since the break, has knocked down 42% of her 8.5 triple attempts.
She’s cleared 3+ triples in half her six games with the Sun, and because of Connecticut’s solid ball movement, Mabrey will get enough good looks to clear 3+ today.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Sun vs Mystics odds
Sun vs Mystics live odds
Get the latest Sun vs Mystics WNBA odds for tonight.
Sun vs Mystics opening odds
- Spread: Connecticut -8 (-110) | Washington +8 (-110)
- Moneyline: Connecticut (-380) | Washington (+300)
- Over/Under: Over 154 (-110) | Under 154 (-110)
Sun vs Mystics spread and Over/Under analysis
- Connecticut is 7-8-0 ATS as the away team and 1-8 ATS in its last nine against the Eastern Conference.
- Washington is 10-5-0 ATS at home and 7-1 ATS in its last eight against the Eastern Conference.
- Over/Under markets opened as high as 157 (-110). Over 154 (-110) is available while Under 154.5 (-110) is widely available.
Sun vs Mystics trend
The Mystics are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sun vs. Mystics.
Sun vs Mystics game info
| Location: | East Entertainment and Sports Arena, Washington, DC |
| Date: | Saturday, 8-31-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 3:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Monumental Sports Network, NBC Sports Boston |
Sun vs Mystics latest injuries
Sun: Text.
Mystics: Text.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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