Mystics vs Sparks Predictions, Picks, Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Despite an 0-3 start to the season for the Mystics, Karlie Samuelson has been a bright spot for the team, logging plenty of minutes and averaging double-digit points. Against a Sparks team that's weak at defending the perimeter, our WNBA picks expect Samuelson to go off from deep.

Chris Vasile - Publishing Editor at
Chris Vasile • Publishing Editor
May 21, 2024 • 18:49 ET • 4 min read
Washington Mystics WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Both the Washington Mystics and Los Angeles Sparks enter this game winless on the season but out of the five combined games, three have come against legitimate contenders for the WNBA Title. 

In tonight's affair at Walter Pyramid, my Mystics vs. Sparks prediction foregoes the side and total in favor of a player prop offering tremendous value. 

Find out why Karlie Samuelson is set up for success tonight in my WNBA picks for Tuesday, May 21. 

Mystics vs Sparks predictions

My best bet
Karlie Samuelson Over 2.5 threes (+130 at bet365)

My analysis
The Washington Mystics were projected to be one of the worst teams in the WNBA this season and rightfully so. This is a team that entered the season without Elena Delle Donne and more questions than answers on both ends of the court. 

What we've seen over the first three games has held but there are positives to take away from an 0-3 start. For starters, close losses to the New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun are nothing to be ashamed of. Those are two legitimate contenders and the Mystics held their own. 

Another major positive has been the play of Karlie Samuelson. The 10-year vet is logging plenty of minutes and she's rewarding her coach for the confidence. Tonight, I'm expecting a big game from her against her former team, the Los Angeles Sparks

Samuelson is playing 30 minutes a night and averaging double-digit points. She's put up at least five 3-point attempts in each of the first three games, hitting 47% (8-for-17). She's a career 40% shooter from deep and the Sparks have struggled to contain the perimeter. 

L.A. is allowing teams to shoot north of 40% from beyond the arc and with a high-scoring game expected, Samuelson's hot shooting should thrive tonight. 

Mystics vs Sparks same-game parlay (SGP)

Karlie Samuelson Over 2.5 threes

Karlie Samuelson 10+ points

Over 156.5

We are keeping our SGP as short and as simple as possible. 

Samuelson hits multiple triples and eclipses the 10+ point mark while both teams trade baskets and continue their combined 4-1 O/U mark. 

There are plenty of scoring options on both teams and I see both teams hitting 80 points. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Mystics vs Sparks odds

Mystics vs Sparks live odds

Get the latest Mystics vs Sparks WNBA odds for tonight.

Mystics vs Sparks opening odds

  • Spread: Washington +4 | Los Angeles -4
  • Moneyline: Washington +157 | Los Angeles -181
  • Over/Under: Over 159 | Under 159

Mystics vs Sparks spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The spread opened at Sparks -4 but has since been bet down with money coming in on the Mystics. The current spread is Sparks -1.5.
  • The total has seen a slight uptick from 159 to 160
  • Rightfully so as these two teams are a combined 4-1 to the O/U. 

Mystics vs Sparks trend

Over is 4-0 in Mystics last 4 road games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mystics vs. Sparks.

Mystics vs Sparks game info

Location: Walter Pyramid, Long Beach, CA
Date: Tuesday, May 21, 2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: Spectrum SportsNet, MNMT

Mystics vs Sparks latest injuries

Mystics: None.
Sparks: Rae Burrell (Questionable), Azura Stevens (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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