Two teams trending in wildly different directions clash this afternoon, when the New York Liberty visit the Connecticut Sun as 7.5-point road favorites.
New York has ripped off wins in five of six and are chasing down a Top-4 seed in the WNBA.
Connecticut has dropped six of seven and could be eliminated from postseason play as soon as Saturday.
New York has dominated this head-to-head, so my Liberty vs. Sun predictions and WNBA picks will stick with the current trend for Aug. 15.
Liberty vs Sun prediction
Liberty vs Sun best bet: Liberty -7.5 (-115)
New York Liberty’s offense has hit another gear, adding an extra seven points per game during its current run, and that’s bad news for a Connecticut Sun defense allowing 53% shooting and 37.5% from three during its slide.
The Liberty have won both head-to-head meetings, holding the Sun to just 7-for-35 from deep (20%).
That’s been Connecticut’s weakness all season, as they’re last in the league in 3-point shooting.
New York has won four straight against the Sun and eight of 10 overall, with five wins by at least eight points.
I’d back the Liberty up to -5.5.
COVERS INTEL: Breanna Stewart has been a Connecticut killer this year, shooting a blistering 55.9% from the field and averaging 29.5 points in New York’s two wins. Stewart has averaged 20.0 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists in her last 10 games against the Sun.
Liberty vs Sun same-game parlay
Jonquel Jones has led the Liberty in rebounding in four straight games, hitting the double-digit mark in three of her last four. As a top-five rebounder in the WNBA, she has grabbed at least 10 rebounds in 10 of her last 16 games.
Sabrina Ionescu is bothered by a sore foot, which might explain why she’s gone just 4-for-26 from 3-point range in the last four, and why I’m taking the Under on her 3-point makes line.
Liberty vs Sun SGP
- Liberty -7.5
- Jonquel Jones Over 9.5 rebounds
- Sabrina Ionescu Under 2.5 3-point makes
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Liberty vs Sun player prop pick
Breanna Stewart Over 3.5 assists (-115)
We’ve already talked about Stewart’s scoring and rebounding, but lately she’s also upped her assist output, making her 3.5 dime line a very enticing wager.
Stewart has dished out at least four assists in three straight games and in seven of her last 11.
- Best bet: 13-22-0, -9.28 units
- SGP: 1-33, -27.9 units
- Player prop: 13-8, +3.65 units
Liberty vs Sun odds
- Spread: New York -8.5 (-115) | Connecticut +8.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: New York -375 | Connecticut +295
- Over/Under: Over 171.5 (-110) | Under 171.5 (-110)
Liberty vs Sun trend
Connecticut has lost 13 straight games vs East opponents with a winning record. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Liberty vs Sun
| Location | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date | Saturday, Aug. 15, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX 5 New York, NBC Sports Boston |
Liberty vs Sun latest injuries
Liberty: Satou Sabally (head) & Leonie Fiebich (foot) ruled out.
Sun: Brittney Griner (knee) ruled as day-to-day.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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