The Los Angeles Sparks snapped the Minnesota Lynx’s 10-game winning streak Thursday, and the Lynx should be motivated to bounce back when they host the Las Vegas Aces on Saturday as -200 favorites.
My Aces vs. Lynx predictions expect Minnesota to clean up the mistakes from Thursday’s loss and cover a modest spread as the home favorite.
Check out my WNBA picks to see why I expect A’ja Wilson to take a step back and how I’m building a +525 same-game parlay featuring the point total and a Napheesa Collier rebound prop.
Aces vs Lynx prediction
Aces vs Lynx best bet: Lynx -4.5 (-115)
The Minnesota Lynx were up 82-81 with just under five minutes to go, but they watched the Los Angeles Sparks score eight straight to pull off the upset win.
Lynx players and coaches called out the poor showing, specifically calling out a lack of defensive intensity. After a jarring loss to one of the league’s worst teams, I expect improved defense.
The Lynx rank second in offensive and defensive rating and are the only team with a net rating above 10. I expect a fierce response to Thursday’s loss and a 5+ point win at home.
COVERS INTEL: The Minnesota Lynx lead the W in point differential per game at home at 8.4. In two home games following a loss this season, Minnesota has wins of eight and 24 points.
Aces vs Lynx same-game parlay
With a return to form on the defensive end, the Lynx can limit the Las Vegas Aces and force a low-scoring matchup. Each team has hit the Under in two of their last three overall, and the Under has hit in two of the last three H2H matchups at Minnesota. Play down to 180.5.
Over the last 10 games, the Aces have surrendered the third-most rebounds at 33.9. Napheesa Collier has reached 8+ rebounds in six of nine career home tilts with A’ja Wilson while averaging 9.4 boards. Play to 9.5.
Aces vs Lynx SGP
- Lynx -4.5
- Under 183.5
- Napheesa Collier Over 7.5 rebounds
Aces vs Lynx player prop pick
A’ja Wilson Under 40.5 points+rebounds+assists (-115)
A’ja Wilson has been on a dominant run, averaging 42.6 PRA across her last 10 outings. Despite the recent success, Wilson has struggled to reach the lofty PRA total set for Saturday afternoon’s primetime showdown.
Over her last 12 regular-season matchups with the Lynx, Wilson has averaged just 33.2 PRA and recorded 41+ PRA only thrice. The Lynx have allowed just 6.3 PRA to opposing centers this season, easily the best mark in the W.
I’ll play this one down to 38.5 as Minnesota’s elite defense gets back on track in front of the home crowd.
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
- Best bet: 23-24, -2.75 units
- SGP: 7-40, -4.00 units
- Player prop: 10-11, -2.52 units
Aces vs Lynx odds
- Spread: Aces +4.5 | Lynx -4.5
- Moneyline: Aces +165 | Lynx -200
- Over/Under: Over 183.5 | Under 183.5
Aces vs Lynx trend
Minnesota has covered the spread in three straight home games against Las Vegas. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Aces vs Lynx
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Saturday, August 8, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Aces vs Lynx latest injuries
Aces: No injuries have been reported.
Lynx: Chloe Bibby (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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