French Open 2024 Women's Odds, Favorites, Sleepers: Swiatek a Strong Choice

Iga Swatek is rightfully coming into Roland Garros as the French Open odds favorite. Find out who else on the women's side is worth a wager as this major tournament approaches.

Kenny Ducey - Betting Analyst at Covers
Kenny Ducey • Betting Analyst
May 24, 2024 • 11:02 ET • 6 min read
Iga Swiatek French Open
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Grand Slam victories have been hard to come by for Iga Swiatek, but she’ll return to the grounds where she last lifted a major trophy 12 long months ago.

The three-time champion has been defeated just once at Roland Garros since the 2019 season and after a blistering-hot clay season will enter as the clear and convincing favorite in this year’s women’s French Open preview.

Will anyone stand in the way of Swiatek capturing a fourth title in five years here in Paris? Let’s break down the women’s draw below with the tennis betting picks you need to separate the contenders — and the pretenders.

French Open 2024 women's singles odds

Player FanDuel DraftKings
Iga Swiatek -165 -155
Aryna Sabalenka +550 +550
Coco Gauff +900 +900
Elena Rybakina +1,000 +1,100
Danielle Collins +2,000 +2,100
Jelena Ostapenko +4,000 +4,500
Mirra Sakkari +5,000 +4,800
Qinwen Zheng +5,000 +5,500
Mirra Andreeva +6,000 +6,500
Ons Jabeur +6,500 +6,500

Odds as of 5-24.

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French Open 2024 Women's favorites

Who's hot

Iga Swiatek (-165)

Yes, the three-time French Open champion deserves to be a favorite of this magnitude. She’s lost just a handful of times on clay over the last three years — four matches, to be exact — and has far and away been the best player in the world this clay season with back-to-back WTA 1000 wins in Madrid and Rome to come into this tournament on a 12-match winning streak.

Swiatek has lost just twice ever at Roland Garros, and one of those losses came in her first-ever trip to Paris in 2019 as a teenager.

Aryna Sabalenka (+550)

The only player who’s anywhere close to Swiatek at the moment is Sabalenka, who’s made the final in each of the last two Grand Slams on the women’s side and won her first-ever major title at this year’s Australian Open.

The Belarusian made the finals at both of this year’s WTA 1000 events on clay leading into Roland Garros, falling to Swiatek both times. Though she did take a set off the World No. 1 in the Madrid final, it’s worth noting that the conditions were far more favorable there for Sabalenka considering the tournament’s played at altitude and helps her powerful serve and forehand.

Elena Rybakina (+1,000)

Given she’s 8-1 this clay season, it’s hard to say Rybakina isn’t hot at the moment. Sure, she didn’t play in Rome due to an illness, but she won Stuttgart and made the semis in Madrid prior to that, losing to Sabalenka along the way.

Clay has never been Rybakina’s preferred surface given her dominant serve, but she’s still found a way to stand out as one of the three best players in the world even on the dirt over the last two years, with a 17-3 record and two titles to boot. She’s never made it past the quarterfinals here, however, and was bounced in the third round in each of the last two seasons.

Danielle Collins (+2,000)

I don’t think anyone expected to see Collins in this section, nor did I anticipate writing her in just a month ago, but she’s every bit one of the hottest players on tour at the moment.

Collins announced months ago that this would be her final season, and ever since she’s been impossible to stop. She won a 1000-level title on the hardcourts in Miami and a title on the green clay in Charleston which came amidst a 15-match winning streak. She’s lost just two of her last 23 matches as of this writing, both to Sabalenka, and looks to be a real contender this year in her final French Open.

Who's not

Coco Gauff (+850)

The American has made the quarters or better in three straight trips to Paris, losing to Swiatek in the 2023 final. Her game certainly lends itself to clay given she likes to have time over the ball, but her forehand is still a liability, and as a result she hasn’t put forth the dominant 2024 season many expected her to have.

With all of that said, Gauff has gone 7-3 this clay season –— a fine record on the surface, but surely not the one she was hoping for. She did finish the lead-up to Roland Garros somewhat strong, reaching the quarters in Rome prior to losing to Swiatek.

Qinwen Zheng (+3,500)

The Australian Open finalist hasn’t done much to inspire confidence since her triumph in Melbourne, going 8-7 over her last 15 matches since that run and winning just four out of seven matches on the clay. Like Rybakina, this probably isn’t her ideal surface long-term given her issues with second serves and unforced errors, but with a bevy of clay wins throughout her early years you’d have expected more here.

French Open 2024 Women's sleepers

Players to watch

Jelena Ostapenko (+3,500)

It seems like a distant memory, but Ostapenko did win this tournament as a teenager back in 2017. She’s a perennial sleeper at Grand Slams with her fearlessness and unwavering confidence, and when she gets on a roll, she’s a hard player to stop.

Ostapenko hasn’t dazzled on the clay this year, with a 5-3 record heading into the French Open, but she did give Sabalenka something of a fight in the quarters last week in Rome. She’s always one to watch.

Maria Sakkari (+5,000)

The Greek has powered her way back into the world’s Top 10 with some excellent tennis in 2024. Sure, the Australian Open didn’t go as she had hoped, but clay has always been where she excels and with a solid 7-3 record this year on the dirt, she appears to be trending upwards heading into play in Paris.

Sakkari is one of two players to ever knock off Swiatek at Roland Garros, reaching the semifinals in 2021. Nerves have generally gotten the best of her late in Grand Slams, so she’d be a candidate to hedge off of if she does return to the semis this year, especially at this price.

Long shots to avoid

Ons Jabeur (+4,000)

It seems I’m always writing about Jabeur in this section, but she’s very much a player who only carries name value with her at the moment and little else.

The Turkish No. 1 is still inside the world’s Top 10, but her days there could be numbered with a miserable 4-4 record on the clay this year and 6-9 record overall. She did lose to Collins in Charleston, and a red-hot Madison Keys in Madrid, but her loss to Sofia Kenin in the first round of Rome was downright shocking and absolutely concerning.

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