Jannik Sinner steps onto Centre Court not just as world No. 1, but as the hunter seeking payback against the rival who snatched glory from his grasp in Paris.
Meanwhile, two-time defending Wimbledon champion Carlos Alcaraz carries the weight of history and a 24-match winning streak.
Find out why I'm rolling with Sinner to end that streak in the Wimbledon odds, as my free betting picks favor the Italian on Sunday, July 13.
Sinner vs Alcaraz prediction and best bet
- My match prediction: Sinner moneyline (+104 at FanDuel)
- My best bet: Sinner moneyline (+104 at FanDuel)
Match analysis
Jannik Sinner should be the talk of Wimbledon 2025.
Had he converted any of his three match points on Carlos Alcaraz’s service game or served out the third set, he’d have won the French Open and would be chasing a “Sinner Slam” on Sunday.
The world No. 1 has turned his French Open disappointment into a strong Wimbledon run behind a massive service game that should end with some sweet revenge over his rival.
Sinner overwhelmed Alcaraz in Paris. He hit his spots with the serve and crushed Alcaraz behind deep, punishing drives from both wings, but somehow, Carlitos escaped.
Straight-set victories over Ben Shelton and Novak Djokovic have answered any questions about Sinner’s health. The only question remaining is whether he can beat Alcaraz. I’m betting he does.
Best bet analysis
Alcaraz arrives at Centre Court under enormous pressure, as he's attempting to become the second man to win the Channel Slam in consecutive years.
Sinner dominated Alcaraz in Paris, hitting into big targets with bigger finishes. His game earned him triple match point, but his serve betrayed him, and somehow Carlos escaped.
We’ve seen plenty of nerve-wrought hiccups from Alcaraz during this fortnight. He’s gone four sets in four of six matches, and Sinner can take advantage of his rival’s lapses in ways no one else can.
Sinner has lost two sets of tennis during this fortnight. He’s serving bigger here than in Paris, and he’s hitting bigger and cleaner than he did at Roland Garros.
The world No. 1 was one point away from beating Alcaraz on the Spaniard’s favorite surface. I’m betting Sinner gets his revenge on Sunday.
Sinner vs Alcaraz odds
| (1) Jannik Sinner | (2) Carlos Alcaraz | |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | Moneyline | -130 |
| +1.5 (-120) | Game spread | -1.5 (-115) |
| Over 40.5 (-120) | Total games | Under 40.5 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of FanDuel.
How to watch Sinner vs Alcaraz
| Location | Centre Court, London, England |
| Date | Sunday, 7-13-2025 |
| Time | 11:00 a.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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