The Super Bowl LX odds have been simmering for two weeks, with action on the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots heating up ahead of February 8.
There are thousands of ways to wager on the Big Game, but my Super Bowl predictions keep it simple, singling out which team will party with Lombardi when the confetti pops in Santa Clara.
Here are my best Super Bowl LX picks.
Seahawks vs Patriots prediction
Seahawks vs Patriots best bet: Seahawks moneyline (-238)
The Seattle Seahawks’ path to victory is cleaner: Seattle is the best two-way team the New England Patriots have faced and doesn’t need anything extraordinary to win.
The same can’t be said for the Patriots.
Adding nuance to this pick, the Seattle ML shows caution for the 4.5-point spread. This sits on the high side of the undervalued key number of four and 4.5-point favorites often win but don't cover (42.5% since 2016, 2-9 ATS in 2025).
This ML price may not be for everyone, though — so here's a bonus bet and a couple of SGPs to sweeten your Sunday.
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Seahawks vs Patriots bonus bet - Shaheed this warning
Seahawks vs Patriots bonus bet: Rashid Shaheed Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
I’ve had this bet teed up since Rashid Shaheed was traded to the Seahawks in November. At the time, I scoured Seattle’s upcoming opponents and noticed that they all ran high rates of zone coverage.
Seahawks fans were excited about adding a dangerous deep threat but my expectations were tempered, knowing Shaheed does his best work against man coverage — and that prediction was accurate, with him producing inconsistent results.
Eleven games later, Shaheed finally faces a man-centric scheme: New England runs man at a Top-10 rate and he will have plenty of one-on-one opportunities, especially with WR1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba drawing extra attention.
Shaheed’s projections all sit north of this total, with a ceiling closer to 30 yards. The last time he faced a defense that ran man as much as the Pats, he torched the Giants for 114 yards and a touchdown (as a member of the Saints) in Week 5.
Seahawks vs Patriots same-game parlay
The Seahawks' defense is the X-factor in this one. Seattle can generate pressure with just the front four, forcing Drake Maye to throw into a versatile pass defense anchored in zone.
Shaheed’s output has been up and down, but this pairing with the Patriots’ man coverage allows him to do what he does best: Exploit one-on-one situations. His projections sit as high as 30 yards, but I believe his ceiling is much taller.
Guess who also likes playing against man coverage? Sam Darnold is among the best passers vs. man and has shown he’s Super Bowl-ready (and healthy) with 25 completions in the NFC Championship.
Seahawks vs Patriots SGP
- Seattle Seahawks moneyline
- Rashid Shaheed Over 20.5 receiving yards
- Sam Darnold Over 19.5 passing completions
Our big-ticket SGP: Sam I Am (Him)
The Patriots will sell out to stop the Seahawks’ rushing attack, and that puts the game on Darnold’s shoulders.
He'll shut down his doubters with a big day in Super Bowl LX.
Seahawks vs Patriots SGP
- Seattle Seahawks moneyline
- Sam Darnold Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Sam Darnold Over 19.5 completions
- Sam Darnold Over 228.5 passing yards
- Rashid Shaheed anytime touchdown
Seahawks vs Patriots odds
- Spread: Seahawks -4.5 (-110) | Patriots +4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Seahawks -235 | Patriots +195
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 (-110) | Under 45.5 (-110)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Seahawks vs Patriots trend to know
The Seattle Seahawks are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS (with a 5-3 O/U mark) when laying -4 or more points this season. Find more NFL betting trends for Seahawks vs. Patriots.
How to watch Seahawks vs Patriots
| Location | Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA |
| Date | Sunday, February 8, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Seahawks vs Patriots latest injuries
Seahawks vs Patriots weather
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- 3 reasons why the Patriots will beat the Seahawks
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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