"Defense wins championships" might be a cliche, but the Super Bowl 60 matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots shows how true that old adage can be.
These teams are first and second in the league in scoring defense (regular season and playoffs), so don't overlook the defensive players when digging into Super Bowl player props.
My NFL picks and Seahawks vs. Patriots predictions are headlined by a pair of Seattle sack bets, as I bring you my favorite defensive player props for the Super Bowl on Sunday, February 8.
Seahawks vs Patriots defensive props for Super Bowl LX
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 DeMarcus Lawrence |
Over 0.25 sacks | -110 |
| Byron Murphy II |
Over 0.25 sacks | +171 |
| Ernest Jones IV |
Under 8.5 tackles + assists | -105 |
 Jaylinn Hawkins |
Under 4.5 tackles + assists | -102 |
| Marcus Jones |
Over 0.5 interceptions | +600 |
DeMarcus Lawrence Over 0.25 sacks (-110)
Drake Maye has a tendency to hold on to the ball too long, with his receivers struggling to get separation.
The New England Patriots QB was sacked 47 times in the regular season while eating 15 sacks in the playoffs. He'll take another beating in the Super Bowl with the Seattle Seahawks boasting strong coverage and a fierce pass rush.
Seattle rotates four edge rushers, so it's hard to bet on any one player. That said, DeMarcus Lawrence has seen the highest snap share since Week 15 and has been the most productive. The veteran has picked up a sack in three of his last four games while logging 17 pressures.
Byron Murphy Over 0.25 sacks (+171)
Seattle defensive tackle Byron Murphy II might have been the biggest Pro Bowl snub this year. He tied for the team lead with seven sacks during the regular season while ranking seventh among all interior linemen in QB pressures.
While Murphy hasn't picked up a sack so far in the playoffs, he has racked up seven pressures, so he's still consistently beating his blocker.
The 2024 first-rounder usually lines up at right defensive tackle, which gives him a favorable matchup against left guard Jared Wilson. The rookie is the weak link in the Pats' offensive line and has a pass-blocking grade of 42.8, which ranks 75th among 81 qualifying guards.
Ernest Jones Under 8.5 tackles + assists (-105)
These are two of the slowest-paced teams in the league, with Seattle 29th in the league in seconds per snap and New England 30th. Even in neutral game situations, both teams are in the Bottom 10 of the league in seconds per snap.
A slower tempo leads to fewer plays, and that combined with a low passing rate for both teams should lead to lower tackle numbers across the board.
Seahawks linebacker Ernest Jones IV has finished with fewer than 8.5 tackles in four consecutive games and is averaging 6.0 total tackles per game during that span.
Jaylinn Hawkins Under 4.5 tackles + assists (-102)
Continuing on the previous theme of fewer offensive plays leading to fewer tackles, I'm fading Patriots safety Jaylinn Hawkins on his total tackles prop. Hawkins has finished with fewer than 4.5 solo and assisted tackles in his last five games.
Hawkins primarily lines up at deep safety, and I'm expecting a conservative offensive game plan from Seattle with fewer deep throws for Sam Darnold.
Marcus Jones Over 0.5 interceptions (+600)
Darnold threw a pick in seven of his last 11 regular season games, which includes a four-interception meltdown against the Rams in Week 11. He's thrown a total of 14 interceptions, with eight of those coming on short and intermediate throws between the numbers.
Marcus Jones is the Pats' primary slot corner, which typically leads to him blanketing receivers on inside routes. Jones led the Pats with 11 passes defended during the regular season.
Jones has picked off a pass in four of his last 16 games, none bigger than a pick six against the Texans in the Divisional Round. I wouldn't put a full unit on this long-shot bet, but it's worth a sprinkle at +600.
Super Bowl defensive prop betting card
- Lawrence o0.25 sacks (-110)
- Murphy II o0.25 sacks (+171)
- Jones IV u8.5 tackles + assists (-105)
- Hawkins u4.5 tackles + assists (-102)
- Jones Over 0.5 INTs (+600)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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