Free NHL Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 4, 2026
PHI
@
CAR
Mon, May 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Travis Konecny u0.5 Points (-105)
Carolina has just five goals this postseason, and Konecny spent the bulk of his minutes matched up against Carolina’s shutdown line centered by Jordan Staal in Game 1. Konecny and linemates Christian Dvorak and Denver Barkey were only on the ice for 0.15 expected goals at 5-on-5, and I also value Carolina sporting the best penalty-kill percentage in the playoffs.
Frederik Andersen u1.5 Goals Against (+145)
The Hurricanes held the Flyers to just four high-danger scoring chances and 1.85 expected goals in front of red-hot goalie Frederik Andersen, and he turned away all 19 shots for his second shutout of the postseason. Andersen is up to an incredible .961 SV% with 10.85 GSAx through five games, and he’s only been beaten three times at five-on-five.
ANA
@
VEG
Mon, May 4 • 9:30 PM ET
Leo Carlsson o2.5 Shots On Goal (-155)
Leo Carlsson has been a volume shooter in these playoffs, making the Over on his shots highly attractive. He’s averaging well above this number and has cleared it in five of his last six games. In fact, Carlsson is averaging 4.66 SOG in the playoffs, and three per contest against the Golden Knights this season.
Mark Stone o0.5 Assists (+120)
Mark Stone remains one of the most reliable playmakers in the Golden Knights lineup, and the Over on his assists is appealing again here. He’s picked up helpers in consecutive games and is heavily involved offensively. Anaheim’s shaky defense presents opportunities, and Stone thrives at home. Given his track record and role, backing him to log at least one assist makes sense.
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