Wild vs Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 1

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 3, 2026 , 05:46 PM ET • 3 min read

Cordell's prediction: Cale Makar and Nathan MacKinnon pick up where they left off.

NHL

Match starts: 3 hrs
MIN
38 %
COL
62 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Cale Makar o3.5  Shots On Goal (+130) Cale Makar o3.5 Shots On Goal (+130)
Read Analysis
Cale Makar Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon (29) is greeted by defenseman Cale Makar (8) after scoring during the first period in Game 4 of the first round of the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs against the Kings

The Colorado Avalanche sent the Kings packing in four games, and Cale Makar is rested ahead of tonight's opening salvo against the Minnesota Wild.

My Wild vs. Avalanche predictions expect Makar to pick up where he left off as an elite shot-maker.

Let’s break it all down with my NHL picks for Sunday, May 3.

  • UPDATE: Added a prediction for who will win tonight and a Nathan MacKinnon goal-scorer prop.

Wild vs Avalanche Game 1 prediction

Who will win Wild vs Avalanche Game 1?

Colorado: The Colorado Avalanche led the NHL with a 64% goal share at 5-on-5 when playing on home ice. Their speed and skill are almost impossible for teams to slow down at altitude, and they’re very well rested after making quick work of Los Angeles in the first round.

Wild vs Avalanche best bet: Cale Makar Over 3.5 shots (+130)

Cale Makar generated a ton of volume against the Minnesota Wild during the regular season, piling up 45 attempts over four meetings. 

That's no coincidence. The Wild allowed the second-most shots to defensemen over the course of the year, and that's held true in the playoffs. 

Top defenseman Miro Heiskanen had a field day, averaging 3.5 shots on goal and leading the Stars in shot attempts — and he’s not nearly as strong a shot-generator as Makar.

Makar has also done his best work at home come playoff time, producing 3.8 shots and 9.3 attempts over his last 10 in Colorado.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Wild vs Avalanche Game 1 same-game parlay

Makar led the Avalanche in time on ice during the opening round. Given his elite talents, it should be no surprise he was also on for more scoring chances and expected goals than any player on the roster. 

He has his hand in everything offensively, and his chances of hitting the scoresheet only grow if the shot volume is there.

For Minnesota, it’s hard not to get excited about Matt Boldy’s shooting. He averaged 5.5 shots on goal in the first round, and the Avalanche have allowed the third-most shots to wingers in these playoffs.

Wild vs Avalanche SGP

  • Cale Makar Over 3.5 shots
  • Cale Makar Over 0.5 points
  • Matt Boldy Over 3.5 shots

Wild vs Avalanche Game 1 goal scorer pick

Nathan MacKinnon (-115)

Sometimes the boring pick is the right one, and I think that’s the case here. 

Nathan MacKinnon averaged 0.80 goals per game following two days of rest this year and scored five goals over five games when having at least three days off in between games. 

He is lethal at any point, but his goal scoring ramps up even further when the tank is full.

Wild vs Avalanche odds for Game 1

  • Moneyline: Wild +150 | Avalanche -175
  • Puck Line: Wild +1.5| Avalanche -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

Wild vs Avalanche trend

Nathan MacKinnon has scored in seven of his past 10 games against Minnesota. Find more NHL betting trends for Wild vs. Avalanche.

How to watch Wild vs Avalanche Game 1

Location Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Date Sunday, May 3, 2026
Puck drop 9:00 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Wild vs Avalanche latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo